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China Master Logistics Co (603967) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

CM China Master Logistics Co 603967 · SHG
Price¥11.40
Fair Value¥13.25
Upside+16.3%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.43% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.94 – ¥16.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥16.24 to ¥13.25 (−18.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥9.94 (bear) to ¥16.57 (bull), base ¥13.25. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.73 ¥6.97 Fair Value ¥13.25 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.97 – ¥14.73 · fair‑value band ¥9.94 – ¥16.57 · the ¥11.40 price screens below the ¥13.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

China Master Logistics Co (603967) currently trades at ¥11.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.25, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Master Logistics Co generated revenue of 9.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 147M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.94 (bear case) to ¥16.57 (bull case); at ¥11.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 16%, 603967 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥20.75 ¥30.23 ¥43.57 80
Residual Income ¥6.16 ¥6.87 ¥9.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.24 ¥22.55 ¥31.28 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥20.60 ¥31.61 ¥48.29 38
Owner Earnings ¥12.84 ¥19.33 ¥29.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥15.24 ¥22.44 ¥31.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.88 ¥27.49 ¥38.77 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥15.24 ¥22.43 ¥30.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥16.70 ¥23.76 ¥33.23 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.69 ¥27.23 ¥38.74 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥17.03 ¥23.75 ¥32.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.12 ¥17.88 ¥24.03 54
Lynch FV ¥4.16 ¥5.94 ¥7.73 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.16 ¥5.94 ¥7.73 46
EPV ¥10.06 ¥11.38 ¥12.52 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.52 ¥11.00 ¥16.66 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.52 ¥9.47 ¥11.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.85 ¥15.80 ¥19.75 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.59 ¥12.79 ¥15.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.59 ¥12.79 ¥15.99 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.18 ¥22.35 ¥27.52 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.09 ¥23.56 ¥29.03 54
EV/Revenue ¥12.74 ¥17.48 ¥22.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.44 ¥4.61 ¥6.88 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥20.75 ¥30.23 ¥43.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥15.24 ¥22.55 ¥31.28 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.16 ¥6.87 ¥9.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.70 ¥13.15 ¥16.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.21 ¥14.59 ¥18.97 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.75) versus Asset-Based (¥4.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.0%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 13.0%
Free cash flow 589M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.4
More key figures
Operating margin 4.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8400
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +45.0%
Net cash 147M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Master Logistics Co., Ltd. operates as an integrated logistics company in China. It operates through Cross-Border Container Logistics; Engineering Logistics; and Resource Transshipment Logistics segments.

Full company description

China Master Logistics Co., Ltd. operates as an integrated logistics company in China. It operates through Cross-Border Container Logistics; Engineering Logistics; and Resource Transshipment Logistics segments. The company offers freight forwarding services comprising booking agency, freight forwarding, TCR logistics, air parcel, customs clearance, supply chain management, over-seas network, and consultation solutions. It also provides container management, depot service, container leasing, container technical services, LCL logistics, and bonded logistics services; and international shipping agency, emergency rescue and tugging, issuing B/L on behalf of carrier, chartering and booking, and spare parts logistics services. In addition, the company offers coastal transportation services, such as foreign trade feeder services, domestic cargo transportation, coastal empty re-position, break bulk transportation, special cargo shipping solution, and out of gauge (OOG) containers; projects logistics and professional heavy hauling vehicles solutions; bulk logistics solutions and various value-added services; and cold chain logistics solutions. Further, it provides land transportation management platform. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China. China Master Logistics Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Qingdao Zhongchuang United Investment Development Co. Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Master Logistics Co reported revenue of ¥8.9B in FY2025 versus ¥12.4B in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥261M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.9B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.3%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+11.4%
Revenue −8.1%/yr
FY21 ¥12.4B
FY22 ¥11.9B
FY23 ¥7.4B
FY24 ¥11.8B
FY25 ¥8.9B
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 ¥208M
FY22 ¥244M
FY23 ¥240M
FY24 ¥253M
FY25 ¥261M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Master Logistics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603967

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 55 · sector 45
FUTURE 25 · sector 8
PAST 52 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Master Logistics Co (603967) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.25 versus a price of ¥11.40, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603967?
Our model-based fair value for China Master Logistics Co is ¥13.25 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.40.
What is the quality score of 603967?
China Master Logistics Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Master Logistics Co (603967)?
China Master Logistics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603967?
The net profit margin of China Master Logistics Co is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Master Logistics Co pay a dividend?
China Master Logistics Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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