MoveByBike Europe AB (MBBAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 28.1M SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price −24.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and the price sits another 50% above our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 6.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 5.00 – kr 3,206 · fair‑value band kr 3.68 – kr 6.47 · the kr 10.20 price screens above the kr 5.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
MoveByBike Europe AB (MBBAB) currently trades at kr 10.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 5.07, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, MoveByBike Europe AB generated revenue of 36.5M SEK at a net margin of -2.9%. Revenue grew 37.5% year over year. Net debt stands at 1.6M SEK. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 3.68 (bear case) to kr 6.47 (bull case); at kr 10.20, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -50%, MBBAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 6.45) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.1000). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) provides urban logistics with e-cargo bikes in Sweden. The company offers transport services such as parcel and e-commerce deliveries, flower and fragile goods, chilled and temperature controlled deliveries, time critical and same day deliveries, scheduled and recurring routes, and food and grocery deliveries.
Full company description
MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) provides urban logistics with e-cargo bikes in Sweden. The company offers transport services such as parcel and e-commerce deliveries, flower and fragile goods, chilled and temperature controlled deliveries, time critical and same day deliveries, scheduled and recurring routes, and food and grocery deliveries. It also provides advertising services, which includes passive exposure, active campaigns, custom built vehicles, and sampling and activation. MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MoveByBike Europe AB reported revenue of kr 33.9M in FY2025 versus kr 26.2M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 1.6M in FY2025.
MBBAB sits 50% above fair value. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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