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Greystone Logistics (GLGI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $5.5M · ISIN US39807A1007

GL Greystone Logistics logo Greystone Logistics GLGI · US
Price$0.2600
Fair Value$0.1873
Upside-28.0%
Quality54/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 39% ABOVE our fair value of $0.1873
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.4 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -11.8% net margin · fiscal year 2025 4.1%
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.4 %/yr)
Loss over the last twelve months · -11.8% net margin · fiscal year 2025 4.1%
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1402 – $0.2332 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.1875 to $0.1873 (−0.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +13.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 39% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2332). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1.61 $0.1500 Fair Value $0.1873 Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1500 – $1.61 · fair‑value band $0.1402 – $0.2332 · the $0.2600 price screens above the $0.1873 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Greystone Logistics (GLGI) currently trades at $0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1873, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Greystone Logistics generated revenue of $39.9M at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue declined 75.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.3%. Net debt stands at $9.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1402 (bear case) to $0.2332 (bull case); at $0.2600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -28%, GLGI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.08 $1.49 $1.95 80
Residual Income $0.6000 $0.6600 $0.8800 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.9500 $1.54 $2.19 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.07 $1.53 $2.09 38
Owner Earnings $0.4300 $0.6700 $0.9600 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.9500 $1.52 $2.22 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.58 $2.66 $3.90 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.8600 $1.36 $1.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.9700 $1.44 $2.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.33 $2.11 $3.10 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.9400 $1.35 $1.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5900 $1.60 $2.09 54
Lynch FV $0.3200 $0.4500 $0.5900 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.3200 $0.4500 $0.5900 46
EPV $0.2000 $0.2600 $0.3000 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1100 $0.1800 $0.2400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1100 $0.1600 $0.1900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.10 $1.47 $1.83 63
P/S Multiple $1.10 $1.47 $1.83 58
P/B Multiple $1.10 $1.47 $1.83 55
EV/EBIT $1.11 $1.57 $2.02 53
EV/EBITDA $2.30 $3.16 $4.02 54
EV/Revenue $0.9200 $1.44 $1.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3600 $0.4900 $0.7300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.08 $1.49 $1.95 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.9500 $1.54 $2.19 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6000 $0.6600 $0.8800 76
ROIC Compounder $0.2000 $0.2600 $0.3000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8900 $1.27 $1.65 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($1.49) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.14 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-0.1700
Net margin 4.1% FY2025
Return on equity -26.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% avg 5y
Operating margin -76.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $39.9M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -75.8% 3y avg -7.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -30.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.5M FY2025
Net debt $9.5M FY2025 · ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Greystone Logistics, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets plastic pallets and pelletized recycled plastic resins in the United States. It offers rackable, can, nestable, display, monoblock, half-barrel and slim keg stackable, drum, and mid duty pallets.

Full company description

Greystone Logistics, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets plastic pallets and pelletized recycled plastic resins in the United States. It offers rackable, can, nestable, display, monoblock, half-barrel and slim keg stackable, drum, and mid duty pallets. The company sells its pallets through a network of independent contractor, distributors, and direct sales. It serves the food, chemical, pharmaceutical, beverage and dairy industries. The company was formerly known as PalWeb Corporation and changed its name to Greystone Logistics, Inc. in March 2005. Greystone Logistics, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Greystone Logistics reported revenue of $57.9M in FY2025 versus $64.9M in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.4M in FY2025, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$57.9M
Latest YoY
−6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−10.0% (-10.0 + 0.0)
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 $64.9M
FY22 $74.2M
FY23 $60.8M
FY24 $61.8M
FY25 $57.9M
Net income −10.3%/yr
FY21 $3.6M
FY22 $4.3M
FY23 $6.3M
FY24 $5.0M
FY25 $2.4M

GLGI screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greystone Logistics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLGI

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 711 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -77% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -76% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.44× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 19
PAST0 · sector 23
HEALTH78 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Greystone Logistics (GLGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1873 versus a price of $0.2600, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLGI?
Our model-based fair value for Greystone Logistics is $0.1873 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2600.
What is the quality score of GLGI?
Greystone Logistics has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Greystone Logistics (GLGI)?
Greystone Logistics reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $39.9M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLGI?
The net profit margin of Greystone Logistics is about -11.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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