Sleep Cycle AB (SLEEP) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 502M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −4.3% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 123% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (82/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 38.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 14.77 – kr 78.28 · fair‑value band kr 38.28 – kr 65.60 · the kr 23.50 price screens below the kr 52.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Sleep Cycle AB (SLEEP) currently trades at kr 23.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 52.48, implying the stock looks roughly 123.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sleep Cycle AB generated revenue of 236M SEK at a net margin of 19.1%. Revenue declined 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 52.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 113M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 38.28 (bear case) to kr 65.60 (bull case); at kr 23.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 123%, SLEEP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 56.17) versus Asset-Based (kr 2.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when SLEEP reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sleep Cycle AB (publ) engages in the development of sleep analysis applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers Sleep Cycle, an application that provides sleep-related solutions, including smart alarm, sleep stages and aid, and sound recordings; and Luma, an AI-driven sleep coach.
Full company description
Sleep Cycle AB (publ) engages in the development of sleep analysis applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers Sleep Cycle, an application that provides sleep-related solutions, including smart alarm, sleep stages and aid, and sound recordings; and Luma, an AI-driven sleep coach. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sleep Cycle AB reported revenue of kr 248M in FY2025 versus kr 183M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was kr 53.2M in FY2025, compounding +60.0%/yr from FY2021.
Watch SLEEP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
Compare Sleep Cycle AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Sleep Cycle AB (SLEEP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SLEEP?
What is the quality score of SLEEP?
What is the revenue of Sleep Cycle AB (SLEEP)?
What is the net profit margin of SLEEP?
Does Sleep Cycle AB pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Sleep Cycle AB and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.