Group 1 Automotive, Inc (GPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.9B
Group 1 Automotive, Inc
GPI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −9.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 121% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($237.12 to $748.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $138.38 – $485.97 · fair‑value band $237.12 – $748.16 · the $266.47 price screens below the $588.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Group 1 Automotive, Inc (GPI) currently trades at $266.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $588.31, implying the stock looks roughly 120.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Group 1 Automotive, Inc generated revenue of $22.5B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at $5.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $237.12 (bear case) to $748.16 (bull case); at $266.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 121%, GPI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($642.73) versus Dividend Discount ($32.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Group 1 Automotive, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive retail industry in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company sells new and used cars and light trucks through its dealerships and digital platform; and service and insurance contracts.
Full company description
Group 1 Automotive, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive retail industry in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company sells new and used cars and light trucks through its dealerships and digital platform; and service and insurance contracts. It also engages in the wholesale of used vehicles at third-party auctions; wholesale and retail of vehicle and replacement parts; and arrangement of related vehicle financing. In addition, the company offers automotive maintenance and collision repair services. Group 1 Automotive, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Group 1 Automotive, Inc reported revenue of $22.6B in FY2025 versus $13.5B in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was $324M in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.
Watch GPI: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Group 1 Automotive Announces Ira Collision Center North is now Group 1 Collision Saco
- Group 1 Automotive Announces Ira Toyota Saco is now Group 1 Toyota Saco
- Group 1 Automotive Announces Ira Ford Saco is now Group 1 Ford of Saco
- Group 1 Automotive Announces Ira Honda Saco is now Group 1 Honda Saco
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
Compare Group 1 Automotive, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Group 1 Automotive, Inc (GPI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GPI?
What is the quality score of GPI?
What is the revenue of Group 1 Automotive, Inc (GPI)?
What is the net profit margin of GPI?
Does Group 1 Automotive, Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Group 1 Automotive, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.