Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock ARS 1,453, price ARS 995, upside +46.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 29.86 ARS – 2,000 ARS · fair‑value band 1,038 ARS – 2,055 ARS · the 995.00 ARS price screens below the 1,453 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia operates a chain of supermarkets/hypermarkets in Argentina.
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It purchases, sells, imports, collects, fractions, distributes, and exports all kinds of fruits and foods, both fresh and packaged, perishable or non-perishable, as well as other merchandise or products. The company was incorporated in 1918 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) currently trades at 995.00 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,453 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 32% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,366 ARS per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 995.00 ARS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 187.22 ARS, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,038 ARS (bear) to 2,055 ARS (bull), the price of 995.00 ARS sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA reported revenue of 3.4T ARS in FY2026 versus 234B ARS in FY2022, a compound +94.8%/yr. Reported net income was 26.3B ARS in FY2026, compounding +64.0%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 502B ARS (≈ $325M) Small · P/E ratio 18.9 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) 52.59 ARS · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 46%, PATA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,038 ARSFair Value 1,453 ARSBull2,055 ARS
Price 995.00 ARS · Upside +46.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (13.29 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+88.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+90.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +63.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+62.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+60.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.60.9% vs 56.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about −6.1% a year for the price.
Compare Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+46.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.4% · Below median
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)2.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)18.9× · Pricier than median
P/B0.63× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.15× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)6.4× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PATA
Frequently asked questions
Is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,453 ARS versus a price of 995.00 ARS, about +46% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PATA?
Our model-based fair value for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 1,453 ARS (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 995.00 ARS.
What is the quality score of PATA?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,453 ARS (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,038 ARS, optimistic scenario 2,055 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,453 ARS, about +46% upside versus a price of 995.00 ARS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,038 ARS, optimistic scenario 2,055 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4T ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA pay a dividend?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA currently shows a dividend yield of 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA pays a dividend of 15.57 ARS per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 14, 2026. The payout ratio is 29.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 10.05 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA would have to grow free cash flow by +6.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 20.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +90.9 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PATA use?
Our models discount Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA at 20.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA that is +6.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (20.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA grew +90.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (+6.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.68 %: that much free cash flow Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (20.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA it is 1,453 ARS per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 995.00 ARS. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, PATA trades below its calculated fair value: price 995.00 ARS, fair value 1,453 ARS, a gap of about +46% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PATA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (995.00 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,453 ARS). For Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA the two are 458.37 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA worth?
The market values Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA at about 502B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 995.00 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,453 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PATA?
Our models span a range for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA: cautious scenario 1,038 ARS, base 1,453 ARS, optimistic 2,055 ARS per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 995.00 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PATA?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,453 ARS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 15.4. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PATA from its 52-week high?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA trades at 995.00 ARS, about 42% below its 52-week high of 1,730 ARS and 1% above the low of 985.00 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,453 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 995.00 ARS, calculated fair value 1,453 ARS (+46%), Quality Score 50/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PATA calculated?
We run Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1,453 ARS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA currently trades 32% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 995.00 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,453 ARS, about +46% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1,038 ARS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (1,038 ARS to 2,055 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The market capitalisation of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 502B ARS (≈ $325M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Earnings per share at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA are 52.59 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The dividend yield of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 1.6% (payout 29.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The net margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The operating margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Revenue at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is growing −0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +88.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Earnings per share at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA are growing −67.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) carry?
The net debt of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 27.3B ARS (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026