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Data-driven stock valuation

Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT stock IDR 19, price IDR 118, upside -84.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials ID · ISIN ID1000149305

KJ Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT

KJEN · JK
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 84% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 53/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −38.4 %/yr in IDR)
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin (TTM)
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Fair value 18.62 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−84.2%)
Narrow moat 33/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1,100 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 18.62 IDR May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 1,100 IDR · fair‑value band 14.02 IDR – 26.16 IDR · the 118.00 IDR price screens above the 18.62 IDR fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk provides courier services in Indonesia. It also offers freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Grafindo Karya Nusantara.

Stock analysis

Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN) currently trades at 118.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.62 IDR, 84.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 69.27 IDR per share, and 1 of the 18 models we run sit above the 118.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4.70 IDR, and 17 of the 18 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 14.02 IDR (bear) to 26.16 IDR (bull), the price of 118.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT reported revenue of 3.9B IDR in FY2025 versus 8.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound −17.6%/yr. Reported net income was 30.0M IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 59.0B IDR (≈ $3.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 14.2 · EPS (TTM) −4.30 IDR · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 13.8% · Revenue (TTM) 4.2B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −84%, KJEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.5000 IDR to 561.60 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 14.02 IDR Fair Value 18.62 IDR Bull 26.16 IDR
Price 118.00 IDR · Upside -84.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 10.21 IDR 13.09 IDR 17.79 IDR 81
Growth DCF 10.50 IDR 13.21 IDR 17.30 IDR 80
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.37 IDR 18.39 IDR 26.36 IDR 75
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 10.21 IDR 13.09 IDR 17.79 IDR 81
5Y Revenue Exit 8.82 IDR 12.26 IDR 17.23 IDR 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.37 IDR 18.39 IDR 26.36 IDR 75
5Y P/E Exit 4.98 IDR 5.62 IDR 6.44 IDR 72
10Y Revenue Exit 9.23 IDR 11.59 IDR 14.05 IDR 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 11.30 IDR 14.91 IDR 18.73 IDR 70
10Y P/E Exit 7.37 IDR 8.01 IDR 8.52 IDR 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.4100 IDR 0.5000 IDR 0.5600 IDR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.9500 IDR 1.26 IDR 1.58 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 0.7700 IDR 1.02 IDR 1.28 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 421.20 IDR 561.60 IDR 702.00 IDR 55
EV/EBITDA 15.52 IDR 21.18 IDR 26.83 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 7.20 IDR 10.91 IDR 14.62 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.10 IDR 4.70 IDR 5.87 IDR 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 10.50 IDR 13.21 IDR 17.30 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.82 IDR 12.55 IDR 17.18 IDR 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 76.39 IDR 69.27 IDR 63.32 IDR 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.6700 IDR 0.9500 IDR 1.24 IDR 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 64
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 19
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−37.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−37.0% vs −34.8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → −3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.2%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +49.2% a year for the price.

KJEN screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −84.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 13.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 12.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 14.17× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow 124.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 75.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)60 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.12 ¥109.70 +242% vs KJEN
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.80 €138.85 +136% vs KJEN
FedEx Corporation FDX $304.58 $350.86 +15% vs KJEN
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $106.09 $107.24 +1% vs KJEN
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 232.70 CHF 147.92 −36% vs KJEN
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $222.06 $133.78 −40% vs KJEN
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $198.39 $116.66 −41% vs KJEN
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,394 kr 711.95 −49% vs KJEN
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €24.05 €11.51 −52% vs KJEN
FedEx Freight Holding FDXF $109.69 $45.10 −59% vs KJEN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KJEN

Frequently asked questions

Is Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.62 IDR versus a price of 118.00 IDR, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KJEN?
Our model-based fair value for Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 18.62 IDR (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 118.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KJEN?
Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.62 IDR (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.02 IDR, optimistic scenario 26.16 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.62 IDR, about −84% upside versus a price of 118.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.02 IDR, optimistic scenario 26.16 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +53.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -21.6 % per year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KJEN use?
Our models discount Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT that is +53.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT grew -21.6 % a year. The price currently implies +53.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (+53.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.81 %: that much free cash flow Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT it is 18.62 IDR per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of 118.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, KJEN trades above its calculated fair value: price 118.00 IDR, fair value 18.62 IDR, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KJEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (118.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.62 IDR). For Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT the two are 99.38 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT worth?
The market values Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT at about 59.0B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is 118.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 18.62 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KJEN?
Our models span a range for Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT: cautious scenario 14.02 IDR, base 18.62 IDR, optimistic 26.16 IDR per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price 118.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KJEN from its 52-week high?
Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT trades at 118.00 IDR, about 59% below its 52-week high of 286.00 IDR and 22% above the low of 97.00 IDR (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.62 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price 118.00 IDR, calculated fair value 18.62 IDR (−84%), Quality Score 53/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KJEN calculated?
We run Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.62 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was 118.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 18.62 IDR, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (26.16 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (14.02 IDR to 26.16 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The market capitalisation of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 59.0B IDR (≈ $3.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 14.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Earnings per share at Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT are −4.30 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The net margin of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
The operating margin of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Revenue at Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is growing +12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN)?
Earnings per share at Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT are growing +9.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT (KJEN) carry?
The net debt of Krida Jaringan Nusantara Tbk PT is 724M IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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