Rithm Property Trust Inc (RPT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $112M
Rithm Property Trust Inc
RPT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −15.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.63 – $47.56 · fair‑value band $2.05 – $3.42 · the $12.06 price screens above the $2.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Rithm Property Trust Inc (RPT) currently trades at $12.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.74, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rithm Property Trust Inc generated revenue of $22.5M at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 108.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at $663M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.05 (bear case) to $3.42 (bull case); at $12.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -77%, RPT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($25.13) versus Multiples ($3.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rithm Property Trust Inc., an externally managed real estate investment trust (REIT), focuses on investments in the commercial real estate (CRE) sector. It operates through two segments: Residential and Commercial.
Full company description
Rithm Property Trust Inc., an externally managed real estate investment trust (REIT), focuses on investments in the commercial real estate (CRE) sector. It operates through two segments: Residential and Commercial. The Residential segment is involved in managing its portfolio of residential mortgage assets, including whole mortgage loans, residential mortgage-backed securities, and beneficial interests. The Commercial segment is focused on originating, acquiring, and managing portfolios of commercial mortgage-backed securities, commercial real property, commercial mortgage loans, and other CRE investments. It operates in California, Florida, New York, New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, Illinois, Georgia, Texas, North Carolina, and internationally. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for U.S. federal income tax purposes. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. The company was formerly Great Ajax Corp. and changed its name to Rithm Property Trust Inc. in December 2024. Rithm Property Trust Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rithm Property Trust Inc reported revenue of $52.8M in FY2025 versus $75.8M in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5M in FY2025, compounding −56.7%/yr from FY2021.
RPT screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Annaly Capital Management, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Mortgage · 40 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Mortgage median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaly Capital Management, Inc NLY | $22.45 | $22.84 | +2% |
| AGNC Investment Corp AGNC | $10.56 | $12.03 | +14% |
| Starwood Property Trust, Inc STWD | $16.52 | $14.93 | -10% |
| Rithm Capital Corp RITM | $9.12 | $20.75 | +128% |
| Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc BXMT | $16.69 | $14.84 | -11% |
| Dynex Capital, Inc DX | $12.60 | $7.67 | -39% |
| ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc ARR | $16.13 | $20.28 | +26% |
| Ellington Financial Inc EFC | $13.37 | $13.45 | +1% |
| Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc ARI | $6.76 | $13.56 | +101% |
| Orchid Island Capital, Inc ORC | $6.54 | $6.26 | -4% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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