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Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Optimus Group Company Limited $3.48, price $2.65, upside +31.2%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US

OG Optimus Group Company Limited logo Some data Sep 27, 2026

Optimus Group Company Limited

OPTGF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $3.48 · Undervalued (+31.2%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +58.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/11)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.38 $1.66 Fair Value $3.48 Feb 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

31‑month range $1.66 – $5.38 · fair‑value band $3.48 – $5.57 · the $2.65 price screens below the $3.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Optimus Group Company Limited offers integrated automotive services. The company operates in five segments: Import/Export, Logistics, Services, Inspection, and Retail and Wholesale. The Import/Export segment purchases used cars from auto auction operators and sells them to local car dealers internationally.

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Optimus Group Company Limited offers integrated automotive services. The company operates in five segments: Import/Export, Logistics, Services, Inspection, and Retail and Wholesale. The Import/Export segment purchases used cars from auto auction operators and sells them to local car dealers internationally. The Logistics segment is involved in the ocean transport for the export of used cars from Japan and land transport of new cars to Australia. The Services segment provides services for businesses, such as used car dealers in New Zealand, as well as for general consumers. The Inspection segment conducts pre-shipment inspections, including safety checks and quarantine inspections for soil, animals, plants, and insects. The Retails and Whole segment engages in the retail and sale of new and used automobiles. It also offers automotive data and financial solutions, as well as car loans; quarantine and customs clearance; and after-sales and maintenance services. Optimus Group Company Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.

Stock analysis

Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF) currently trades at $2.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.48, implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.93 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the $2.65 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.11, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.48 (bear) to $5.57 (bull), the price of $2.65 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Optimus Group Company Limited reported revenue of ¥269B in FY2025 versus ¥24.9B in FY2021, a compound +81.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥483M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $181M · P/E ratio 11.5 · EPS (TTM) $0.2300 · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 5.8% · Revenue (TTM) ¥316B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 31%, OPTGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.48 Fair Value $3.48 Bull $5.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2300 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $2.37 $2.70 $2.97 71
ROIC Compounder $2.90 $4.09 $4.79 70
EV/EBITDA $10.22 $13.76 $17.30 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.37 $2.70 $2.97 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT $5.85 $7.93 $10.00 66
EV/EBITDA $10.22 $13.76 $17.30 67
EV/Revenue $4.06 $5.97 $7.88 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8268 $1.11 $1.65 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.90 $4.09 $4.79 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+116.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+80.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.0% (2020) → 2.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 103 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +31.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.9% · Above median
Return on assets 3.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 42.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.78× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.20× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)75 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)61 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 78

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $65.06 $25.27 −61%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $209.62 $229.90 +10%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 510.00 TWD 558.82 TWD +10%
CarMax, Inc KMX $57.21 $29.62 −48%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $316.42 $517.15 +63%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHB $55.19 $45.83 −17%
AutoNation, Inc AN $166.98 $410.20 +146%
AUTO1 Group AG1 €18.35 €4.53 −75%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $34.82 $30.57 −12%
Valvoline Inc VVV $28.92 $11.84 −59%

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Optimus Group Company Limited · Fair Value
$3.48 +24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Optimus Group Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPTGF

Frequently asked questions

Is Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.48 versus a price of $2.65, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OPTGF?
Our model-based fair value for Optimus Group Company Limited is $3.48 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.65.
What is the quality score of OPTGF?
Optimus Group Company Limited has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.48 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.48, optimistic scenario $5.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Optimus Group Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.48, about +31% upside versus a price of $2.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.48, optimistic scenario $5.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Optimus Group Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥316B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Optimus Group Company Limited it is $3.48 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $2.65. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Optimus Group Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, OPTGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.65, fair value $3.48, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OPTGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.48). For Optimus Group Company Limited the two are $0.8270 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Optimus Group Company Limited worth?
The market values Optimus Group Company Limited at about $181M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $2.65; our models calculate a fair value of $3.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OPTGF?
Our models span a range for Optimus Group Company Limited: cautious scenario $3.48, base $3.48, optimistic $5.57 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $2.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OPTGF?
Optimus Group Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Optimus Group Company Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OPTGF from its 52-week high?
Optimus Group Company Limited trades at $2.65, about 18% below its 52-week high of $3.24 and 60% above the low of $1.66 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Optimus Group Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Optimus Group Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $2.65, calculated fair value $3.48 (+31%), Quality Score 27/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OPTGF calculated?
We run Optimus Group Company Limited through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Optimus Group Company Limited currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $2.65. Our model-based fair value is $3.48, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Optimus Group Company Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.48). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Optimus Group Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
The market capitalisation of Optimus Group Company Limited is $181M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Earnings per share at Optimus Group Company Limited are $0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
The net margin of Optimus Group Company Limited is −0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Optimus Group Company Limited is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Optimus Group Company Limited is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
The operating margin of Optimus Group Company Limited is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Revenue at Optimus Group Company Limited is growing +42.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +80.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF)?
Earnings per share at Optimus Group Company Limited are growing +163% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Optimus Group Company Limited is −¥934M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Optimus Group Company Limited (OPTGF) carry?
The net debt of Optimus Group Company Limited is ¥79.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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