Designer Brands Inc (DBI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $316M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $20.70 to $3.82 (−81.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +18.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.82 to $11.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.15 – $17.79 · fair‑value band $3.82 – $11.48 · the $6.55 price screens above the $3.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Designer Brands Inc (DBI) currently trades at $6.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.82, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Designer Brands Inc generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.82 (bear case) to $11.48 (bull case); at $6.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 211% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -42%, DBI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.19) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Designer Brands Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, and retailing of footwear and accessories in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Retail and Brand Portfolio.
Full company description
Designer Brands Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, and retailing of footwear and accessories in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Retail and Brand Portfolio. The company offers dress, casual, and athletic footwear and accessories, as well as handbags for women, men, and kids. It sells its products under the Vince Camuto, Keds, Topo, as well as Jessica Simpson, Lucky Brand, Le Tigre, and Hush Puppies brands. The company offers its products through its direct-to-consumer stores and e-commerce sites; and a portfolio of banners, including DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse, The Shoe Co, and Rubino; and mobiles applications. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Columbus, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Designer Brands Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2026 versus $3.2B in FY2022, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.4M in FY2026.
DBI screens 42% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $44.37 | $35.63 | -20% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €165.00 | €65.71 | -60% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $106.49 | $125.16 | +18% |
| On Holding ONON | $38.20 | $17.64 | -54% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.11 | ¥13.03 | +8% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $44.36 | $44.14 | -0% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $138.91 | $203.65 | +47% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥31.10 | ¥54.71 | +76% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €29.31 | €10.57 | -64% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $43.26 | $11.69 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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