2490 (2490) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$2.8B

2 2490 2490 · HK

PriceHK$4.53

Fair ValueHK$4.29

Upside-5.3%

Quality43/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$3.22 – HK$5.36

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price +10.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$3.70 – HK$9.26 · fair‑value band HK$3.22 – HK$5.36 · the HK$4.53 price screens above the HK$4.29 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2490 (2490) currently trades at HK$4.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.29 — implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2490 generated revenue of HK$1.9B at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue declined 18.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$334M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.9B

Revenue growth (YoY) -18.9%

Net margin 7.4%

Return on equity 10.3%

Free cash flow −HK$197M FY2025

P/E ratio 16.2

More key figures

Operating margin 3.9%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.1900

EPS growth (YoY) -93.1%

Net cash HK$334M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2490 reported revenue of HK$1.8B in FY2025 versus HK$4.2B in FY2021, a compound −18.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$134M in FY2025, compounding −23.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −18.8%/yr

FY21 HK$4.2B

FY22 HK$4.6B

FY23 HK$1.2B

FY24 HK$1.9B

FY25 HK$1.8B

Net income −23.1%/yr

FY21 HK$384M

FY22 HK$381M

FY23 HK$119M

FY24 HK$396M

FY25 HK$134M

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6 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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FedEx Corporation FDX	€283.50	€233.43	-18%
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS	$107.24	$104.49	-3%
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Frequently asked questions

Is 2490 (2490) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.29 versus a price of HK$4.53 — about −5% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2490?

Our model-based fair value for 2490 is HK$4.29 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.53.

What is the quality score of 2490?

2490 has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2490 (2490)?

2490 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2490?

The net profit margin of 2490 is about 7.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.