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Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Guru Organic Energy Corp C$1.74, price C$3.02, upside -42.4%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · CA · ISIN CA36260M1005

GO Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Guru Organic Energy Corp

GURU · TO

Quality Too ExpensiveExcellent quality, but the valuation looks stretched.

!Fair value C$1.74 · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
✓Quality 76/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.0% net margin (FY2025)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$17.76 C$1.23 Fair Value C$1.74 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$1.23 – C$17.76 · fair‑value band C$1.25 – C$2.42 · the C$3.02 price screens above the C$1.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

GURU Organic Energy Corp., a beverage company, engages in production, marketing, and distribution of energy drinks in Canada and the United States.

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GURU Organic Energy Corp., a beverage company, engages in production, marketing, and distribution of energy drinks in Canada and the United States. The company offers its products under the Guru Original, Guru Lite, GURU Zero Wild Berry, Wild Strawberry Watermelon, Guru wild ice pop, Zero Dragon Fruit Cherry Sorbet, Wild Ruby Red, Zero variety pack, island breeze punch, Tropical Punch, Fruit Punch, and Peach Mango Punch brand names. It distributes its products through convenience stores and gas stations, grocery and mass retailers, pharmacies, wholesale clubs, food service companies, and e-commerce platforms, such as guruenergy.com and Amazon. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Stock analysis

Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU) currently trades at C$3.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.74, implying the stock looks roughly 73.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$2.01 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the C$3.02 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.6700, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$1.25 (bear) to C$2.42 (bull), the price of C$3.02 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Guru Organic Energy Corp reported revenue of C$34.7M in FY2025 versus C$30.2M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$1.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$108M (≈ $76.6M) · P/S ratio 2.86 · Net margin −4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.1% · Operating margin −14.0% · Revenue (TTM) C$37.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +31.6% · EPS growth (YoY) +16.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −42%, GURU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$1.25 Fair Value C$1.74 Bull C$2.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$1.45 C$2.01 C$2.78 81
Growth DCF C$1.44 C$1.95 C$2.59 79
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.43 C$2.13 C$2.99 73
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$1.45 C$2.01 C$2.78 81
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.43 C$2.13 C$3.05 72
10Y Revenue Exit C$1.39 C$1.98 C$2.82 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue C$1.47 C$1.98 C$2.48 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.5000 C$0.6700 C$1.00 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$1.44 C$1.95 C$2.59 79
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.43 C$2.13 C$2.99 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 92
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.9% (2020) → −6.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.3% a year for the price.

GURU screens 74% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

Compare Guru Organic Energy Corp with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.56× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.02× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $88.10 $29.32 −67%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $128.15 $96.95 −24%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $43.91 $56.09 +28%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$38.98 HK$42.88 +10%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $102.31 $85.26 −17%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.76 $40.34 +27%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $110.57 $108.02 −2%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹430.20 ₹187.49 −56%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥115.45 ¥173.16 +50%
MIXUE Group 2097 HK$189.20 HK$431.36 +128%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guru Organic Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GURU

Frequently asked questions

Is Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.74 versus a price of C$3.02, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GURU?
Our model-based fair value for Guru Organic Energy Corp is C$1.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$3.02.
What is the quality score of GURU?
Guru Organic Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.25, optimistic scenario C$2.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guru Organic Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.74, about −42% upside versus a price of C$3.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$1.25, optimistic scenario C$2.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
Guru Organic Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$37.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Guru Organic Energy Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +16.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GURU use?
Our models discount Guru Organic Energy Corp at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.97, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Guru Organic Energy Corp that is +16.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Guru Organic Energy Corp grew +9.5 % a year. The price currently implies +16.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Guru Organic Energy Corp (+16.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.29 %: that much free cash flow Guru Organic Energy Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guru Organic Energy Corp it is C$1.74 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$3.02. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guru Organic Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GURU trades above its calculated fair value: price C$3.02, fair value C$1.74, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GURU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$3.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.74). For Guru Organic Energy Corp the two are C$1.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guru Organic Energy Corp worth?
The market values Guru Organic Energy Corp at about C$108M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$3.02; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GURU?
Our models span a range for Guru Organic Energy Corp: cautious scenario C$1.25, base C$1.74, optimistic C$2.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$3.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is GURU from its 52-week high?
Guru Organic Energy Corp trades at C$3.02, about 57% below its 52-week high of C$7.00 and at the low of C$3.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guru Organic Energy Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guru Organic Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$3.02, calculated fair value C$1.74 (−42%), Quality Score 76/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GURU calculated?
We run Guru Organic Energy Corp through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$1.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Guru Organic Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$3.02. Our model-based fair value is C$1.74, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guru Organic Energy Corp right now?
A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$2.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$1.25 to C$2.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Guru Organic Energy Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
The market capitalisation of Guru Organic Energy Corp is C$108M (≈ $76.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guru Organic Energy Corp is 2.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
The net margin of Guru Organic Energy Corp is −4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guru Organic Energy Corp is −20.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
The operating margin of Guru Organic Energy Corp is −14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
Revenue at Guru Organic Energy Corp is growing +31.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU)?
Earnings per share at Guru Organic Energy Corp are growing +16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Guru Organic Energy Corp (GURU) hold?
Guru Organic Energy Corp holds more cash than debt, C$7.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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