LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (LVMH01) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 5.6B THB
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated today
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 6.71 THB (bear) to 11.10 THB (bull), base 8.96 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range 10.41 THB – 20.32 THB · fair‑value band 6.71 THB – 11.10 THB · the 11.30 THB price screens above the 8.96 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, (LVMH01) currently trades at 11.30 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.96 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, generated revenue of 79.6B THB at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at €11.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.71 THB (bear case) to 11.10 THB (bull case); at 11.30 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -21%, LVMH01 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (9.09 THB) versus Asset-Based (2.22 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a luxury goods company worldwide.
Full company description
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a luxury goods company worldwide. It offers wine and spirit products under the Ao Yun, Ardbeg, Armand de Brignac, Belvedere, Bodega Numanthia, Chandon, Cheval des Andes, Château Cheval Blanc, Château Galoupet, Château d'Yquem, Château d'Esclans, Cloudy Bay, Colgin Cellars, Dom Pérignon, Domaine des Lambrays, Eminente, Glenmorangie, Hennessy, Joseph Phelps, Krug, Mercier, Minuty, Moët & Chandon, Newton Vineyard, Ruinart, SirDavis, Terrazas de los Andes, Veuve Clicquot, Volcan de mi Tierra, and Woodinville brands; fashion and leather products under Barton Perreira,Berluti, Celine, Christian Dior, Fendi, Givenchy, Kenzo, Loewe, Loro Piana, Louis Vuitton, Marc Jacobs, Moynat, Patou, Pucci, Rimowa, and Vuarnet brands; and perfumes and cosmetics products under the Acqua di Parma, Benefit Cosmetics, Fenty Beauty by Rihanna, Fresh, Givenchy Parfums, Guerlain, Kenzo Parfums, Loewe Perfumes, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, Make Up For Ever, OLEHENRIKSEN, Officine Universelle Buly, and Parfums Christian Dior brands. The company also provides watches and jewelry under the Bvlgari, Chaumet, DANIEL ROTH, Fred, Gérald Genta, Hublot, L'Epée 1839, Repossi, TAG Heuer, Tiffany & Co., and Zenith brands; and selective retailing under the 24S, DFS, La Grande Épicerie de Paris, Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche, Samaritaine, and Sephora brands. In addition, it offers french business and cultural publications under the Les Echos group brand; custom-designed yachts under the Feadship brand; hotels under the Cheval Blanc and Belmond brands; and other activities under the Connaissance des Arts, Cova, Investir, Jardin d'Acclimatation, Le Parisien, Paris Match, and Radio Classique brands. LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne was founded in 1365 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €79.2B in FY2022, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was €10.9B in FY2025, compounding −8.2%/yr from FY2022.
LVMH01 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 136 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 193.70 | CHF 119.08 | -39% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Kering SA KER | €270.60 | €56.23 | -79% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | -87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | -6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 37.90 | CHF 21.48 | -43% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$42.22 | HK$64.07 | +52% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 771.40 | kr 1,424 | +85% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$359.20 | HK$544.05 | +51% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹596.70 | ₹238.57 | -60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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