Optimus Group (OPTGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $161M

Below-average quality, screening 186% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.85). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The model range is unusually wide ($3.85 to $11.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range $1.66 – $5.38 · fair‑value band $3.85 – $11.97 · the $2.30 price screens below the $6.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Optimus Group (OPTGF) currently trades at $2.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.59, implying the stock looks roughly 186.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Optimus Group generated revenue of $316B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 42.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $79.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.85 (bear case) to $11.97 (bull case); at $2.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 186%, OPTGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($7.75) versus Asset-Based ($1.02). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Optimus Group Company Limited offers integrated automotive services. The company operates in five segments: Import/Export, Logistics, Services, Inspection, and Retail and Wholesale. The Import/Export segment purchases used cars from auto auction operators and sells them to local car dealers internationally.

Full company description

Optimus Group Company Limited offers integrated automotive services. The company operates in five segments: Import/Export, Logistics, Services, Inspection, and Retail and Wholesale. The Import/Export segment purchases used cars from auto auction operators and sells them to local car dealers internationally. The Logistics segment is involved in the ocean transport for the export of used cars from Japan and land transport of new cars to Australia. The Services segment provides services for businesses, such as used car dealers in New Zealand, as well as for general consumers. The Inspection segment conducts pre-shipment inspections, including safety checks and quarantine inspections for soil, animals, plants, and insects. The Retails and Whole segment engages in the retail and sale of new and used automobiles. It also offers automotive data and financial solutions, as well as car loans; quarantine and customs clearance; and after-sales and maintenance services. Optimus Group Company Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Optimus Group reported revenue of $269B in FY2025 versus $24.9B in FY2021, a compound +81.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$483M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.