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Designer Brands Inc (DBI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $316M

DB Designer Brands Inc logo Designer Brands Inc DBI · US
Price$6.55
Fair Value$3.82
Upside-41.7%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.08% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range $3.82 – $11.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $20.70 to $3.82 (−81.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +18.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.82 to $11.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.79 $2.15 Fair Value $3.82 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.15 – $17.79 · fair‑value band $3.82 – $11.48 · the $6.55 price screens above the $3.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Designer Brands Inc (DBI) currently trades at $6.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.82, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Designer Brands Inc generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.82 (bear case) to $11.48 (bull case); at $6.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 211% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -42%, DBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.10 $22.99 $32.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.86 $12.95 $19.75 74
ROIC Compounder $0.5300 $1.46 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.76 $23.56 $34.68 38
Owner Earnings $1.25 $5.00 $9.73 31
5Y Revenue Exit $6.86 $12.53 $19.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.77 $23.18 $34.78 41
10Y Revenue Exit $9.72 $15.19 $21.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.37 $21.81 $32.11 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.5300 $1.46 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.74 $2.99 $4.32 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.74 $2.51 $3.22 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $7.22 $12.54 $17.87 53
EV/EBITDA $14.24 $21.91 $29.58 54
EV/Revenue $2.01 $6.62 $11.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.28 $4.40 $6.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.10 $22.99 $32.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.86 $12.95 $19.75 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.5300 $1.46 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.19) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow $113M FY2026
P/E ratio 28.3
More key figures
Operating margin 2.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.2200
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +45.8%
Net debt $1.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Designer Brands Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, and retailing of footwear and accessories in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Retail and Brand Portfolio.

Full company description

Designer Brands Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, and retailing of footwear and accessories in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Retail and Brand Portfolio. The company offers dress, casual, and athletic footwear and accessories, as well as handbags for women, men, and kids. It sells its products under the Vince Camuto, Keds, Topo, as well as Jessica Simpson, Lucky Brand, Le Tigre, and Hush Puppies brands. The company offers its products through its direct-to-consumer stores and e-commerce sites; and a portfolio of banners, including DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse, The Shoe Co, and Rubino; and mobiles applications. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Columbus, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Designer Brands Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2026 versus $3.2B in FY2022, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.4M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.9B
Latest YoY
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+2.1%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY22 $3.2B
FY23 $3.3B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $3.0B
FY26 $2.9B
Net income
FY22 $154M
FY23 $163M
FY24 $29.1M
FY25 −$10.5M
FY26 −$8.4M

DBI screens 42% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Designer Brands Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DBI

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.12× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 4
FUTURE 7 · sector 0
PAST 22 · sector 23
HEALTH 24 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 62 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $44.37 $35.63 -20%
adidas AG 1ADS €165.00 €65.71 -60%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $106.49 $125.16 +18%
On Holding ONON $38.20 $17.64 -54%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.11 ¥13.03 +8%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $44.36 $44.14 -0%
Crocs, Inc CROX $138.91 $203.65 +47%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥31.10 ¥54.71 +76%
PUMA SE PUM €29.31 €10.57 -64%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $43.26 $11.69 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Designer Brands Inc (DBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.82 versus a price of $6.55, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DBI?
Our model-based fair value for Designer Brands Inc is $3.82 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.55.
What is the quality score of DBI?
Designer Brands Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Designer Brands Inc (DBI)?
Designer Brands Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DBI?
The net profit margin of Designer Brands Inc is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Designer Brands Inc pay a dividend?
Designer Brands Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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