Innovation Beverage Group (IBG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.1M
Innovation Beverage Group
IBG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $7.93 to $0.1400 (−98.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0900 to $0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (22 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range $0.7450 – $73.00 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.1700 · the $1.01 price screens above the $0.1400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Innovation Beverage Group (IBG) currently trades at $1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1400, implying the stock looks roughly 86.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Innovation Beverage Group generated revenue of $2.9M at a net margin of -87.7%. Revenue declined 38.6% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0900 (bear case) to $0.1700 (bull case); at $1.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -86%, IBG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Innovation Beverage Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in developing, manufacturing, selling, and exporting alcoholic beverages in Australia and the United States. The company offers bitters under the Australian Bitters Company and BitterTales brands; bottled cocktails under the Twisted Shaker brand; light spirits; and mixers.
Full company description
Innovation Beverage Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in developing, manufacturing, selling, and exporting alcoholic beverages in Australia and the United States. The company offers bitters under the Australian Bitters Company and BitterTales brands; bottled cocktails under the Twisted Shaker brand; light spirits; and mixers. It also provides non-alcoholic beverages; non-alcoholic spirits under the Drummerboy brands; and other alcoholic beverages under the Australis Gin, VOCO, Cheeky Vodka, Coventry Estate Gin, and Geo Liqueurs brands. In addition, the company retails wines and spirits, as well as its other products, through its online marketplaces consisting of www.wiredforwine.com, www.bevmart.com, www.bevmart.com.au, and www.drummerboy.com. The company was formerly known as Australian Boutique Spirits PTY LTD and changed its name to Innovation Beverage Group Limited in June 2022. Innovation Beverage Group was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Seven Hills, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Innovation Beverage Group reported revenue of $2.9M in FY2024 versus $2.2M in FY2020, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.6M in FY2024.
IBG screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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