Atlan Holdings (7048) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MY · Market cap 647M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.61 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.27 MYR – 3.62 MYR · fair‑value band 0.9700 MYR – 1.61 MYR · the 2.58 MYR price screens above the 1.29 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Atlan Holdings (7048) currently trades at 2.58 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.29 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Atlan Holdings generated revenue of 411M MYR at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue declined 48.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 44.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.9700 MYR (bear case) to 1.61 MYR (bull case); at 2.58 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -50%, 7048 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (2.60 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.4200 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Atlan Holdings Bhd, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive components in Malaysia. The company operates through Property and Hospitality; Trading of Duty-Free Goods, Dutiable and Non-Dutiable Merchandise; and Automotive segments.
Full company description
Atlan Holdings Bhd, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive components in Malaysia. The company operates through Property and Hospitality; Trading of Duty-Free Goods, Dutiable and Non-Dutiable Merchandise; and Automotive segments. It is involved in the wholesale and retail of duty-free and non-dutiable merchandise, including imported duty-free beverages, tobacco products, chocolates, confectionery, perfumery, cosmetics, and souvenirs; and manufacture and supply of plastic and metal fuel tanks, metal stamping parts, screw jacks, tubings, fuel filter necks, metallic tubes, fuel tanks modules, and other automotive production and assembly parts, as well as sub-assembly of instrument panels. The company also engages in the general construction and apartment hotel business; investment, development, and management of properties; development of resorts; operation of hotel and spa; cultivation of oil palm; and provision of various administration, advisory, management, planning, functions, and assistance activities to its holding company and related companies. In addition, it distributes, wholesales, and retails beverages; and manufactures and markets exhaust systems, wheelbarrows, brakes, fuel, and other automotive components. Atlan Holdings Bhd was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Atlan Holdings reported revenue of 411M MYR in FY2026 versus 257M MYR in FY2022, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was 14.8M MYR in FY2026.
7048 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Walmart Inc →
Peer Group
Discount Stores · 25 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc WMT | $113.90 | $48.65 | -57% |
| Costco Wholesale Corporation COST | $916.25 | $383.51 | -58% |
| Target Corporation TGT | $139.60 | $118.22 | -15% |
| Wal-Mart de México, S.A. WALMEX | 49.49 MXN | 60.59 MXN | +22% |
| Dollarama Inc DOL | C$188.95 | C$92.38 | -51% |
| Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART | ₹4,081 | ₹1,066 | -74% |
| Dollar General Corporation DG | $125.75 | $116.55 | -7% |
| Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR | $124.91 | $125.92 | +1% |
| BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ | $90.24 | $80.99 | -10% |
| Pepco Group PCO | 40.64 PLN | 54.90 PLN | +35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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