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HEXPOL AB (HPOL-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 24.7B SEK

HA HEXPOL AB HPOL-B · ST
Pricekr 84.30
Fair Valuekr 100.19
Upside+18.9%
Quality59/100
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Evidence: High Range kr 75.15 – kr 125.24 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +13.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

kr 87.38 kr 64.72 Fair Value kr 100.19 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range kr 64.72 – kr 87.38 · fair‑value band kr 75.15 – kr 125.24 · the kr 84.30 price screens below the kr 100.19 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

HEXPOL AB (HPOL-B) currently trades at kr 84.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 100.19, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, HEXPOL AB generated revenue of 18.7B SEK at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 3.2B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 75.15 (bear case) to kr 125.24 (bull case); at kr 84.30, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 19%, HPOL-B screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.7B SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.4%
Net margin 9.9%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow 2.3B SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 13.9
More key figures
Operating margin 14.7%
EPS (TTM) kr 5.36
Dividend yield 5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -15.8%
Net debt 3.2B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

HEXPOL AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells various polymer compounds and engineered gaskets, seals, and wheels in Sweden, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, and Asia. It operates through two segments, HEXPOL Compounding and HEXPOL Engineered Products. The HEXPOL Compounding segment offers natural and synthetic rubber compounds under the HEXFLAME, HEXLIGHT, GloMold, and other brands; thermoplastic elastomer compounds under the Dryflex, Mediprene, Epseal, Lifolit, and Lifocork brands; and thermoplastic compounds under the RheTech brand. Its HEXPOL Engineered Products segment develops finished gaskets and seals under the Gislaved Gummi brand, as well as wheels under the Stellana brand. It serves the automotive and engineering; building, construction, and civil engineering; aerospace and transportation; energy; consumer products and electronics; cable and wire; oil and gas; rollers; agriculture; hose; graphic production; toy, sport, and leisure; and …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HEXPOL AB reported revenue of kr 19.3B in FY2025 versus kr 16.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was kr 1.9B in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 kr 16.0B
FY22 kr 22.2B
FY23 kr 22.0B
FY24 kr 20.4B
FY25 kr 19.3B
Net income −4.7%/yr
FY21 kr 2.4B
FY22 kr 2.5B
FY23 kr 2.5B
FY24 kr 2.2B
FY25 kr 1.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HEXPOL AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HPOL-B

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Frequently asked questions

Is HEXPOL AB (HPOL-B) undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 100.19 versus a price of kr 84.30, about +19% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HPOL-B?
Our model-based fair value for HEXPOL AB is kr 100.19 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 84.30.
What is the quality score of HPOL-B?
HEXPOL AB has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of HEXPOL AB (HPOL-B)?
HEXPOL AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.7B SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HPOL-B?
The net profit margin of HEXPOL AB is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HEXPOL AB pay a dividend?
HEXPOL AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.64% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.