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Koan Hao Technology Co (8354) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 1.2B TWD

KH Koan Hao Technology Co 8354 · TWO
Price16.65 TWD
Fair Value4.60 TWD
Upside-72.4%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range 3.46 TWD – 5.76 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from 2.30 TWD to 4.60 TWD (+100.0%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price −0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.76 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

19.10 TWD 13.30 TWD Fair Value 4.60 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.30 TWD – 19.10 TWD · fair‑value band 3.46 TWD – 5.76 TWD · the 16.65 TWD price screens above the 4.60 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Koan Hao Technology Co (8354) currently trades at 16.65 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.60 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 72.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Koan Hao Technology Co generated revenue of 655M TWD at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 1.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.46 TWD (bear case) to 5.76 TWD (bull case); at 16.65 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -72%, 8354 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 4.54 TWD 5.42 TWD 6.78 TWD 80
Residual Income 16.74 TWD 14.98 TWD 9.59 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 4.49 TWD 5.95 TWD 7.74 TWD 74
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4.44 TWD 5.37 TWD 6.93 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 9.29 TWD 11.69 TWD 15.72 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 4.49 TWD 5.87 TWD 7.87 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.94 TWD 8.38 TWD 11.61 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 3.55 TWD 4.25 TWD 5.09 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.37 TWD 5.33 TWD 6.34 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.26 TWD 6.75 TWD 8.34 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 3.93 TWD 4.41 TWD 4.85 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.9200 TWD 1.12 TWD 1.27 TWD 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.73 TWD 2.30 TWD 2.88 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 1.73 TWD 2.30 TWD 2.88 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 1.73 TWD 2.30 TWD 2.88 TWD 55
EV/EBITDA 8.08 TWD 10.31 TWD 12.54 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 4.81 TWD 6.28 TWD 7.75 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.24 TWD 17.75 TWD 26.49 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4.54 TWD 5.42 TWD 6.78 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 4.49 TWD 5.95 TWD 7.74 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 16.74 TWD 14.98 TWD 9.59 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.23 TWD 1.76 TWD 2.28 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (17.75 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (1.12 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 655M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 1.5%
Free cash flow 29.6M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 113.2
More key figures
Operating margin 2.9%
EPS (TTM) 0.1400 TWD
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +650%
Net debt 1.6B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Koan Hao Technology Co., Ltd. engaged in the processing, manufacturing, and trading of trademark paper, release paper, tape and other products in Taiwan, Vietnam, China, and internationally. The company offers release liners and adhesive tapes. It also provides pressure sensitive labels, including water-based, solvent-based, hot melt type, etc.

Full company description

Koan Hao Technology Co., Ltd. engaged in the processing, manufacturing, and trading of trademark paper, release paper, tape and other products in Taiwan, Vietnam, China, and internationally. The company offers release liners and adhesive tapes. It also provides pressure sensitive labels, including water-based, solvent-based, hot melt type, etc. for commodity packaging and industrial purposes; release papers, release films, and PE coated products; and polyimide protective films, polyester protective films, and OPP lamination tapes/transfer tapes. In addition, the company offers industrial double-sided, electronics, and quad flat no-leads package tapes; and specialty tapes, including fiberglass tapes, UV, thermal release tapes, cooling stripping type protective films, and lithographic red PET tapes. The company was formerly known as Koan Hao Enterprise Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Koan Hao Technology Co., Ltd. in 2013. Koan Hao Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Nantou City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Koan Hao Technology Co reported revenue of 644M TWD in FY2025 versus 759M TWD in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 10.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −54.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
644M TWD
Latest YoY
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.0%
Revenue −4.0%/yr
FY21 759M TWD
FY22 677M TWD
FY23 614M TWD
FY24 640M TWD
FY25 644M TWD
Net income −54.1%/yr
FY21 240M TWD
FY22 79.7M TWD
FY23 61.7M TWD
FY24 124M TWD
FY25 10.6M TWD

8354 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Koan Hao Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8354

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 113.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 33 · sector 19
PAST 6 · sector 23
HEALTH 96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Koan Hao Technology Co (8354) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.60 TWD versus a price of 16.65 TWD, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8354?
Our model-based fair value for Koan Hao Technology Co is 4.60 TWD (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 16.65 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8354?
Koan Hao Technology Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Koan Hao Technology Co (8354)?
Koan Hao Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 655M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8354?
The net profit margin of Koan Hao Technology Co is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Koan Hao Technology Co pay a dividend?
Koan Hao Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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