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Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Movebybike Europe Ab is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · SE

ME Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Movebybike Europe Ab

MBBAB · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 5.08 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

kr 3,206 kr 5.00 Fair Value kr 5.08 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 5.00 – kr 3,206 · fair‑value band kr 3.68 – kr 6.47 · the kr 9.90 price screens above the kr 5.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) provides urban logistics with e-cargo bikes in Sweden. The company offers transport services such as parcel and e-commerce deliveries, flower and fragile goods, chilled and temperature controlled deliveries, time critical and same day deliveries, scheduled and recurring routes, and food and grocery deliveries.

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MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) provides urban logistics with e-cargo bikes in Sweden. The company offers transport services such as parcel and e-commerce deliveries, flower and fragile goods, chilled and temperature controlled deliveries, time critical and same day deliveries, scheduled and recurring routes, and food and grocery deliveries. It also provides advertising services, which includes passive exposure, active campaigns, custom built vehicles, and sampling and activation. MoveByBike Europe AB (publ) was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) currently trades at kr 9.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 5.08, implying the stock looks roughly 95.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 3.68 (bear) to kr 6.47 (bull), the price of kr 9.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Movebybike Europe Ab reported revenue of 33.9M SEK in FY2025 versus 26.2M SEK in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.6M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 28.1M SEK (≈ $2.9M) · P/E ratio 0.8 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) kr 11.97 · Net margin −4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −167% · Operating margin −57.5% · Revenue (TTM) 36.5M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −49%, MBBAB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 3.68 Fair Value kr 5.08 Bull kr 6.47
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 8.49 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA kr 4.81 kr 6.45 kr 8.09 67
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0700 kr 0.1000 kr 0.1500 53
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 4.81 kr 6.45 kr 8.09 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0700 kr 0.1000 kr 0.1500 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 6 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.4% (2020) → −0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MBBAB screens 95% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −75% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −58% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 38% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.39× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 7.19× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 8
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $100.28 $103.34 +3%
FedEx Corporation FDX $311.99 $347.68 +11%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.02 €121.54 +121%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,291 kr 712.57 −45%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 212.60 CHF 147.92 −30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $270.45 $133.80 −51%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.12 ¥105.88 +240%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $152.78 $86.56 −43%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $192.60 $115.95 −40%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO $20.61 $31.98 +55%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Movebybike Europe Ab Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBBAB

Frequently asked questions

Is Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 5.08 versus a price of kr 9.90, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBBAB?
Our model-based fair value for Movebybike Europe Ab is kr 5.08 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 9.90.
What is the quality score of MBBAB?
Movebybike Europe Ab has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 5.08 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 3.68, optimistic scenario kr 6.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Movebybike Europe Ab stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 5.08, about −49% upside versus a price of kr 9.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 3.68, optimistic scenario kr 6.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Movebybike Europe Ab reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.5M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Movebybike Europe Ab it is kr 5.08 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of kr 9.90. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Movebybike Europe Ab stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MBBAB trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 9.90, fair value kr 5.08, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBBAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 9.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 5.08). For Movebybike Europe Ab the two are kr 4.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Movebybike Europe Ab worth?
The market values Movebybike Europe Ab at about 28.1M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 9.90; our models calculate a fair value of kr 5.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBBAB?
Our models span a range for Movebybike Europe Ab: cautious scenario kr 3.68, base kr 5.08, optimistic kr 6.47 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price kr 9.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MBBAB?
Movebybike Europe Ab trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 5.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.2, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Movebybike Europe Ab (as of Sep 13, 2026): debt of 3.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Movebybike Europe Ab?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Movebybike Europe Ab stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price kr 9.90, calculated fair value kr 5.08 (−49%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBBAB calculated?
We run Movebybike Europe Ab through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 5.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Movebybike Europe Ab itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was kr 9.90. Our model-based fair value is kr 5.08, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Movebybike Europe Ab right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 6.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Movebybike Europe Ab

How large is the market capitalisation of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The market capitalisation of Movebybike Europe Ab is 28.1M SEK (≈ $2.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Movebybike Europe Ab is 0.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Earnings per share at Movebybike Europe Ab are kr 11.97 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The net margin of Movebybike Europe Ab is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Movebybike Europe Ab is −167% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
The operating margin of Movebybike Europe Ab is −57.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB)?
Revenue at Movebybike Europe Ab is growing +37.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) generate?
The free cash flow of Movebybike Europe Ab is −16.0M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Movebybike Europe Ab (MBBAB) carry?
The net debt of Movebybike Europe Ab is 1.6M SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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