Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹118B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,737). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹4,647 – ₹9,263 · fair‑value band ₹1,642 – ₹2,737 · the ₹5,093 price screens above the ₹2,189 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Blue Dart Express Limited (BLUEDART) currently trades at ₹5,093, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2,189, implying the stock looks roughly 57.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Blue Dart Express Limited generated revenue of ₹61.4B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at ₹9.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1,642 (bear case) to ₹2,737 (bull case); at ₹5,093, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -57%, BLUEDART screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹3,352) versus Dividend Discount (₹402.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Blue Dart Express Limited provides courier and express services in India. It provides day-definite and time-definite delivery schedules across air and ground network under the Domestic Priority, Dart Apex, Dart Surfaceline, and Dart Plus names; and door-to-door ground distribution service under the Dart Surfaceline name.
Full company description
Blue Dart Express Limited provides courier and express services in India. It provides day-definite and time-definite delivery schedules across air and ground network under the Domestic Priority, Dart Apex, Dart Surfaceline, and Dart Plus names; and door-to-door ground distribution service under the Dart Surfaceline name. The company also offers air freight services between the airports of Kolkata, Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad, and Ahmedabad; air express and ground express packaging services under the Smart Box name; wood-free palletized packaging; shipment for freight of 50kg, 75kg, or above 100kg; door-to-door express deliveries for documents and shipments; international services; and temperature-controlled logistics solutions, as well as operates domestic express airline charter. It has a fleet of 6 Boeing 757-200 freighters and 2 Boeing 737 aircraft; and a flotilla of various vehicles, facilities, and e-vehicles in India. Blue Dart Express Limited was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India. Blue Dart Express Limited is a subsidiary of DHL Express (Singapore) Pte. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Blue Dart Express Limited reported revenue of ₹61.4B in FY2026 versus ₹44.1B in FY2022, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.5B in FY2026, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BLUEDART screens 57% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$185.20 | HK$224.26 | +21% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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