Bondex Supply Chain Management Co (603836) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥10.67 to ¥7.92 (−25.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.00 to ¥8.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ¥4.00 (bear) to ¥8.85 (bull), base ¥7.92. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.90 – ¥29.18 · fair‑value band ¥4.00 – ¥8.85 · the ¥8.94 price screens above the ¥7.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Bondex Supply Chain Management Co (603836) currently trades at ¥8.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.92, implying the stock looks roughly 11.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bondex Supply Chain Management Co generated revenue of 8.6B CNY at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 821M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.00 (bear case) to ¥8.85 (bull case); at ¥8.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -11%, 603836 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.96) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 603836 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bondex Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. provides logistics services in China. The company offers basic segmented logistics services, such as sea freight services, land transport services, air freight services, railway transport services, customs affairs services, and warehouse services; one-stop contract logistics services for automobile industry, fresh …
Full company description
Bondex Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. provides logistics services in China. The company offers basic segmented logistics services, such as sea freight services, land transport services, air freight services, railway transport services, customs affairs services, and warehouse services; one-stop contract logistics services for automobile industry, fresh and perishable goods, expo logistics, project and bulk logistics, cross-border e-commerce; lean supply chain logistics services for the semiconductor industry; and supply chain trade services. It also provides client-oriented logistics services, including door-door delivery, customs affairs management, and warehousing and distribution to various industries, including electronics, semiconductors, overseas projects, automobiles, cross-border e-commerce, fresh food, fashion consumer goods, etc. Bondex Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bondex Supply Chain Management Co reported revenue of ¥8.7B in FY2025 versus ¥11.9B in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥26.1M in FY2025, compounding −51.7%/yr from FY2021.
603836 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
Compare Bondex Supply Chain Management Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Bondex Supply Chain Management Co (603836) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 603836?
What is the quality score of 603836?
What is the revenue of Bondex Supply Chain Management Co (603836)?
What is the net profit margin of 603836?
Does Bondex Supply Chain Management Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Bondex Supply Chain Management Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.