NTG Nordic Transport Group (NTG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DK · Market cap 5.4B DKK

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• Our model range runs from kr 156.81 (bear) to kr 261.35 (bull), base kr 209.08. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 153.40 – kr 595.00 · fair‑value band kr 156.81 – kr 261.35 · the kr 264.50 price screens above the kr 209.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NTG Nordic Transport Group (NTG) currently trades at kr 264.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 209.08, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NTG Nordic Transport Group generated revenue of 11.7B DKK at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 2.4B DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 156.81 (bear case) to kr 261.35 (bull case); at kr 264.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -21%, NTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 495.38) versus Dividend Discount (kr 20.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S, together with its subsidiaries, provides asset-light freight forwarding services through road, rail, air, and ocean in Denmark, Germany, the United States, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Road & Logistics and Air & Ocean.

Full company description

NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S, together with its subsidiaries, provides asset-light freight forwarding services through road, rail, air, and ocean in Denmark, Germany, the United States, Sweden, Finland, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Road & Logistics and Air & Ocean. It offers road freight solutions, including full-loads, part loads, and groupage; special transport; project transport; temperature-controlled freight transport; and temperature-controlled freight transport, high-tech, furniture transport and logistics, automotive, cycling, textiles, sensitive and regulated goods, dangerous goods freight transport, powder, distribution, and express service. The company also provides ocean freight, such as port-to-port/door-to-door, full container load, less-than-container-load, short sea, buyer's consolidation, cross trade, project transport, charter customs clearance, temperature-controlled transport, and dangerous goods; and air freight comprising airport-to-airport/door-to-door, consolidation, direct shipments, temperature-controlled transport, full/part charter, onboard courier, and dangerous goods. In addition, it offers daily departures, day to day, express, and door to door services; project transportation, including RoRo, oversized cargo, break bulk/heavy loads, point to point/cross trade/third party logistics, vessel and project charter, dangerous goods, turnkey transport, and surveillance and reporting services; and project transport consulting services which include vessel load surveying, velles operations, packaging and securing control, export/import document control, customs clearance, heavy lifting and load planning, and reporting services. Further, the company provides furniture logistics; warehouse logistics; 4PL services; and multimodal freight transport services. NTG Nordic Transport Group A/S was founded in 1988 and is based in Hvidovre, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NTG Nordic Transport Group reported revenue of kr 11.4B in FY2025 versus kr 7.3B in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 217M in FY2025, compounding −11.2%/yr from FY2021.

NTG screens 21% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.