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Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of Armlogi Holding Corp. $0.24, price $0.20, upside +20.5%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US0422551095

AH Armlogi Holding Corp. logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Armlogi Holding Corp.

BTOC · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value $0.2400 · Undervalued (+20.5%)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +83.2 %/yr in USD)
Quality 28/100
Loss-making · -11.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.89 $0.1991 Fair Value $0.2400 May 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range $0.1991 – $7.89 · fair‑value band $0.1800 – $0.3600 · the $0.1991 price screens below the $0.2400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Armlogi Holding Corp., together with its subsidiaries, a third-party logistics company, provides multi-model transportation and logistics services in the United States.

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Armlogi Holding Corp., together with its subsidiaries, a third-party logistics company, provides multi-model transportation and logistics services in the United States. also offers customs brokerage services; transportation of merchandise to warehouses; and warehouse management and order fulfillment services, including product storage and retrieval, product packing and labeling, kitting and repackaging, order assembly and load consolidation, inventory management and sales forecasting, third-party distribution coordination, and other value-added services. In addition, the company provides port trucking, truck dispatching, and leasing services. Armlogi Holding Corp. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Walnut, California.

Stock analysis

Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock (BTOC) currently trades at $0.1991, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.1800 (bear) to $0.3600 (bull), the price of $0.1991 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock reported revenue of $186M in FY2026 versus $56.0M in FY2022, a compound +35.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $10.3M · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4700 · Net margin −11.2% · Return on equity −126% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin −12.8% · Revenue (TTM) $186M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 21%, BTOC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1800 Fair Value $0.2400 Bull $0.3600
Price $0.1991 · Upside +20.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.7% (2021) → −11.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (19 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Compare Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 207 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +20.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −8.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −11.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −12.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)61 · sector 50
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.19 ¥109.70 +252% vs BTOC
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.56 €137.08 +147% vs BTOC
FedEx Corporation FDX $291.71 $349.54 +20% vs BTOC
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $93.11 $107.34 +15% vs BTOC
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 228.50 CHF 147.92 −35% vs BTOC
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,153 kr 711.95 −38% vs BTOC
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $142.31 $87.31 −39% vs BTOC
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $193.24 $116.66 −40% vs BTOC
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €23.88 €14.24 −40% vs BTOC
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $228.31 $133.80 −41% vs BTOC

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BTOC

Frequently asked questions

Is Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2400 versus a price of $0.1991, about +21% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BTOC?
Our model-based fair value for Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is $0.2400 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1991.
What is the quality score of BTOC?
Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2400 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2400, about +21% upside versus a price of $0.1991 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1800, optimistic scenario $0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $186M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock it is $0.2400 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.1991. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BTOC trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1991, fair value $0.2400, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BTOC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1991); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2400). For Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock the two are $0.0409 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock worth?
The market values Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock at about $10.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.1991; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BTOC?
Our models span a range for Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock: cautious scenario $0.1800, base $0.2400, optimistic $0.3600 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.1991). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −126.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BTOC from its 52-week high?
Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock trades at $0.1991, about 74% below its 52-week high of $0.7720 and at the low of $0.1991 (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.1991, calculated fair value $0.2400 (+21%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BTOC calculated?
We run Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was $0.1991. Our model-based fair value is $0.2400, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.1800 to $0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
The market capitalisation of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is $10.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Earnings per share at Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock are $−0.4700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
The net margin of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is −11.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is −126% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
The operating margin of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is −12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Revenue at Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is growing −15.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC)?
Earnings per share at Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock are growing −68.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC) generate?
The free cash flow of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is −$7.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Armlogi Holding Corp. (BTOC) carry?
The net debt of Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock is $110M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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