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AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc stock $11.13, price $4.45, upside +150.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate US

AM AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc logo Broad data Nov 8, 2026

AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc

MITT · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 60% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $11.13 · Strongly undervalued
Highly profitable · 24.7% net margin (TTM)
Upbeat coverage
Broad data
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 141% above the price ($10.74).
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +22.6 %/yr in USD)
21.3% dividend yield · Payout strained
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Quality 37/100
Narrow moat 30/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.91 $2.36 Fair Value $11.13 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.36 – $8.91 · fair‑value band $10.74 – $13.26 · the $4.45 price screens below the $11.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. operates as a residential mortgage real estate investment trust in the United States.

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Its investment portfolio comprises residential investments, such as non-agency loans, agency-eligible loans, home equity loans, re-and non-performing loans, and non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, as well as commercial loans and commercial mortgage-backed securities.

The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders.

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. was formerly known as AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. and changed its name to TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. in December 2025. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of TPG Inc.

Stock analysis

AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) currently trades at $4.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.13, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $24.92 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the $4.45 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.40, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $10.74 (bear) to $13.26 (bull), the price of $4.45 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc reported revenue of $473M in FY2025 versus $99.8M in FY2021, a compound +47.5%/yr. Reported net income was $48.7M in FY2025, compounding −17.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $142M Micro · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) $0.7400 · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −76.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 56% fair-value upside, at 150%, MITT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $10.74 Fair Value $11.13 Bull $13.26
Price $4.45 · Upside +150.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $12.68 $13.14 $14.08 76
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a n/a $5.75 72
Gordon GGM $8.43 $12.87 $15.66 69
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a n/a $5.75 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.43 $12.87 $15.66 69
DDM Multi-Stage $8.43 $12.75 $13.94 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $19.51 $26.01 $32.52 58
P/B Multiple $17.86 $23.82 $29.77 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.51 $11.40 $17.01 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.68 $13.14 $14.08 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 64
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 3
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 30
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 9
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 28
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−13.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.0% vs −13.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.78% → 97%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Mortgage · 31 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +150.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.5% · Below median
Return on assets 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 24.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −76.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −90.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 21.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 14.45× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Mortgage median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 6.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.59× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 2.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 17.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 100
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 97
PAST (return on equity)10 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 100

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Mortgage stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
MFA Financial, Inc MFA $6.21 $14.69 +137% vs MITT
AGNC Investment Corp AGNC $8.78 $18.66 +113% vs MITT
Starwood Property Trust, Inc STWD $12.05 $25.00 +107% vs MITT
Orchid Island Capital, Inc ORC $4.94 $8.77 +78% vs MITT
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc ARR $12.60 $19.59 +56% vs MITT
Rithm Capital Corp RITM $9.23 $13.14 +42% vs MITT
Annaly Capital Management, Inc NLY $18.75 $19.24 +3% vs MITT
Ellington Financial Inc EFC $11.26 $11.12 −1% vs MITT
Dynex Capital, Inc DX $10.68 $9.12 −15% vs MITT
Ladder Capital Corp LADR $8.91 $7.56 −15% vs MITT

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AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MITT

Frequently asked questions

Is AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.13 versus a price of $4.45, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MITT?
Our model-based fair value for AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is $11.13 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.45.
What is the quality score of MITT?
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.13 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.74, optimistic scenario $13.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.13, about +150% upside versus a price of $4.45 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.74, optimistic scenario $13.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc it is $11.13 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $4.45. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, MITT trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.45, fair value $11.13, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MITT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.13). For AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc the two are $6.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc worth?
The market values AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc at about $142M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $4.45; our models calculate a fair value of $11.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MITT?
Our models span a range for AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc: cautious scenario $10.74, base $11.13, optimistic $13.26 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $4.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MITT?
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.13 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 2.5 (reported for FY2025: 2.8). Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 17.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
Balance-sheet figures for AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 14.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MITT from its 52-week high?
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc trades at $4.45, about 50% below its 52-week high of $8.91 and at the low of $4.45 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Annaly Capital Management, Inc, AGNC Investment Corp, Rithm Capital Corp, Starwood Property Trust, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $4.45, calculated fair value $11.13 (+150%), Quality Score 37/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MITT calculated?
We run AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc through 7 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $11.13 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.45. Our model-based fair value is $11.13, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) come from?
Earnings per share at AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc grew −12.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −15.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
The market capitalisation of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is $142M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is 0.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
Earnings per share at AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc are $0.7400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
The net margin of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is 10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
The operating margin of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is −76.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
Revenue at AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is growing −90.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT)?
Earnings per share at AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc are growing −15.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) generate?
The free cash flow of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is $59.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) carry?
The net debt of AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc is $8.0B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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