HEXPOL AB (HPOL-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 24.7B SEK (≈ $2.6B) · ISIN SE0007074281
What is HEXPOL AB really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of kr 92.37.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +6.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 64.72 – kr 117.69 · fair‑value band kr 66.86 – kr 117.88 · the kr 95.95 price screens above the kr 92.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
HEXPOL AB (HPOL-B) currently trades at kr 95.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 92.37, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 127.42 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 95.95 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 28.50, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, HEXPOL AB generated revenue of 18.7B SEK at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 3.2B SEK. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 66.86 (bear case) to kr 117.88 (bull case); at kr 95.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −4%, HPOL-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.7882 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 127.42) versus Asset-Based (kr 28.50). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
HEXPOL AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells various polymer compounds and engineered gaskets, seals, and wheels in Sweden, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, and Asia. It operates through two segments, HEXPOL Compounding and HEXPOL Engineered Products.
Full company description
HEXPOL AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells various polymer compounds and engineered gaskets, seals, and wheels in Sweden, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, and Asia. It operates through two segments, HEXPOL Compounding and HEXPOL Engineered Products. The HEXPOL Compounding segment offers natural and synthetic rubber compounds under the HEXFLAME, HEXLIGHT, GloMold, and other brands; thermoplastic elastomer compounds under the Dryflex, Mediprene, Epseal, Lifolit, and Lifocork brands; and thermoplastic compounds under the RheTech brand. Its HEXPOL Engineered Products segment develops finished gaskets and seals under the Gislaved Gummi brand, as well as wheels under the Stellana brand. It serves the automotive and engineering; building, construction, and civil engineering; aerospace and transportation; energy; consumer products and electronics; cable and wire; oil and gas; rollers; agriculture; hose; graphic production; toy, sport, and leisure; and plumbing industries, as well as manufacturers of medical equipment, plate heat exchangers, forklifts, and castor wheels. The company was formerly known as Hexagon Polymers AB and changed its name to HEXPOL AB (publ) in May 2008. HEXPOL AB (publ) was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HEXPOL AB reported revenue of 19.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 16.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B SEK in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $485.35 | $222.03 | −54% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $344.86 | $143.38 | −58% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $286.75 | $96.18 | −66% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $308.09 | $122.14 | −60% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,282 | CHF 1,498 | −54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥77.66 | ¥68.03 | −12% |
| 500820 500820 | ₹2,757 | ₹557.43 | −80% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 456.40 | kr 169.99 | −63% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,630 | ₹696.23 | −74% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $114.22 | $71.31 | −38% |
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