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Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Zhongsheng Group $0.84, price $0.43, upside +96.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN KYG9894K1085

ZG Zhongsheng Group logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Zhongsheng Group

ZHSHF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $0.8370 · Strongly undervalued (+96.9%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.50 $0.4250 Fair Value $0.8370 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4250 – $8.50 · fair‑value band $0.5490 – $1.21 · the $0.4250 price screens below the $0.8370 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in the People's Republic of China.

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Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in the People's Republic of China. The company operates 4S dealerships for various automobile brands consisting of luxury automobile brands, including Mercedes-Benz, Lexus, BMW, Audi, Jaguar Land Rover, Porsche, Volvo and AITO, as well as mid-to-high end automobile brands, such as Toyota, Nissan, and Honda. It also provides spare parts, automobile accessories, repair and maintenance services, and other automobile-related products and services. In addition, the company offers sales and service of automobile insurance; and provision of other services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Dalian, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF) currently trades at $0.4250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8370, implying the stock looks roughly 49.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $5.59 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.4250 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.15, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.5490 (bear) to $1.21 (bull), the price of $0.4250 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Zhongsheng Group reported revenue of 160B CNY in FY2025 versus 175B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.9B · EPS (TTM) $−0.1000 · Net margin −1.0% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6% · Operating margin −1.4% · Revenue (TTM) 164B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 97%, ZHSHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.5490 Fair Value $0.8370 Bull $1.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.39 $6.63 $9.88 80
Growth DCF $4.36 $6.41 $9.22 78
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.36 $3.00 $3.70 77
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.39 $6.63 $9.88 80
5Y Revenue Exit $3.67 $5.59 $8.08 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.36 $3.00 $3.70 77
10Y Revenue Exit $3.83 $5.60 $8.10 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.13 $3.91 $4.88 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7000 $1.26 $1.74 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7000 $1.15 $1.35 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $1.18 $1.43 $1.68 67
EV/Revenue $3.33 $4.58 $5.82 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.38 $1.85 $2.76 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.36 $6.41 $9.22 78
Rev-Margin DCF $3.67 $5.59 $7.97 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.0% (2020) → −0.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Zhongsheng Group with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 92 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +55.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.31× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $63.62 $25.27 −60%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $202.84 $229.90 +13%
D'Ieteren Group DIE €162.50 €105.40 −35%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 510.00 TWD 558.82 TWD +10%
CarMax, Inc KMX $56.55 $29.62 −48%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $303.07 $517.15 +71%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHB $55.19 $45.83 −17%
AutoNation, Inc AN $166.98 $410.20 +146%
AUTO1 Group AG1 €18.35 €4.53 −75%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $34.82 $30.57 −12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhongsheng Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZHSHF

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8370 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.4250, about +97% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZHSHF?
Our model-based fair value for Zhongsheng Group is $0.8370 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.4250.
What is the quality score of ZHSHF?
Zhongsheng Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8370 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5490, optimistic scenario $1.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhongsheng Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8370, about +97% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.4250 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.5490, optimistic scenario $1.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Zhongsheng Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 164B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongsheng Group it is $0.8370 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.4250. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhongsheng Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ZHSHF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.4250, fair value $0.8370, a gap of about +97% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZHSHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8370). For Zhongsheng Group the two are $0.4120 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhongsheng Group worth?
The market values Zhongsheng Group at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.4250; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8370 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZHSHF?
Our models span a range for Zhongsheng Group: cautious scenario $0.5490, base $0.8370, optimistic $1.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.4250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhongsheng Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.2%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ZHSHF from its 52-week high?
Zhongsheng Group trades at $0.4250, about 74% below its 52-week high of $1.64 and at the low of $0.4250 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8370 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhongsheng Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, D'Ieteren Group, Hotai Motor Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhongsheng Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.4250, calculated fair value $0.8370 (+97%), Quality Score 53/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZHSHF calculated?
We run Zhongsheng Group through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8370, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhongsheng Group currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.4250. Our model-based fair value is $0.8370, about +97% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhongsheng Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.5490). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($0.5490 to $1.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF) come from?
Earnings per share at Zhongsheng Group grew +17.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.4 %, EBIT margin −1.2 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Zhongsheng Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
The market capitalisation of Zhongsheng Group is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Earnings per share at Zhongsheng Group are $−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
The net margin of Zhongsheng Group is −1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongsheng Group is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongsheng Group is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
The operating margin of Zhongsheng Group is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Revenue at Zhongsheng Group is growing +1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF)?
Earnings per share at Zhongsheng Group are growing −35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhongsheng Group is 5.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhongsheng Group (ZHSHF) carry?
The net debt of Zhongsheng Group is 27.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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