Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $23.0B · ISIN US1912411089
At a glance
CCCoca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADRKOF · US
Price$109.57
Fair Value$108.87
Upside−0.6%
Quality59/100
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $108.87.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is $108.87 per share against a price of $109.57, so the fair value sits 1% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·3.73% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (7/10)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange $51.76 to $175.79
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $108.50 to $108.87 (+0.3%) since Sep 1, 2026. Share price −0.8% over the past month.
This is the short version. In the app for Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR:
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The model range is unusually wide ($51.76 to $175.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $39.78 – $116.90 · fair‑value band $51.76 – $175.79 · the $109.57 price screens above the $108.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) currently trades at $109.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $108.87, implying the stock looks roughly 0.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $1,057 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $109.57 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $332.17, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR generated revenue of 293B MXN at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at 54.6B MXN. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $51.76 (bear) to $175.79 (bull), the price of $109.57 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −1%, KOF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio0.08TTM
EPS (TTM)$−0.4500
Dividend yield3.7%
Net margin8.2%FY2025
Return on equity15.8%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)11.9%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin12.8%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)293B MXNTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+1.1%3y avg +8.8%
EPS growth (YoY)−15.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow5.7B MXNFY2025
Net debt54.6B MXNFY2025 · ≈ 9.5 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality59/100
Of which business quality 57
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Profitability60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance100
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay.
Full company description
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks. It also distributes and sells beer products under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages, such as Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer; and Monster products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail outlets, wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, retailers, points-of-sale outlets, restaurants and bars, stadiums, auditoriums, theaters, and home deliveries. Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR reported revenue of 292B MXN in FY2025 versus 195B MXN in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was 23.8B MXN in FY2025, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
292B MXN
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +85.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+81.5%
Dividend yield3.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 81.5% vs 10Y 36.8%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14.0% (2020) → 13.9% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop217% (2017) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in MXN
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 1,121% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue+10.6%/yr
FY21195B MXN
FY22227B MXN
FY23245B MXN
FY24280B MXN
FY25292B MXN
Net income+11.0%/yr
FY2115.7B MXN
FY2219.0B MXN
FY2319.5B MXN
FY2423.7B MXN
FY2523.8B MXN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+13.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share+10.3 %
of which total revenue +6.1 % · buybacks/dilution +3.9 %
EBIT margin−0.6 %
Tax rate−0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)+4.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Above median
Return on assets8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.50× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA1.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG23.39× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+1.6 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+9.7 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.9 %
FCF yield on price14.70 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE30· sector 15
FUTURE6· sector 44
PAST63· sector 50
HEALTH75· sector 97
DIVIDEND75· sector 53
Insider activity: 20/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Alcohol
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Is Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $108.87 versus a price of $109.57, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KOF?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is $108.87 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $109.57.
What is the quality score of KOF?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $108.87 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $51.76, optimistic scenario $175.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $108.87, about −1% upside versus a price of $109.57 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $51.76, optimistic scenario $175.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF)?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 293B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KOF?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +1.6 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KOF use?
Our models discount Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR it is $108.87 per share (as of Sep 8, 2026), against a price of $109.57. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 8, 2026, KOF trades above its calculated fair value: price $109.57, fair value $108.87, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($109.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($108.87). For Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR the two are $0.7000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR worth?
The market values Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR at about $23.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 8, 2026). Per share that is $109.57; our models calculate a fair value of $108.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOF?
Our models span a range for Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR: cautious scenario $51.76, base $108.87, optimistic $175.79 per share (as of Sep 8, 2026, price $109.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of KOF?
The PEG ratio of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR is 23.39 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (as of Sep 8, 2026): return on equity 15.8%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOF from its 52-week high?
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR trades at $109.57, about 5% below its 52-week high of $115.14 and 41% above the low of $77.64 (as of Sep 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $108.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 8, 2026: price $109.57, calculated fair value $108.87 (−1%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOF calculated?
We run Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $108.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR
KOF · US