Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA ARS 1,075, price ARS 1,210, upside -11.2%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 29.56 ARS – 2,000 ARS · fair‑value band 806.06 ARS – 1,343 ARS · the 1,210 ARS price screens above the 1,075 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia operates a chain of supermarkets/hypermarkets in Argentina. It purchases, sells, imports, collects, fractions, distributes, and exports all kinds of fruits and foods, both fresh and packaged, perishable or non-perishable, as well as other merchandise or products.
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Sociedad Anónima Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia operates a chain of supermarkets/hypermarkets in Argentina. It purchases, sells, imports, collects, fractions, distributes, and exports all kinds of fruits and foods, both fresh and packaged, perishable or non-perishable, as well as other merchandise or products. The company was incorporated in 1918 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) currently trades at 1,210 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,075 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 12.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 3,150 ARS per share, and 8 of the 17 models we run sit above the 1,210 ARS price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 346.04 ARS, and 9 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 806.06 ARS (bear) to 1,343 ARS (bull), the price of 1,210 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA reported revenue of 2.5T ARS in FY2025 versus 133B ARS in FY2021, a compound +109.2%/yr. Reported net income was 31.5B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 673B ARS (≈ $471M) · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) −3.60 ARS · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin −1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −11%, PATA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 806.06 ARSFair Value 1,075 ARSBull 1,343 ARS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+121.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+94.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+67.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +92.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+90.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 281% above its own trend.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 116 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PATA
Frequently asked questions
Is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,075 ARS versus a price of 1,210 ARS, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PATA?
Our model-based fair value for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 1,075 ARS (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,210 ARS.
What is the quality score of PATA?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,075 ARS (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 806.06 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,343 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,075 ARS, about −11% upside versus a price of 1,210 ARS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 806.06 ARS, optimistic scenario 1,343 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5T ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA pay a dividend?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA it is 1,075 ARS per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1,210 ARS. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PATA trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,210 ARS, fair value 1,075 ARS, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PATA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,210 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,075 ARS). For Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA the two are 135.25 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA worth?
The market values Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA at about 673B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1,210 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 1,075 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PATA?
Our models span a range for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA: cautious scenario 806.06 ARS, base 1,075 ARS, optimistic 1,343 ARS per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1,210 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PATA from its 52-week high?
Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA trades at 1,210 ARS, about 30% below its 52-week high of 1,730 ARS and 20% above the low of 1,010 ARS (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,075 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1,210 ARS, calculated fair value 1,075 ARS (−11%), Quality Score 41/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PATA calculated?
We run Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,075 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,210 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 1,075 ARS, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The market capitalisation of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 673B ARS (≈ $471M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Earnings per share at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA are −3.60 ARS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The dividend yield of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The net margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
The operating margin of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Revenue at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +122%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA)?
Earnings per share at Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA are growing −67.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) generate?
The free cash flow of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is −72.6B ARS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA (PATA) carry?
The net debt of Importadora y Exportadora de la Patagonia SA is 74.3B ARS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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