Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co (300409) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 17.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.53 – ¥34.54 · fair‑value band ¥7.03 – ¥11.70 · the ¥19.27 price screens above the ¥9.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co (300409) currently trades at ¥19.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.36, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co generated revenue of 8.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 27.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.03 (bear case) to ¥11.70 (bull case); at ¥19.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -51%, 300409 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.68) versus Asset-Based (¥6.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium batteries, carbon, and ceramic materials in China and internationally.
Full company description
Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium batteries, carbon, and ceramic materials in China and internationally. The company offers solid state battery materials, such as silicon-carbon anode, single walled carbon nanotube powder/slurry, and solid-state electrolyte; AI intelligent computing products; carbon materials, including single walled carbon, Oligowalled carbon, and multi-walled nanotube powder and conductive pastes, as well as silicon carbon negative electrode; lithium battery materials, such as triple precursor body and cobalt salts; and ceramic materials. Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is based in Enping, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co reported revenue of ¥8.2B in FY2025 versus ¥6.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥507M in FY2025, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2021.
300409 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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