McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of McRae Industries Inc $45.78, price $50.00, upside -8.4%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.00 – $50.05 · fair‑value band $34.53 – $61.71 · the $50.00 price screens above the $45.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 4, 2026.
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McRae Industries, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes boot products for the western/lifestyle and work boot markets. It manufactures military combat boots for the United States government. The company offers its products for men, women, and children under the Dan Post, Laredo Western Boots, Dingo, McRae Industrial, and McRae Footwear brand names.
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McRae Industries, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes boot products for the western/lifestyle and work boot markets. It manufactures military combat boots for the United States government. The company offers its products for men, women, and children under the Dan Post, Laredo Western Boots, Dingo, McRae Industrial, and McRae Footwear brand names. McRae Industries, Inc. was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Mount Gilead, North Carolina.
Stock analysis
McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB) currently trades at $50.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.78, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $57.08 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the $50.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $10.63, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $34.53 (bear) to $61.71 (bull), the price of $50.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
McRae Industries Inc reported revenue of $115M in FY2025 versus $82.2M in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $7.6M in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $113M · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) $4.02 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 49% fair-value upside, at −8%, MCRAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $34.53Fair Value $45.78Bull $61.71
Price $50.00 · Upside -8.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.88 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+23.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.4% vs 5.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−8.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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Is McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.78 versus a price of $50.00, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MCRAB?
Our model-based fair value for McRae Industries Inc is $45.78 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $50.00.
What is the quality score of MCRAB?
McRae Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $45.78 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $34.53, optimistic scenario $61.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the McRae Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $45.78, about −8% upside versus a price of $50.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $34.53, optimistic scenario $61.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
McRae Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $114M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does McRae Industries Inc pay a dividend?
McRae Industries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.28% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, McRae Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MCRAB use?
Our models discount McRae Industries Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For McRae Industries Inc that is +13.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at McRae Industries Inc grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies +13.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into McRae Industries Inc (+13.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.83 %: that much free cash flow McRae Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For McRae Industries Inc it is $45.78 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $50.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is McRae Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, MCRAB trades above its calculated fair value: price $50.00, fair value $45.78, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MCRAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($50.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($45.78). For McRae Industries Inc the two are $4.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is McRae Industries Inc worth?
The market values McRae Industries Inc at about $113M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $50.00; our models calculate a fair value of $45.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MCRAB?
Our models span a range for McRae Industries Inc: cautious scenario $34.53, base $45.78, optimistic $61.71 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $50.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MCRAB?
McRae Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $45.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 17.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for McRae Industries Inc (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MCRAB from its 52-week high?
McRae Industries Inc trades at $50.00, at its 52-week high of $50.05 and 15% above the low of $43.58 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $45.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to McRae Industries Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, adidas AG, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, On Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is McRae Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $50.00, calculated fair value $45.78 (−8%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MCRAB calculated?
We run McRae Industries Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $45.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. McRae Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $50.00. Our model-based fair value is $45.78, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with McRae Industries Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of McRae Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The market capitalisation of McRae Industries Inc is $113M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of McRae Industries Inc is 0.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
Earnings per share at McRae Industries Inc are $4.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The dividend yield of McRae Industries Inc is 0.3% (payout 3.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The net margin of McRae Industries Inc is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of McRae Industries Inc is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of McRae Industries Inc is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
The operating margin of McRae Industries Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
Revenue at McRae Industries Inc is growing −11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB)?
Earnings per share at McRae Industries Inc are growing −72.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does McRae Industries Inc (MCRAB) hold?
McRae Industries Inc holds more cash than debt, $30.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 4, 2026