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Piquadro S.p.A (PQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €123M

PS Piquadro S.p.A PQ · MI
Price€2.65
Fair Value€3.46
Upside+30.6%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.71% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range €1.83 – €5.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€1.83 to €5.64). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€2.93 €1.27 Fair Value €3.46 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.27 – €2.93 · fair‑value band €1.83 – €5.64 · the €2.65 price screens below the €3.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Piquadro S.p.A (PQ) currently trades at €2.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.46, implying the stock looks roughly 30.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Piquadro S.p.A generated revenue of €188M at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.83 (bear case) to €5.64 (bull case); at €2.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 31%, PQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.7600 €1.13 €1.59 80
Residual Income €1.37 €1.65 €2.88 76
Rev-Margin DCF €2.01 €3.67 €5.68 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.7600 €1.17 €1.72 38
Owner Earnings €1.89 €2.84 €4.11 31
5Y Revenue Exit €2.01 €3.72 €6.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.25 €4.19 €6.56 41
5Y P/E Exit €2.35 €4.40 €6.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit €1.37 €2.65 €4.54 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.58 €2.94 €4.91 37
10Y P/E Exit €1.64 €3.06 €4.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.67 €6.39 €8.66 54
Lynch FV €1.56 €2.23 €2.89 50
PEG = 1.0 €1.56 €2.23 €2.89 46
EPV €1.66 €1.86 €2.03 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.03 €1.73 €2.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.03 €1.64 €1.86 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €4.04 €5.39 €6.73 63
P/S Multiple €3.12 €4.16 €5.20 58
P/B Multiple €3.12 €4.16 €5.20 55
EV/EBIT €4.59 €6.14 €7.70 53
EV/EBITDA €3.75 €5.03 €6.31 54
EV/Revenue €3.06 €4.41 €5.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.7300 €0.9700 €1.46 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.7600 €1.13 €1.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF €2.01 €3.67 €5.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.37 €1.65 €2.88 76
ROIC Compounder €1.71 €2.07 €2.48 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.90 €4.15 €5.39 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€4.41) versus Asset-Based (€0.9700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €188M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 18.3%
Free cash flow €4.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.3
More key figures
Operating margin 8.4%
EPS (TTM) €0.2300
Dividend yield 5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Piquadro S.p.A. designs, produces, and markets leather goods and accessories in Italy, Europe, and worldwide. The company operates through Piquadro, The Bridge, and Lancel segments.

Full company description

Piquadro S.p.A. designs, produces, and markets leather goods and accessories in Italy, Europe, and worldwide. The company operates through Piquadro, The Bridge, and Lancel segments. It offers office bags and backpacks, men's business backpack, laptop backpacks, business bags, business belt bags, men's office bags, leather briefcase, men's cross body bags, bum bags, mono sling bags, and outdoor backpacks. The company also provides wallets, card holders, document holders, men's leather belts, umbrellas, scarves, hats, office accessories, key rings wristlets, phone covers, wireless charges, power banks, and gift cards. In addition, it provides travel products including duffle and garment bags, travel backpacks and accessories, cabin and checked luggages, and pilot cases; sneakers and jackets; and special women's products, consisting of shoulder, cross-body, and tote bags, purses, wallets, and keychains, as wells as customize and gift ideas products. It sells its products through its brand stores, e-commerce, multi-brand and single brand shops, and department stores. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Bologna, Italy. Piquadro S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Piquadro Holding S.p.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Piquadro S.p.A reported revenue of €184M in FY2025 versus €113M in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was €11.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€184M
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY21 €113M
FY22 €149M
FY23 €176M
FY24 €180M
FY25 €184M
Net income
FY21 −€6.1M
FY22 €4.4M
FY23 €6.5M
FY24 €10.5M
FY25 €11.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Piquadro S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PQ

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 31.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 74 · sector 4
FUTURE 6 · sector 0
PAST 73 · sector 23
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 41

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $44.37 $35.63 -20%
adidas AG 1ADS €165.00 €65.71 -60%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $106.49 $125.16 +18%
On Holding ONON $38.20 $17.64 -54%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.11 ¥13.03 +8%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $44.36 $44.14 -0%
Crocs, Inc CROX $138.91 $203.65 +47%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥31.10 ¥54.71 +76%
PUMA SE PUM €29.31 €10.57 -64%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $43.26 $11.69 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Piquadro S.p.A (PQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.46 versus a price of €2.65, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PQ?
Our model-based fair value for Piquadro S.p.A is €3.46 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.65.
What is the quality score of PQ?
Piquadro S.p.A has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Piquadro S.p.A (PQ)?
Piquadro S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €188M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PQ?
The net profit margin of Piquadro S.p.A is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Piquadro S.p.A pay a dividend?
Piquadro S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.71% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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