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Ramsdens Holdings (RFX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 193M GBX

RH Ramsdens Holdings RFX · LSE
Price£5.90
Fair Value£7.65
Upside+29.7%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.54% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range £4.12 – £9.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from £7.72 to £7.65 (−0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 30% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£4.12 to £9.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£5.92 £1.09 Fair Value £7.65 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.09 – £5.92 · fair‑value band £4.12 – £9.56 · the £5.90 price screens below the £7.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Ramsdens Holdings (RFX) currently trades at £5.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £7.65, implying the stock looks roughly 29.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ramsdens Holdings generated revenue of £117M at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.4%. Net debt stands at £1.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £4.12 (bear case) to £9.56 (bull case); at £5.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 30%, RFX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £2.12 £3.23 £5.01 80
Residual Income £1.90 £2.49 £6.30 76
Rev-Margin DCF £3.98 £7.71 £13.20 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £2.20 £3.11 £5.32 38
Owner Earnings £5.52 £10.14 £18.03 31
5Y Revenue Exit £3.98 £7.55 £13.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £4.94 £9.66 £17.54 41
5Y P/E Exit £4.51 £9.21 £15.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit £3.09 £6.37 £10.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £3.80 £7.88 £15.33 37
10Y P/E Exit £3.55 £7.21 £13.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £2.48 £16.58 £23.23 54
Lynch FV £4.85 £6.93 £9.01 50
PEG = 1.0 £4.85 £6.93 £9.01 46
EPV £3.34 £3.68 £3.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.7600 £1.28 £1.66 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.7600 £1.21 £1.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £5.73 £7.65 £9.56 63
P/S Multiple £4.64 £6.19 £7.74 58
P/B Multiple £4.64 £6.19 £7.74 55
EV/EBIT £7.28 £9.55 £11.82 53
EV/EBITDA £6.92 £9.07 £11.22 54
EV/Revenue £4.98 £6.91 £8.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.9600 £1.29 £1.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.12 £3.23 £5.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.98 £7.71 £13.20 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £1.90 £2.49 £6.30 76
ROIC Compounder £3.80 £4.78 £5.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £6.74 £9.63 £12.52 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£9.63) versus Dividend Discount (£1.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 149M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +62.3%
Net margin 13.3%
Return on equity 31.6%
Free cash flow 5.2M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 10.0
More key figures
Operating margin 20.5%
EPS (TTM) £0.5900
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +170%
Net debt 1.7M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ramsdens Holdings PLC engages in the provision of diversified financial services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through four segments: Foreign Currency Exchange, Pawnbroking, Jewellery Retail, and Purchase of Precious Metals.

Full company description

Ramsdens Holdings PLC engages in the provision of diversified financial services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through four segments: Foreign Currency Exchange, Pawnbroking, Jewellery Retail, and Purchase of Precious Metals. The company engages in the sale and purchase of foreign currency notes to holidaymakers; offers Ramsdens Mastercard, a multi-currency card provision of pawnbroking and asset backed lending services; buying and selling services for jewellery, gold, and other precious metals; and retailing of new and second-hand jewelry, as well as watches. It offers travel cards and international money transfer services. The company operates through stores, including franchised outlets, and online platform. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Stockton-on-Tees, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ramsdens Holdings reported revenue of £117M in FY2025 versus £40.7M in FY2021, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was £11.9M in FY2025, compounding +138.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£117M
Latest YoY
+22.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Revenue +30.2%/yr
FY21 £40.7M
FY22 £66.1M
FY23 £83.8M
FY24 £95.6M
FY25 £117M
Net income +138.8%/yr
FY21 £366K
FY22 £6.6M
FY23 £7.8M
FY24 £8.3M
FY25 £11.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.4 pp

of which total revenue +13.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin +6.9 pp
Tax rate −2.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −12.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ramsdens Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RFX

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 130 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 20% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 62% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 50.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 73 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 50
PAST 100 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 39

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Christian Dior SE DIO €455.40 €502.30 +10%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ramsdens Holdings (RFX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £7.65 versus a price of £5.90, about +30% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RFX?
Our model-based fair value for Ramsdens Holdings is £7.65 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £5.90.
What is the quality score of RFX?
Ramsdens Holdings has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ramsdens Holdings (RFX)?
Ramsdens Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £117M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RFX?
The net profit margin of Ramsdens Holdings is about 10.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ramsdens Holdings pay a dividend?
Ramsdens Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.03% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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