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Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $587M

UL Unitika Ltd logo Unitika Ltd UNIKF · US
Price$10.18
Fair Value$5.00
Upside-50.9%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $3.20 – $7.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.20 to $7.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.90 $1.48 Fair Value $5.00 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.48 – $24.90 · fair‑value band $3.20 – $7.04 · the $10.18 price screens above the $5.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) currently trades at $10.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.00, implying the stock looks roughly 50.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Unitika Ltd generated revenue of $119B at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue declined 30.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 51.8%. Net debt stands at $9.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.20 (bear case) to $7.04 (bull case); at $10.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -51%, UNIKF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.50 $7.14 $8.14 80
Residual Income $10.89 $17.68 $199.29 76
Rev-Margin DCF $9.66 $13.05 $17.11 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.43 $7.11 $8.24 38
Owner Earnings $18.11 $22.33 $29.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.66 $12.99 $17.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.73 $13.10 $17.57 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.26 $22.66 $31.47 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8.02 $10.19 $12.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.25 $10.26 $12.45 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.31 $15.66 $19.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.17 $13.65 $15.36 54
EPV $8.03 $8.55 $8.98 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1977 $0.2131 $0.2360 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1977 $0.2353 $0.2839 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.94 $27.92 $34.90 63
P/S Multiple $12.07 $16.09 $20.11 58
P/B Multiple $10.95 $14.60 $18.25 55
EV/EBIT $14.23 $17.57 $20.91 53
EV/EBITDA $13.65 $16.80 $19.95 54
EV/Revenue $12.89 $16.62 $20.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.43 $3.26 $4.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.50 $7.14 $8.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.66 $13.05 $17.11 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.89 $17.68 $199.29 76
ROIC Compounder $8.03 $8.61 $9.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.92 $21.31 $27.71 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($21.31) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2131). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $119B
Revenue growth (YoY) -30.2%
Net margin 15.3%
Return on equity 51.8%
Free cash flow $3.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 5.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.92
EPS growth (YoY) +618%
Net debt $9.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Unitika Ltd. manufactures and sells polymers, performance materials, industrial fibers and textiles, and others in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Unitika Ltd. manufactures and sells polymers, performance materials, industrial fibers and textiles, and others in Japan and internationally. The company offers polymers, such as nylon and polyester films; nylon, polyester, and polyarylate plastic products; polyester, nylon spunbonded, and cotton spunlace nonwoven fabrics; and biodegradable plastic materials. It also provides performance materials, such as activated carbon fibers, glass fabrics, glass beads, and porous plates, as well as biomass-based materials. In addition, the company offers fibers and textiles, such as garments, lifestyle materials, and bedding products, as well as terramac fibers. Unitika Ltd. was incorporated in 1889 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Unitika Ltd reported revenue of $119B in FY2026 versus $115B in FY2022, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $18.3B in FY2026, compounding +69.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$119B
Latest YoY
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
−2.8%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY22 $115B
FY23 $118B
FY24 $118B
FY25 $126B
FY26 $119B
Net income +69.3%/yr
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $102M
FY24 −$5.4B
FY25 −$24.3B
FY26 $18.3B

UNIKF screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unitika Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNIKF

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -30% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 23
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.00 versus a price of $10.18, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UNIKF?
Our model-based fair value for Unitika Ltd is $5.00 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.18.
What is the quality score of UNIKF?
Unitika Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Unitika Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $119B (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UNIKF?
The net profit margin of Unitika Ltd is about 15.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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