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Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Innovation Beverage Group Limited $0.14, price $0.95, upside -85.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · Home Australia · ISIN AU0000226177

IB Innovation Beverage Group Limited logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Innovation Beverage Group Limited

IBG · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.1400 · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 38/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −7.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -87.7% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$73.00 $0.7450 Fair Value $0.1400 Sep 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

24‑month range $0.7450 – $73.00 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.1700 · the $0.9501 price screens above the $0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Innovation Beverage Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in developing, manufacturing, selling, and exporting alcoholic beverages in Australia and the United States. The company offers bitters under the Australian Bitters Company and BitterTales brands; bottled cocktails under the Twisted Shaker brand; light spirits; and mixers.

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Innovation Beverage Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in developing, manufacturing, selling, and exporting alcoholic beverages in Australia and the United States. The company offers bitters under the Australian Bitters Company and BitterTales brands; bottled cocktails under the Twisted Shaker brand; light spirits; and mixers. It also provides non-alcoholic beverages; non-alcoholic spirits under the Drummerboy brands; and other alcoholic beverages under the Australis Gin, VOCO, Cheeky Vodka, Coventry Estate Gin, and Geo Liqueurs brands. In addition, the company retails wines and spirits, as well as its other products, through its online marketplaces consisting of www.wiredforwine.com, www.bevmart.com, www.bevmart.com.au, and www.drummerboy.com. The company was formerly known as Australian Boutique Spirits PTY LTD and changed its name to Innovation Beverage Group Limited in June 2022. Innovation Beverage Group was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Seven Hills, Australia.

Stock analysis

Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) currently trades at $0.9501, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1400, implying the stock looks roughly 578.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0900 (bear) to $0.1700 (bull), the price of $0.9501 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Innovation Beverage Group Limited reported revenue of $2.9M in FY2024 versus $2.2M in FY2020, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.6M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1M · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) $−7.75 · Net margin −87.7% · Return on equity −159% · Return on assets (EBIT) −32.1% · Operating margin −122% · Revenue (TTM) $2.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at −85%, IBG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0900 Fair Value $0.1400 Bull $0.1700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.7200 $0.9700 $1.44 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7200 $0.9700 $1.44 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.4% (2020) → −109.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

IBG screens 578% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −33% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −88% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −122% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −39% · Bottom 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,254 ¥1,653 +32%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥70.54 ¥77.59 +10%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥113.20 ¥209.69 +85%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥71.48 ¥149.17 +109%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €59.58 €56.69 −5%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4350 SGD 0.7300 SGD +68%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥38.35 ¥24.22 −37%
Davide Campari-Milano N.V CPR €6.08 €4.53 −25%
Radico Khaitan Limited RADICO ₹4,602 ₹947.44 −79%
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369 ¥27.26 ¥38.66 +42%

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Innovation Beverage Group Limited · Fair Value
$0.1400 −578%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Innovation Beverage Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IBG

Frequently asked questions

Is Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1400 versus a price of $0.9501, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IBG?
Our model-based fair value for Innovation Beverage Group Limited is $0.1400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.9501.
What is the quality score of IBG?
Innovation Beverage Group Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0900, optimistic scenario $0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Innovation Beverage Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1400, about −85% upside versus a price of $0.9501 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0900, optimistic scenario $0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
Innovation Beverage Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Innovation Beverage Group Limited it is $0.1400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.9501. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Innovation Beverage Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, IBG trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.9501, fair value $0.1400, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IBG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.9501); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1400). For Innovation Beverage Group Limited the two are $0.8101 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Innovation Beverage Group Limited worth?
The market values Innovation Beverage Group Limited at about $2.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.9501; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IBG?
Our models span a range for Innovation Beverage Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.0900, base $0.1400, optimistic $0.1700 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.9501). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Innovation Beverage Group Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −159.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IBG from its 52-week high?
Innovation Beverage Group Limited trades at $0.9501, about 96% below its 52-week high of $21.95 and 28% above the low of $0.7450 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Innovation Beverage Group Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Luzhou Laojiao Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Innovation Beverage Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.9501, calculated fair value $0.1400 (−85%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IBG calculated?
We run Innovation Beverage Group Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Innovation Beverage Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.9501. Our model-based fair value is $0.1400, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Innovation Beverage Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0900 to $0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Innovation Beverage Group Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
The market capitalisation of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is $2.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is 0.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
Earnings per share at Innovation Beverage Group Limited are $−7.75. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
The net margin of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is −87.7% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is −159% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is −32.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
The operating margin of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is −122% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG)?
Revenue at Innovation Beverage Group Limited is growing −38.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) generate?
The free cash flow of Innovation Beverage Group Limited is −$1.6M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Innovation Beverage Group Limited (IBG) hold?
Innovation Beverage Group Limited holds more cash than debt, $436K net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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