Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Regal Holding Co Ltd stock TWD 12.59, price TWD 29.00, that is 56.6% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.25 TWD – 45.00 TWD · fair‑value band 7.88 TWD – 17.31 TWD · the 29.00 TWD price screens above the 12.59 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Regal Holding Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry in Thailand, the United States, France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and internationally. The company offers silvers, pendants, rings, wristbands, earrings, bracelets, necklaces, and accessories.
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It is involved in the wholesale of diamonds; sale of precious metal jewelry; and international trading. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.
Stock analysis
Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807) currently trades at 29.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.59 TWD, 57% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 28.81 TWD per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the 29.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 5.02 TWD, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 7.88 TWD (bear) to 17.31 TWD (bull), the price of 29.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Regal Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −9.1M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B TWD (≈ $67.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) 2.85 TWD · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at −57%, 4807 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear7.88 TWDFair Value 12.59 TWDBull17.31 TWD
Price 29.00 TWD · Downside -56.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.44 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF29.40 TWD37.90 TWD50.72 TWD82
Growth DCF30.11 TWD38.14 TWD49.51 TWD80
Owner Earnings10.77 TWD13.50 TWD17.61 TWD78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF29.40 TWD37.90 TWD50.72 TWD82
Owner Earnings10.77 TWD13.50 TWD17.61 TWD78
5Y Revenue Exit16.08 TWD18.85 TWD22.40 TWD74
5Y EBITDA Exit21.75 TWD28.61 TWD36.89 TWD76
10Y Revenue Exit21.35 TWD24.58 TWD27.90 TWD68
10Y EBITDA Exit24.75 TWD30.64 TWD37.16 TWD70
Earnings-Based
EPV4.64 TWD5.02 TWD5.34 TWD74
Multiples
EV/EBIT0.2500 TWD2.80 TWD5.34 TWD57
EV/EBITDA9.27 TWD14.81 TWD20.36 TWD66
EV/Revenuen/an/a2.18 TWD50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)4.34 TWD6.57 TWD8.21 TWD55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF30.11 TWD38.14 TWD49.51 TWD80
Rev-Margin DCF16.08 TWD19.47 TWD23.71 TWD74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder4.64 TWD5.02 TWD5.34 TWD72
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.5% (2020) → 1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 121 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−56.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.6% · Below median
Return on assets−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)41.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)10.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.92× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA9.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 53
PAST (return on equity)54· sector 57
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regal Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4807
Frequently asked questions
Is Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.59 TWD versus a price of 29.00 TWD, about 57% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4807?
Our model-based fair value for Regal Holding Co Ltd is 12.59 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 29.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4807?
Regal Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.59 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.88 TWD, optimistic scenario 17.31 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Regal Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.59 TWD, about 57% lower versus a price of 29.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.88 TWD, optimistic scenario 17.31 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Regal Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Regal Holding Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4807 use?
Our models discount Regal Holding Co Ltd at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Regal Holding Co Ltd that is +10.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Regal Holding Co Ltd grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +10.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Regal Holding Co Ltd (+10.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.29 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Regal Holding Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Regal Holding Co Ltd it is 12.59 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 29.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Regal Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 4807 trades above its calculated fair value: price 29.00 TWD, fair value 12.59 TWD, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4807?
No. The price is what the market pays today (29.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.59 TWD). For Regal Holding Co Ltd the two are 16.41 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Regal Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Regal Holding Co Ltd at about 2.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 29.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 12.59 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4807?
Our models span a range for Regal Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario 7.88 TWD, base 12.59 TWD, optimistic 17.31 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 29.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4807?
Regal Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 12.59 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2016 to 2022), reported earnings: 13.4. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Balance-sheet figures for Regal Holding Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4807 from its 52-week high?
Regal Holding Co Ltd trades at 29.00 TWD, about 36% below its 52-week high of 45.00 TWD and 104% above the low of 14.25 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12.59 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Regal Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Tapestry, Inc, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Regal Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 29.00 TWD, calculated fair value 12.59 TWD (−57%), Quality Score 52/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4807 calculated?
We run Regal Holding Co Ltd through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 12.59 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Regal Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 29.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 12.59 TWD, about 57% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Regal Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (17.31 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (7.88 TWD to 17.31 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Regal Holding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The market capitalisation of Regal Holding Co Ltd is 2.2B TWD (≈ $67.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Regal Holding Co Ltd is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Earnings per share at Regal Holding Co Ltd are 2.85 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The net margin of Regal Holding Co Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Regal Holding Co Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Regal Holding Co Ltd is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
The operating margin of Regal Holding Co Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Revenue at Regal Holding Co Ltd is growing +41.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807)?
Earnings per share at Regal Holding Co Ltd are growing −46.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Regal Holding Co Ltd (4807) carry?
The net debt of Regal Holding Co Ltd is 362M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026