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Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited (LYPSAGEMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹136M

LG Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited LYPSAGEMS · BSE
Price₹4.75
Fair Value₹9.98
Upside+110.1%
Quality55/100
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Strengths

Trades 52% below our fair value of ₹9.98
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.8 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.8 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹7.49 – ₹12.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 52% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹7.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹12.05 ₹3.57 Fair Value ₹9.98 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹3.57 – ₹12.05 · fair‑value band ₹7.49 – ₹12.48 · the ₹4.75 price screens below the ₹9.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited (LYPSAGEMS) currently trades at ₹4.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹9.98, implying the stock looks roughly 110.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited generated revenue of ₹160M at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue declined 72.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at ₹143M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹7.49 (bear case) to ₹12.48 (bull case); at ₹4.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at 110%, LYPSAGEMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹1.05 ₹1.17 ₹1.27 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹6.83 ₹9.76 ₹12.68 68
P/E Multiple ₹9.69 ₹12.92 ₹16.15 63
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹3.99 ₹4.88 ₹5.49 54
EPV ₹1.05 ₹1.17 ₹1.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹9.69 ₹12.92 ₹16.15 63
P/S Multiple ₹4.49 ₹5.99 ₹7.49 58
P/B Multiple ₹7.49 ₹9.98 ₹12.48 55
EV/EBIT ₹2.20 ₹2.93 ₹3.66 53
EV/EBITDA ₹2.10 ₹2.81 ₹3.51 54
EV/Revenue ₹1.48 ₹2.12 ₹2.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹3.08 ₹4.13 ₹6.16 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹4.80 ₹5.08 ₹5.46 61
ROIC Compounder ₹1.05 ₹1.17 ₹1.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹6.83 ₹9.76 ₹12.68 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹9.76) versus Earnings-Based (₹1.17). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.1
P/S ratio 0.85 TTM
Net margin 10.9% TTM
Return on equity 10.0% TTM
Return on assets 1.6% TTM
Operating margin 18.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) ₹0.5900
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹160M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -72.5% 3y avg +3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +74.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹16.6M FY2026
Net debt ₹143M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited manufactures and trades in diamonds in India. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited reported revenue of ₹147M in FY2026 versus ₹140M in FY2022, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹17.3M in FY2026, compounding +122.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹147M
Latest YoY
−11.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+89.8% (89.8 + 0.0)
Revenue +1.2%/yr
FY22 ₹140M
FY23 ₹132M
FY24 ₹94.9M
FY25 ₹167M
FY26 ₹147M
Net income +122.8%/yr
FY22 ₹703K
FY23 ₹275K
FY24 −₹327M
FY25 −₹152M
FY26 ₹17.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LYPSAGEMS.BSE

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 135 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -73% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.85× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 185.45 CHF 118.46 -36%
Christian Dior SE DIO €423.60 €1,095 +159%
Kering SA KER €270.60 €56.23 -79%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 -87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 -6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 37.90 CHF 21.48 -43%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$42.22 HK$64.07 +52%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 783.00 kr 1,424 +82%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$359.20 HK$544.05 +51%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €89.08 €34.90 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited (LYPSAGEMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹9.98 versus a price of ₹4.75, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LYPSAGEMS?
Our model-based fair value for Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited is ₹9.98 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹4.75.
What is the quality score of LYPSAGEMS?
Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited (LYPSAGEMS)?
Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹160M (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LYPSAGEMS?
The net profit margin of Lypsa Gems & Jewellery Limited is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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