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SCGJWD Logistics Public Company (SJWD) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 15.2B THB

SL SCGJWD Logistics Public Company SJWD · BK
Price10.00 THB
Fair Value11.22 THB
Upside+12.2%
Quality39/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.73% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range 10.15 THB – 14.02 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 12.23 THB to 11.22 THB (−8.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 10.15 THB (bear) to 14.02 THB (bull), base 11.22 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 39/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

19.87 THB 5.42 THB Fair Value 11.22 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.42 THB – 19.87 THB · fair‑value band 10.15 THB – 14.02 THB · the 10.00 THB price screens below the 11.22 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

SCGJWD Logistics Public Company (SJWD) currently trades at 10.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.22 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SCGJWD Logistics Public Company generated revenue of 25.1B THB at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 16.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.15 THB (bear case) to 14.02 THB (bull case); at 10.00 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 12%, SJWD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 11.77 THB 24.68 THB 50.78 THB 80
Residual Income 9.95 THB 10.16 THB 9.88 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 7.30 THB 15.94 THB 32.88 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 12.72 THB 21.87 THB 51.02 THB 38
Owner Earnings 14.82 THB 37.86 THB 86.22 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.87 THB 13.52 THB 27.37 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 13.19 THB 26.30 THB 52.02 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 8.97 THB 22.90 THB 41.68 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 8.43 THB 20.66 THB 27.89 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 13.36 THB 34.26 THB 70.87 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 10.29 THB 25.19 THB 49.23 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.49 THB 31.29 THB 43.91 THB 54
Lynch FV 13.22 THB 18.89 THB 24.56 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 13.22 THB 18.89 THB 24.56 THB 46
EPV 3.37 THB 4.47 THB 5.44 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.54 THB 7.36 THB 11.67 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.54 THB 6.20 THB 7.72 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 10.39 THB 13.86 THB 17.32 THB 63
P/S Multiple 8.41 THB 11.22 THB 14.02 THB 58
P/B Multiple 8.41 THB 11.22 THB 14.02 THB 55
EV/EBIT 6.70 THB 10.02 THB 13.33 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 12.73 THB 18.05 THB 23.38 THB 54
EV/Revenue 3.86 THB 6.90 THB 9.94 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.43 THB 8.61 THB 12.85 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.77 THB 24.68 THB 50.78 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.30 THB 15.94 THB 32.88 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.95 THB 10.16 THB 9.88 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 3.37 THB 4.47 THB 5.44 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 16.41 THB 23.45 THB 30.48 THB 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (23.45 THB) versus Economic Profit (4.47 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.1B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.8%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow 1.7B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 14.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.6000 THB
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net debt 16.1B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated in-land and oversea logistics business in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Logistics and Supply Chain Business, and Other Businesses.

Full company description

SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated in-land and oversea logistics business in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Logistics and Supply Chain Business, and Other Businesses. The company provides freight and transportation, warehouse management, port, storage, fine art storage carriage, and packing and handling of goods and cargo container services; buildings and other constructions rental, record and information storage and related services, yard management services, and household and office moving services, as well as IT solutions for logistics software management; and food and cold chain logistics and supply chain services. It is also involved in transport and distribution, as well as other business. The company was formerly known as JWD InfoLogistics Public Company Limited and changed its name to SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited in February 2023. SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SCGJWD Logistics Public Company reported revenue of 25.2B THB in FY2025 versus 5.1B THB in FY2021, a compound +49.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B THB in FY2025, compounding +19.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
25.2B THB
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+62.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.2%
Revenue +49.0%/yr
FY21 5.1B THB
FY22 5.9B THB
FY23 23.7B THB
FY24 24.5B THB
FY25 25.2B THB
Net income +19.7%/yr
FY21 572M THB
FY22 504M THB
FY23 761M THB
FY24 1.1B THB
FY25 1.2B THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +17.9 pp

of which total revenue +28.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −10.6 pp

EBIT margin −8.8 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SJWD

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 50 · sector 46
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 95 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SCGJWD Logistics Public Company (SJWD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.22 THB versus a price of 10.00 THB, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SJWD?
Our model-based fair value for SCGJWD Logistics Public Company is 11.22 THB (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10.00 THB.
What is the quality score of SJWD?
SCGJWD Logistics Public Company has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SCGJWD Logistics Public Company (SJWD)?
SCGJWD Logistics Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SJWD?
The net profit margin of SCGJWD Logistics Public Company is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SCGJWD Logistics Public Company pay a dividend?
SCGJWD Logistics Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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