EN DE

ULMA Construccion Polska S.A (ULM) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · PL · Market cap 284M PLN

UC ULMA Construccion Polska S.A ULM · WAR
Price52.00 PLN
Fair Value48.21 PLN
Upside-7.3%
Quality61/100
Watch ULMA Construccion Polska S.A for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range 34.05 PLN – 66.62 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from 51.15 PLN to 48.21 PLN (−5.7%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (34.05 PLN to 66.62 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

74.00 PLN 45.27 PLN Fair Value 48.21 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 45.27 PLN – 74.00 PLN · fair‑value band 34.05 PLN – 66.62 PLN · the 52.00 PLN price screens above the 48.21 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

ULMA Construccion Polska S.A (ULM) currently trades at 52.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 48.21 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ULMA Construccion Polska S.A generated revenue of 246M PLN at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 5.0M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.05 PLN (bear case) to 66.62 PLN (bull case); at 52.00 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -7%, ULM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 13.33 PLN 16.46 PLN 20.73 PLN 80
Residual Income 44.33 PLN 43.18 PLN 34.82 PLN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 28.51 PLN 45.38 PLN 64.74 PLN 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 13.09 PLN 16.44 PLN 21.33 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 98.66 PLN 122.99 PLN 158.42 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 28.51 PLN 45.23 PLN 68.12 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 78.19 PLN 130.50 PLN 195.27 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 24.31 PLN 38.02 PLN 53.19 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 20.19 PLN 32.15 PLN 46.36 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 47.35 PLN 80.51 PLN 120.01 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 18.90 PLN 28.06 PLN 37.71 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 17.26 PLN 31.91 PLN 39.55 PLN 54
EPV 30.34 PLN 34.05 PLN 37.06 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 16.02 PLN 19.88 PLN 23.27 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 16.02 PLN 20.24 PLN 24.38 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 39.97 PLN 53.30 PLN 66.62 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 32.36 PLN 43.15 PLN 53.93 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 32.36 PLN 43.15 PLN 53.93 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 63.49 PLN 84.85 PLN 106.21 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 155.24 PLN 207.19 PLN 259.13 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 45.14 PLN 64.75 PLN 84.35 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 32.74 PLN 43.87 PLN 65.47 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 13.33 PLN 16.46 PLN 20.73 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 28.51 PLN 45.38 PLN 64.74 PLN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 44.33 PLN 43.18 PLN 34.82 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 30.34 PLN 34.05 PLN 37.06 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 28.42 PLN 40.60 PLN 52.77 PLN 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (53.30 PLN) versus Growth DCF (16.46 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when ULM reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 246M PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%
Net margin 5.4%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow 9.5M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 31.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.4%
EPS (TTM) 1.92 PLN
EPS growth (YoY) -3.1%
Net debt 5.0M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ULMA Construccion Polska S.A. provides formwork and scaffolding solutions and services in Poland and internationally. The company rents and sells scaffoldings systems, which include frame and ringlock scaffolding for use in restoration, industrial, and construction sites; formwork systems, including wall, column, slab, climbing, tunnel, and bridge formwork; …

Full company description

ULMA Construccion Polska S.A. provides formwork and scaffolding solutions and services in Poland and internationally. The company rents and sells scaffoldings systems, which include frame and ringlock scaffolding for use in restoration, industrial, and construction sites; formwork systems, including wall, column, slab, climbing, tunnel, and bridge formwork; safety equipment; timber beams and plywood; and shoring systems. It offers construction services; and logistics, engineering and applications, onsite assistance, and equipment pre-assembly services; and ULMA Studio and Scaffmax scaffolding design software. The company was formerly known as BAUMA S.A. and changed its name to ULMA Construccion Polska S.A. in November 2006. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Brwinów, Poland. ULMA Construccion Polska S.A. is a subsidiary of ULMA C y E, S. Coop.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ULMA Construccion Polska S.A reported revenue of 246M PLN in FY2025 versus 210M PLN in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 13.3M PLN in FY2025, compounding −14.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
246M PLN
Latest YoY
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 210M PLN
FY22 201M PLN
FY23 204M PLN
FY24 224M PLN
FY25 246M PLN
Net income −14.5%/yr
FY21 25.0M PLN
FY22 14.5M PLN
FY23 20.5M PLN
FY24 16.3M PLN
FY25 13.3M PLN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +7.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.5 pp

of which total revenue +2.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +4.4 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch ULM: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ULMA Construccion Polska S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ULM

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 97 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −7% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 24 · sector 49
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 12 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,045 $449.86 -57%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $73.41 $65.76 -10%
AerCap Holdings AER $146.97 $301.51 +105%
U-Haul Holding UHAL $67.35 $7.21 -89%
Ryder System, Inc R $273.06 $111.57 -59%
Ayvens AYV €11.57 €24.73 +114%
Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 R$40.35 R$37.01 -8%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$29.83 C$15.06 -50%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$77.40 HK$18.61 -76%
GATX Corporation GATX $178.48 $140.90 -21%

Compare ULMA Construccion Polska S.A with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is ULMA Construccion Polska S.A (ULM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 48.21 PLN versus a price of 52.00 PLN, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ULM?
Our model-based fair value for ULMA Construccion Polska S.A is 48.21 PLN (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 52.00 PLN.
What is the quality score of ULM?
ULMA Construccion Polska S.A has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ULMA Construccion Polska S.A (ULM)?
ULMA Construccion Polska S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 246M PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ULM?
The net profit margin of ULMA Construccion Polska S.A is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track ULMA Construccion Polska S.A and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.