Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Unitika Ltd stock $4.03, price $8.21, that is 50.9% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.19 – $20.10 · fair‑value band $2.97 – $5.50 · the $8.21 price screens above the $4.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Unitika Ltd. manufactures and sells polymers, performance materials, industrial fibers and textiles, and others in Japan and internationally.
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The company offers polymers, such as nylon and polyester films; nylon, polyester, and polyarylate plastic products; polyester, nylon spunbonded, and cotton spunlace nonwoven fabrics; and biodegradable plastic materials.
It also provides performance materials, such as activated carbon fibers, glass fabrics, glass beads, and porous plates, as well as biomass-based materials. In addition, the company offers fibers and textiles, such as garments, lifestyle materials, and bedding products, as well as terramac fibers.
Unitika Ltd. was incorporated in 1889 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Stock analysis
Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) currently trades at $8.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.03, 51% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $25.71 per share, and 17 of the 22 models we run sit above the $8.21 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.87, and 5 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.97 (bear) to $5.50 (bull), the price of $8.21 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Unitika Ltd reported revenue of ¥119B in FY2026 versus ¥115B in FY2022, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥18.3B in FY2026, compounding +69.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $587M Small · P/E ratio 4.0 · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) $2.06 · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 44.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 17.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 455% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −51%, UNIKF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$2.97Fair Value $4.03Bull$5.50
Price $8.21 · Downside -50.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.28 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$6.56$7.21$8.2282
Growth DCF$6.62$7.22$8.1080
Owner Earnings$16.51$19.47$24.1278
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$6.56$7.21$8.2282
Owner Earnings$16.51$19.47$24.1278
5Y Revenue Exit$9.97$13.54$18.7473
5Y EBITDA Exit$10.04$13.66$18.4576
5Y P/E Exit$15.96$23.88$33.2871
10Y Revenue Exit$8.04$10.13$12.4168
10Y EBITDA Exit$8.26$10.19$12.2770
10Y P/E Exit$11.17$15.30$19.2965
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$13.47$16.47$18.5267
EPV$7.56$7.97$8.3074
Multiples
P/E Multiple$25.26$33.68$42.1063
P/S Multiple$14.56$19.41$24.2658
P/B Multiple$13.01$17.35$21.6855
EV/EBIT$11.09$15.12$19.1566
EV/EBITDA$10.39$14.18$17.9867
EV/Revenue$9.47$13.96$18.4653
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$2.89$3.87$5.7854
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$6.62$7.22$8.1080
Rev-Margin DCF$9.97$13.62$18.0173
Economic Profit
Residual Income$8.25$9.70$12.8671
ROIC Compounder$7.56$8.07$8.5272
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$18.00$25.71$33.4267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7.8% vs −11.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+72.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 755 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−50.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)44.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)18.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)17.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−22.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)4.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.40× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.68× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)24.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA4.0× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unitika Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNIKF
Frequently asked questions
Is Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.03 versus a price of $8.21, about 51% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UNIKF?
Our model-based fair value for Unitika Ltd is $4.03 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.21.
What is the quality score of UNIKF?
Unitika Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.03 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.97, optimistic scenario $5.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Unitika Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.03, about 51% lower versus a price of $8.21 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.97, optimistic scenario $5.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Unitika Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥112B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What growth is priced into Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Unitika Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +72.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.6 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UNIKF use?
Our models discount Unitika Ltd at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.12, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Unitika Ltd that is +72.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Unitika Ltd grew +1.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +72.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Unitika Ltd (+72.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.45 %: that much free cash flow Unitika Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Unitika Ltd it is $4.03 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of $8.21. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Unitika Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, UNIKF trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.21, fair value $4.03, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UNIKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.03). For Unitika Ltd the two are $4.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Unitika Ltd worth?
The market values Unitika Ltd at about $587M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is $8.21; our models calculate a fair value of $4.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UNIKF?
Our models span a range for Unitika Ltd: cautious scenario $2.97, base $4.03, optimistic $5.50 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price $8.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UNIKF?
Unitika Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.0 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Unitika Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 44.0%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UNIKF from its 52-week high?
Unitika Ltd trades at $8.21, about 67% below its 52-week high of $24.90 and 455% above the low of $1.48 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Unitika Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Unitika Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price $8.21, calculated fair value $4.03 (−51%), Quality Score 51/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UNIKF calculated?
We run Unitika Ltd through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $4.03 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Unitika Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was $8.21. Our model-based fair value is $4.03, about 51% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Unitika Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($2.97 to $5.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Unitika Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The market capitalisation of Unitika Ltd is $587M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Unitika Ltd is 0.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Earnings per share at Unitika Ltd are $2.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The net margin of Unitika Ltd is 15.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Unitika Ltd is 44.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Unitika Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
The operating margin of Unitika Ltd is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Revenue at Unitika Ltd is growing −22.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Unitika Ltd (UNIKF)?
Earnings per share at Unitika Ltd are growing +211% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Unitika Ltd (UNIKF) carry?
The net debt of Unitika Ltd is ¥9.3B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Why does Unitika Ltd meet the fair value rule although the fair value shown is lower?
Peak profit dampened: $13.56 → $4.03. The latest annual profit is far above the years before, and such peaks rarely last. So we calculate cautiously with $4.03 instead of $13.56. If the profit stays high, we ease the caution year by year. As in the backtest, the fair value rule checks the value before: +65% against the price.
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Some data
Nov 12, 2026