SG Holdings (SGHDY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.5B
SG Holdings
SGHDY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $13.61 to $11.50 (−15.5%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($6.52 to $14.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $6.52 (bear) to $14.43 (bull), base $11.50. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range $7.99 – $16.82 · fair‑value band $6.52 – $14.43 · the $9.65 price screens below the $11.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
SG Holdings (SGHDY) currently trades at $9.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.50, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, SG Holdings generated revenue of $1.6T at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at $299B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.52 (bear case) to $14.43 (bull case); at $9.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 19%, SGHDY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.30) versus Asset-Based ($4.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SG Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, is involved in the delivery, logistics, real estate, and other businesses in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
SG Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, is involved in the delivery, logistics, real estate, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. It provides domestic or international delivery services; logistics solutions, including warehouse storage, needle detection and product inspection, and logistics processing to sea, air, and land transport; and international transport, customs clearance, and regional transport and delivery services. The company also operates, manages, and leases real estate facilities; and engages in solar energy business. In addition, it develops, operates, and maintains in IT systems; operates temporary staffing business; and operates casualty insurance agency for transport operations and truck fuel sales, as well as car maintenance and system sales and maintenance. SG Holdings Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SG Holdings reported revenue of $1.7T in FY2026 versus $1.6T in FY2022, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $62.6B in FY2026, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2022.
Watch SGHDY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
Compare SG Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is SG Holdings (SGHDY) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SGHDY?
What is the quality score of SGHDY?
What is the revenue of SG Holdings (SGHDY)?
What is the net profit margin of SGHDY?
Does SG Holdings pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track SG Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.