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GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GD Express Carrier Bhd MYR 0.20, price MYR 0.13, upside +53.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · MY · ISIN MYQ0078OO004

GE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

GD Express Carrier Bhd

0078 · KLSE

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 0.2000 MYR · Strongly undervalued (+54%)
!Quality 59/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.54% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.3574 MYR 0.0837 MYR Fair Value 0.2000 MYR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0837 MYR – 0.3574 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1556 MYR – 0.2000 MYR · the 0.1300 MYR price screens below the 0.2000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

GDEX Berhad, an investment holding company, provides express delivery and logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, and Indonesia. It operates through Express Delivery, Logistics, Information Technology, Property Management, and Others segment.

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GDEX Berhad, an investment holding company, provides express delivery and logistics services in Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, and Indonesia. It operates through Express Delivery, Logistics, Information Technology, Property Management, and Others segment. The company offers domestic express delivery services, including next day delivery, same day delivery, cash on delivery, reverse charge, security handling, bulk shipment delivery, delivery order, TAC delivery, and on-board courier services; international express delivery; local land, cross border land, air freight, and sea freight; shipment protection services. It also provides warehousing services; and digital solutions comprising insurance, retail solutions, web solutions, and cyber security solutions. In addition, the company offers web design; e-commerce; website development; business software solutions and other related services; cyber security consulting; trading of computer and information technology; multimedia services; software application; internet; computer networking; and consultancy services. Further, it provides property, facilities, and assets management services, as well as insurance agent services and training, advisory, and payment processing agent services; operates cafe; designs, develops, and supports e-commerce and corporate website solutions; computer programming activities. Additionally, the company engages in intellectual property resources business. The company was formerly known as GD Express Carrier Bhd and changed its name to GDEX Berhad in December 2020. GDEX Berhad was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) currently trades at 0.1300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 35.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.1100 MYR per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.1300 MYR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0300 MYR, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.1556 MYR (bear) to 0.2000 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1300 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

GD Express Carrier Bhd reported revenue of 416M MYR in FY2026 versus 637M MYR in FY2022, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7M MYR in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 719M MYR (≈ $176M) · P/S ratio 1.78 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity −0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% · Operating margin 1.2% · Revenue (TTM) 416M MYR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 54%, 0078 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1556 MYR Fair Value 0.2000 MYR Bull 0.2000 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1100 MYR 0.1400 MYR 82
Growth DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.1300 MYR 80
Owner Earnings 0.0800 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1600 MYR 77
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1100 MYR 0.1400 MYR 82
Owner Earnings 0.0800 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1600 MYR 77
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0500 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0600 MYR 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0900 MYR 0.1400 MYR 0.2000 MYR 75
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 MYR 0.0700 MYR 0.0800 MYR 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0800 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1800 MYR 68
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0100 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0300 MYR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0100 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0300 MYR 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 66
EV/EBITDA 0.1100 MYR 0.1400 MYR 0.1700 MYR 67
EV/Revenue 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0400 MYR 0.0500 MYR 0.0700 MYR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.1300 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0500 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0700 MYR 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 0.0200 MYR 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.2% (2021) → 1.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +54% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.42× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $95.87 $107.84 +12%
FedEx Corporation FDX $295.94 $347.68 +17%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.62 €136.05 +132%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,235 kr 712.57 −42%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 231.20 CHF 147.92 −36%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $237.41 $133.80 −44%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.94 ¥106.04 +243%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $149.56 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $187.51 $115.95 −38%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$155.70 HK$260.98 +68%

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GD Express Carrier Bhd · Fair Value
0.2000 MYR +35%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GD Express Carrier Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0078

Frequently asked questions

Is GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2000 MYR versus a price of 0.1300 MYR, about +54% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0078?
Our model-based fair value for GD Express Carrier Bhd is 0.2000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 0078?
GD Express Carrier Bhd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1556 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2000 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GD Express Carrier Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2000 MYR, about +54% upside versus a price of 0.1300 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.1556 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.2000 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
GD Express Carrier Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 416M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GD Express Carrier Bhd pay a dividend?
GD Express Carrier Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GD Express Carrier Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +13.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0078 use?
Our models discount GD Express Carrier Bhd at 14.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GD Express Carrier Bhd that is +13.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GD Express Carrier Bhd grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies +13.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GD Express Carrier Bhd (+13.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.66 %: that much free cash flow GD Express Carrier Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GD Express Carrier Bhd it is 0.2000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1300 MYR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GD Express Carrier Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0078 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1300 MYR, fair value 0.2000 MYR, a gap of about +54% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0078?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2000 MYR). For GD Express Carrier Bhd the two are 0.0700 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GD Express Carrier Bhd worth?
The market values GD Express Carrier Bhd at about 719M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2000 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0078?
Our models span a range for GD Express Carrier Bhd: cautious scenario 0.1556 MYR, base 0.2000 MYR, optimistic 0.2000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Balance-sheet figures for GD Express Carrier Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0078 from its 52-week high?
GD Express Carrier Bhd trades at 0.1300 MYR, about 9% below its 52-week high of 0.1429 MYR and 47% above the low of 0.0887 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2000 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GD Express Carrier Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GD Express Carrier Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.2000 MYR (+54%), Quality Score 59/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0078 calculated?
We run GD Express Carrier Bhd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2000 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GD Express Carrier Bhd currently trades 54 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.1300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.2000 MYR, about +54% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GD Express Carrier Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1556 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of GD Express Carrier Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The market capitalisation of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 719M MYR (≈ $176M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 1.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The dividend yield of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The net margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd is −0.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GD Express Carrier Bhd is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
The operating margin of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Revenue at GD Express Carrier Bhd is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078)?
Earnings per share at GD Express Carrier Bhd are growing −27.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GD Express Carrier Bhd (0078) carry?
The net debt of GD Express Carrier Bhd is 49.2M MYR (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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