Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia (PATA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AR · Market cap 673B ARS
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 1,391 ARS to 1,075 ARS (−22.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from 806.06 ARS (bear) to 1,343 ARS (bull), base 1,075 ARS. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 29.56 ARS – 2,000 ARS · fair‑value band 806.06 ARS – 1,343 ARS · the 1,345 ARS price screens above the 1,075 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia (PATA) currently trades at 1,345 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,075 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 20.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia generated revenue of 2.5T ARS at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.3%. Net debt stands at 74.3B ARS. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 806.06 ARS (bear case) to 1,343 ARS (bull case); at 1,345 ARS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -20%, PATA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (2,937 ARS) versus Dividend Discount (346.04 ARS). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia operates a chain of supermarkets/hypermarkets in Argentina. It purchases, sells, imports, collects, fractions, distributes, and exports all kinds of fruits and foods, both fresh and packaged, perishable or non-perishable, as well as other merchandise or products.
Full company description
Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia operates a chain of supermarkets/hypermarkets in Argentina. It purchases, sells, imports, collects, fractions, distributes, and exports all kinds of fruits and foods, both fresh and packaged, perishable or non-perishable, as well as other merchandise or products. The company was incorporated in 1918 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia reported revenue of 2.5T ARS in FY2025 versus 133B ARS in FY2021, a compound +109.2%/yr. Reported net income was 31.5B ARS in FY2025.
PATA screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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