Vivara Participações S.A (VIVA3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$5.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −2.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 107% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$30.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (R$30.60 to R$55.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$15.76 – R$35.34 · fair‑value band R$30.60 – R$55.99 · the R$21.63 price screens below the R$44.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Vivara Participações S.A (VIVA3) currently trades at R$21.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$44.79, implying the stock looks roughly 107.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vivara Participações S.A generated revenue of R$3.1B at a net margin of 19.0%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.8%. Net debt stands at R$863M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$30.60 (bear case) to R$55.99 (bull case); at R$21.63, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 107%, VIVA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$69.63) versus Asset-Based (R$8.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vivara Participações S.A. engages in the manufacture and sale of jewelry and other articles in Latin America. The company offers jewelry products, including rings, necklaces, alliances, toys, solitaires, earrings, chains, currents, pendants, and bracelets.
Full company description
Vivara Participações S.A. engages in the manufacture and sale of jewelry and other articles in Latin America. The company offers jewelry products, including rings, necklaces, alliances, toys, solitaires, earrings, chains, currents, pendants, and bracelets. It also provides watches; accessories, such as sunglasses, wallets and card holders, passport and watch holders, jewelry box, perfumes, cuff links, keychains, pens, and knives; and gift products comprising giftable kits, quiz, graduation, infantile, mother/grandmother, and customizable products. The company sells its products under the Vivara, Tag Heuer, Victorinox, Movado, Baume and Mercier, Bulova, Akium, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, Hugo Boss, Tommy Hilfiger, Olivia Burton, Festina, Adidas, Life By Vivara, Guess. Nautica, Porsche Design, Montblanc, and Festina brands. It offers its products through stores and kiosks, as well as through e-commerce. Vivara Participações S.A. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vivara Participações S.A reported revenue of R$3.0B in FY2025 versus R$1.5B in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$620M in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 132 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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