Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A ¥78.95, price ¥31.37, upside +151.7%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥30.79 – ¥86.19 · fair‑value band ¥55.26 – ¥102.63 · the ¥31.37 price screens below the ¥78.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. operates in the jewelry industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company researches, designs, produces, and sells gold, silver, platinum, diamonds, white jade, jadeite, pearls, gold inlays, colored gemstones, enamel, K gold jewelry glass, corals, watches, amber, brooches, arts and crafts souvenirs.
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Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. operates in the jewelry industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company researches, designs, produces, and sells gold, silver, platinum, diamonds, white jade, jadeite, pearls, gold inlays, colored gemstones, enamel, K gold jewelry glass, corals, watches, amber, brooches, arts and crafts souvenirs. The company was formerly known as China First Pencil Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. in July 2009. Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. was founded in 1848 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) currently trades at ¥31.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥78.95, implying the stock looks roughly 60.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥138.30 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥31.37 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥19.37, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥55.26 (bear) to ¥102.63 (bull), the price of ¥31.37 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A reported revenue of 52.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 58.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B CNY in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.4B CNY (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 13.1 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.39 · Dividend yield 4.8% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 152%, 600612 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥55.26Fair Value ¥78.95Bull ¥102.63
Price ¥31.37 · Upside +151.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6626 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.0% vs 5.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.8% a year for the forecasts.
Compare Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 124 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+151.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.8% · Below median
Return on assets7.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−60.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600612
Frequently asked questions
Is Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥78.95 versus a price of ¥31.37, about +152% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600612?
Our model-based fair value for Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is ¥78.95 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥31.37.
What is the quality score of 600612?
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥78.95 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥55.26, optimistic scenario ¥102.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥78.95, about +152% upside versus a price of ¥31.37 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥55.26, optimistic scenario ¥102.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A pay a dividend?
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.85% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.4 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600612 use?
Our models discount Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A grew +0.4 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 35.29 %: that much free cash flow Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A it is ¥78.95 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ¥31.37. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 600612 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥31.37, fair value ¥78.95, a gap of about +152% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600612?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥31.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥78.95). For Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A the two are ¥47.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A worth?
The market values Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A at about 16.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ¥31.37; our models calculate a fair value of ¥78.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600612?
Our models span a range for Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A: cautious scenario ¥55.26, base ¥78.95, optimistic ¥102.63 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ¥31.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600612?
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥78.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.1, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 600612?
The PEG ratio of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 0.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 1, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600612 from its 52-week high?
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A trades at ¥31.37, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥50.98 and 2% above the low of ¥30.79 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥78.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ¥31.37, calculated fair value ¥78.95 (+152%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600612 calculated?
We run Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥78.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥31.37. Our model-based fair value is ¥78.95, about +152% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥55.26). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥55.26 to ¥102.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) come from?
Earnings per share at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A grew +7.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.4 %, EBIT margin +2.2 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A
How large is the market capitalisation of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The market capitalisation of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 16.4B CNY (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Earnings per share at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A are ¥2.39 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The dividend yield of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 4.8% (payout 63.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The net margin of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 14.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
The operating margin of Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Revenue at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A is growing −60.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612)?
Earnings per share at Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) hold?
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A holds more cash than debt, 3.1B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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