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Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Movebybike Europe Ab stock SEK 5.08, price SEK 8.65, upside -41.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials SE

ME Movebybike Europe Ab logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

Movebybike Europe Ab

MBBAB · ST
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 41% below what the stock costs today.

Costs just 0.7 times its yearly profit.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr in SEK)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Fair value kr 5.08 · Strongly overvalued (−41.3%)
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -1.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution

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Price vs Fair Value

kr 3,206 kr 5.00 Fair Value kr 5.08 Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 5.00 – kr 3,206 · fair‑value band kr 3.68 – kr 6.47 · the kr 8.65 price screens above the kr 5.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) provides urban logistics with e-cargo bikes in Sweden.

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The company offers transport services such as parcel and e-commerce deliveries, flower and fragile goods, chilled and temperature controlled deliveries, time critical and same day deliveries, scheduled and recurring routes, and food and grocery deliveries.

It also provides advertising services, which includes passive exposure, active campaigns, custom built vehicles, and sampling and activation. MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) currently trades at kr 8.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 5.08, 41.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: kr 3.68 (bear) to kr 6.47 (bull), the price of kr 8.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Movebybike Europe Ab reported revenue of 33.9M SEK in FY2025 versus 26.2M SEK in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.6M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 26.5M SEK (≈ $2.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 0.7 · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) kr −2.91 · Net margin −4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −167% · Operating margin −36.8% · Revenue (TTM) 38.1M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −41%, MBBAB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 3.68 Fair Value kr 5.08 Bull kr 6.47
Price kr 8.65 · Upside -41.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA kr 4.33 kr 5.97 kr 7.61 67
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0400 kr 0.0500 kr 0.0800 53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 4.33 kr 5.97 kr 7.61 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0400 kr 0.0500 kr 0.0800 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 7
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 87
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 21
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 16
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 8
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.4% (2020) → −0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MBBAB screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −41.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −12.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −36.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 19.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 0.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.70× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 27.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)96 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.82 ¥109.70 +234% vs MBBAB
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.80 €138.85 +136% vs MBBAB
FedEx Corporation FDX $304.58 $350.86 +15% vs MBBAB
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $108.25 $107.24 −1% vs MBBAB
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 237.20 CHF 147.92 −38% vs MBBAB
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $222.06 $133.78 −40% vs MBBAB
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $198.39 $116.66 −41% vs MBBAB
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,407 kr 711.95 −49% vs MBBAB
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €24.05 €11.51 −52% vs MBBAB
FedEx Freight Holding FDXF $109.69 $45.10 −59% vs MBBAB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Movebybike Europe Ab Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBBAB

Frequently asked questions

Is Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 5.08 versus a price of kr 8.65, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBBAB?
Our model-based fair value for Movebybike Europe Ab is kr 5.08 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 8.65.
What is the quality score of MBBAB?
Movebybike Europe Ab has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 5.08 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 3.68, optimistic scenario kr 6.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Movebybike Europe Ab stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 5.08, about −41% upside versus a price of kr 8.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 3.68, optimistic scenario kr 6.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Movebybike Europe Ab reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 38.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Movebybike Europe Ab it is kr 5.08 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of kr 8.65. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Movebybike Europe Ab stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, MBBAB trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 8.65, fair value kr 5.08, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBBAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 8.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 5.08). For Movebybike Europe Ab the two are kr 3.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Movebybike Europe Ab worth?
The market values Movebybike Europe Ab at about 26.5M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is kr 8.65; our models calculate a fair value of kr 5.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBBAB?
Our models span a range for Movebybike Europe Ab: cautious scenario kr 3.68, base kr 5.08, optimistic kr 6.47 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price kr 8.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MBBAB?
Movebybike Europe Ab trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.7 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 5.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 27.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Movebybike Europe Ab (as of Oct 29, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MBBAB from its 52-week high?
Movebybike Europe Ab trades at kr 8.65, about 82% below its 52-week high of kr 47.40 and 73% above the low of kr 5.00 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 5.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Movebybike Europe Ab?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Movebybike Europe Ab stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price kr 8.65, calculated fair value kr 5.08 (−41%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBBAB calculated?
We run Movebybike Europe Ab through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 5.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Movebybike Europe Ab itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was kr 8.65. Our model-based fair value is kr 5.08, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Movebybike Europe Ab right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 6.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Movebybike Europe Ab

How large is the market capitalisation of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The market capitalisation of Movebybike Europe Ab is 26.5M SEK (≈ $2.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Movebybike Europe Ab is 0.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Earnings per share at Movebybike Europe Ab are kr −2.91 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The net margin of Movebybike Europe Ab is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Movebybike Europe Ab is −167% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The operating margin of Movebybike Europe Ab is −36.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Revenue at Movebybike Europe Ab is growing +19.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) generate?
The free cash flow of Movebybike Europe Ab is −16.0M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) carry?
The net debt of Movebybike Europe Ab is 1.6M SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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