Altri, SGPS, S.A (ALTR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · PT · Market cap €1.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €1.55 to €3.10 (+100.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.30 – €5.96 · fair‑value band €2.66 – €3.78 · the €5.00 price screens above the €3.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Altri, SGPS, S.A (ALTR) currently trades at €5.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.10, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Altri, SGPS, S.A generated revenue of €636M at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 33.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at €351M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.66 (bear case) to €3.78 (bull case); at €5.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -38%, ALTR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.77) versus Earnings-Based (€0.4000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Altri, SGPS, S.A. produces and sells cellulosic fibers in Portugal and internationally. The company offers bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp (BEKP) cellulose fibers for use in the manufacture of paper for household, printing, and writing purposes; and dissolved wood pulp (DWP) soluble cellulose fibers for use in the production of man-made cellulose fibers, …
Full company description
Altri, SGPS, S.A. produces and sells cellulosic fibers in Portugal and internationally. The company offers bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp (BEKP) cellulose fibers for use in the manufacture of paper for household, printing, and writing purposes; and dissolved wood pulp (DWP) soluble cellulose fibers for use in the production of man-made cellulose fibers, such as lyocell and viscose for the textile sector. It is also involved in the timber and biomass commercialization; forest management; plant production in nurseries and services related to forests and landscapes; real estate; logistics services; research and development activities; and production and commercialization of cellulosic filaments. Altri, SGPS, S.A. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Porto, Portugal.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Altri, SGPS, S.A reported revenue of €676M in FY2025 versus €785M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was €21.4M in FY2025, compounding −35.5%/yr from FY2021.
ALTR screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →
Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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