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GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GD Express Carrier Bhd stock MYR 0.18, price MYR 0.13, upside +38.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials MY · ISIN MYQ0078OO004

GE GD Express Carrier Bhd logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

GD Express Carrier Bhd

0078 · KLSE
Undervalued, in an uptrend

The stock costs 28% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 0.1800 MYR · Undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
1.5% dividend yield · Cash covered
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 8% above the price (0.1400 MYR).
Quality 59/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.7 %/yr in MYR)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 24/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.3288 MYR 0.0837 MYR Fair Value 0.1800 MYR Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0837 MYR – 0.3288 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1400 MYR – 0.2200 MYR · the 0.1300 MYR price screens below the 0.1800 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

GDEX Berhad, an investment holding company, provides express delivery and logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, and Indonesia. It operates through Express Delivery, Logistics, Information Technology, Property Management, and Others segment.

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The company offers domestic express delivery services, including next day delivery, same day delivery, cash on delivery, reverse charge, security handling, bulk shipment delivery, delivery order, TAC delivery, and on-board courier services; international express delivery; local land, cross border land, air freight, and sea freight; shipment protection services.

It also provides warehousing services; and digital solutions comprising insurance, retail solutions, web solutions, and cyber security solutions.

In addition, the company offers web design; e-commerce; website development; business software solutions and other related services; cyber security consulting; trading of computer and information technology; multimedia services; software application; internet; computer networking; and consultancy services.

Further, it provides property, facilities, and assets management services, as well as insurance agent services and training, advisory, and payment processing agent services; operates cafe; designs, develops, and supports e-commerce and corporate website solutions; computer programming activities.

Additionally, the company engages in intellectual property resources business. The company was formerly known as GD Express Carrier Bhd and changed its name to GDEX Berhad in December 2020. GDEX Berhad was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) currently trades at 0.1300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1800 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 28% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.0900 MYR per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 0.1300 MYR price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0200 MYR, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.1400 MYR (bear) to 0.2200 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1300 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

GD Express Carrier Bhd reported revenue of 416M MYR in FY2026 versus 637M MYR in FY2022, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7M MYR in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 719M MYR (≈ $177M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.70 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.9% · Revenue (TTM) 418M MYR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 38%, 0078 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1400 MYR Fair Value 0.1800 MYR Bull 0.2200 MYR
Price 0.1300 MYR · Upside +38.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 0.0700 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 82
Growth DCF 0.0700 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1100 MYR 80
Owner Earnings 0.0700 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1100 MYR 78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0700 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 82
Owner Earnings 0.0700 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1100 MYR 78
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0500 MYR 0.0500 MYR 0.0600 MYR 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0900 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1900 MYR 75
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 MYR 0.0700 MYR 0.0800 MYR 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0800 MYR 0.1100 MYR 0.1600 MYR 68
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 63
EV/EBITDA 0.0800 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 67
EV/Revenue n/a n/a 0.0100 MYR 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0200 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0700 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1100 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0500 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0700 MYR 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 72

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 55
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 74
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 46
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 49
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 65
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 93
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.2% (2021) → 1.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +38.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 2.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.72× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 21.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 23.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)85 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)12 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 64

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥34.54 ¥45.60 +32% vs 0078
FedEx Corporation FDX $308.14 $350.86 +14% vs 0078
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $108.30 $107.24 −1% vs 0078
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.02 €53.62 −8% vs 0078
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $184.61 $117.46 −36% vs 0078
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 235.50 CHF 147.92 −37% vs 0078
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $217.55 $133.78 −39% vs 0078
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €24.52 €14.76 −40% vs 0078
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,470 kr 711.95 −52% vs 0078
FedEx Freight Holding FDXF $123.56 $54.55 −56% vs 0078

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GD Express Carrier Bhd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GD Express Carrier Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0078

Frequently asked questions

Is GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1800 MYR versus a price of 0.1300 MYR, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0078?
Our model-based fair value for GD Express Carrier Bhd is 0.1800 MYR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0078?
GD Express Carrier Bhd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1800 MYR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1400 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2200 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GD Express Carrier Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1800 MYR, about +38% upside versus a price of 0.1300 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.1400 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2200 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
GD Express Carrier Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 418M MYR (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does GD Express Carrier Bhd pay a dividend?
GD Express Carrier Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) and when is the ex-dividend date?
GD Express Carrier Bhd pays a dividend of 0.002 MYR per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 11, 2026. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.06 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GD Express Carrier Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0078 use?
Our models discount GD Express Carrier Bhd at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.01, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GD Express Carrier Bhd that is +13.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GD Express Carrier Bhd grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +13.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GD Express Carrier Bhd (+13.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.66 %: that much free cash flow GD Express Carrier Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GD Express Carrier Bhd it is 0.1800 MYR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 0.1300 MYR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is GD Express Carrier Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 0078 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1300 MYR, fair value 0.1800 MYR, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0078?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1800 MYR). For GD Express Carrier Bhd the two are 0.0500 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GD Express Carrier Bhd worth?
The market values GD Express Carrier Bhd at about 719M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 0.1300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1800 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0078?
Our models span a range for GD Express Carrier Bhd: cautious scenario 0.1400 MYR, base 0.1800 MYR, optimistic 0.2200 MYR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 0.1300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Balance-sheet figures for GD Express Carrier Bhd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0078 from its 52-week high?
GD Express Carrier Bhd trades at 0.1300 MYR, about 9% below its 52-week high of 0.1429 MYR and 26% above the low of 0.1034 MYR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1800 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GD Express Carrier Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GD Express Carrier Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 0.1300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1800 MYR (+38%), Quality Score 59/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0078 calculated?
We run GD Express Carrier Bhd through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.1800 MYR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. GD Express Carrier Bhd currently trades 28% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.1300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1800 MYR, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GD Express Carrier Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1400 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of GD Express Carrier Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The market capitalisation of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 719M MYR (≈ $177M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 1.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The dividend yield of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The net margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 0.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GD Express Carrier Bhd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The operating margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Revenue at GD Express Carrier Bhd is growing +2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Earnings per share at GD Express Carrier Bhd are growing −27.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) carry?
The net debt of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 49.2M MYR (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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