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Freightways Group Ltd (FRW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Freightways Group Ltd A$11.65, price A$10.59, upside +10.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · AU · ISIN NZFREE0001S0

FG Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Freightways Group Ltd

FRW · AU

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value A$11.65 · Fairly valued (+10%)
!Quality 59/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.97% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Insider activity 30/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$12.39 A$6.27 Fair Value A$11.65 Oct 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

35‑month range A$6.27 – A$12.39 · fair‑value band A$8.74 – A$15.53 · the A$10.59 price screens below the A$11.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Freightways Group Limited provides express package and business mail, and information management services in New Zealand, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Express Package and Business Mail, Information Management, and Corporate and Other segments.

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Freightways Group Limited provides express package and business mail, and information management services in New Zealand, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Express Package and Business Mail, Information Management, and Corporate and Other segments. The company provides network courier services under the New Zealand Couriers, Post Haste Couriers, Castle Parcels, Allied Express, and NOW Couriers brands; point-to-point courier services under the SUB60, Stuck, and Kiwi Express brands; and secure-logistics services under the Security Express brand. It also offers mail delivery services under the DX Mail brand; online courier solution under the Pass The Parcel brand; and mailhouse-print services under the Dataprint brand. The company provides online fulfillment services under the Stocka brand; and temperature-controlled transport services under the Big Chill and ProducePronto brands, as well as operates line-haul on the arterial roads under the Parceline Express name. It also offers document destruction, eDestruction and product destruction services, such as document, e-waste, media, hard drive, archive box, purge, textile, and product destruction, as well as paper recycling, printer waste, e-waste recycling, and recycled office paper under the Shred-X brand. The company provides products and services for handling, treatment, and disposal of clinical waste and related services under the Med-X brand. It also offers general and aviation engineering services; physical storage and information management, and digital information processing services; information technology and advisory, and e-commerce freight services; and aviation-related, IT infrastructure support, group treasury management, Australian treasury, and financing and property management services. Freightways Group Limited was formerly known as Freightways Limited and changed its name to Freightways Group Limited in March 2023. The company was founded in 1964 and is based in Penrose, New Zealand.

Stock analysis

Freightways Group Ltd (FRW) currently trades at A$10.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$11.65, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$12.83 per share, and 9 of the 20 models we run sit above the A$10.59 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$1.87, and 11 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: A$8.74 (bear) to A$15.53 (bull), the price of A$10.59 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Freightways Group Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B NZD in FY2025 versus 801M NZD in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was 79.9M NZD in FY2025, compounding +12.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$2.1B (≈ $1.5B) · P/E ratio 28.6 · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) A$0.3700 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 10%, FRW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$8.74 Fair Value A$11.65 Bull A$15.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$9.53 A$17.29 A$30.06 77
Growth DCF A$9.46 A$16.58 A$27.87 76
5Y Revenue Exit A$7.27 A$12.83 A$20.23 71
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$9.53 A$17.29 A$30.06 77
5Y Revenue Exit A$7.27 A$12.83 A$20.23 71
5Y P/E Exit A$6.76 A$11.80 A$17.42 70
10Y Revenue Exit A$7.73 A$13.17 A$21.20 65
10Y P/E Exit A$7.64 A$12.44 A$18.93 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$3.04 A$13.45 A$18.42 64
Lynch FV A$3.49 A$4.98 A$6.47 61
PEG = 1.0 A$3.49 A$4.98 A$6.47 57
EPV A$4.71 A$5.63 A$6.41 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$7.03 A$9.38 A$11.72 63
P/S Multiple A$5.69 A$7.59 A$9.49 58
P/B Multiple A$5.69 A$7.59 A$9.49 55
EV/EBIT A$9.20 A$12.63 A$16.06 66
EV/Revenue A$6.26 A$9.40 A$12.55 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.40 A$1.87 A$2.79 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$9.46 A$16.58 A$27.87 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$7.27 A$12.76 A$19.77 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$2.85 A$3.75 A$10.47 67
ROIC Compounder A$5.34 A$7.45 A$10.21 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$5.72 A$8.17 A$10.63 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 11%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price and +6.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+10.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+10.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.4%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 208 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.47× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.00× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)47 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)43 · sector 8
PAST (return on equity)68 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)79 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $95.87 $107.84 +12%
FedEx Corporation FDX $295.94 $347.68 +17%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €58.62 €136.05 +132%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,212 kr 712.57 −41%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 231.20 CHF 147.92 −36%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $237.41 $133.80 −44%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $149.56 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $187.51 $115.95 −38%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$155.70 HK$260.98 +68%
J&T Global Express Limited 1519 HK$8.78 HK$6.33 −28%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Freightways Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRW

Frequently asked questions

Is Freightways Group Ltd (FRW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$11.65 versus a price of A$10.59, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRW?
Our model-based fair value for Freightways Group Ltd is A$11.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$10.59.
What is the quality score of FRW?
Freightways Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$11.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$8.74, optimistic scenario A$15.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Freightways Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$11.65, about +10% upside versus a price of A$10.59 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$8.74, optimistic scenario A$15.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Freightways Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Freightways Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Freightways Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Freightways Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FRW use?
Our models discount Freightways Group Ltd at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.64, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Freightways Group Ltd that is +4.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Freightways Group Ltd (FRW) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Freightways Group Ltd grew +15.4 % a year. The price currently implies +4.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Freightways Group Ltd (+4.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.61 %: that much free cash flow Freightways Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Freightways Group Ltd it is A$11.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$10.59. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Freightways Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FRW trades below its calculated fair value: price A$10.59, fair value A$11.65, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FRW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$10.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$11.65). For Freightways Group Ltd the two are A$1.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Freightways Group Ltd worth?
The market values Freightways Group Ltd at about A$2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$10.59; our models calculate a fair value of A$11.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FRW?
Our models span a range for Freightways Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$8.74, base A$11.65, optimistic A$15.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$10.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FRW?
Freightways Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$11.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 8.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Freightways Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FRW from its 52-week high?
Freightways Group Ltd trades at A$10.59, about 15% below its 52-week high of A$12.39 and 6% above the low of A$10.00 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$11.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Freightways Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Freightways Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$10.59, calculated fair value A$11.65 (+10%), Quality Score 59/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FRW calculated?
We run Freightways Group Ltd through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$11.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Freightways Group Ltd currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was A$10.59. Our model-based fair value is A$11.65, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Freightways Group Ltd right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Freightways Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The market capitalisation of Freightways Group Ltd is A$2.1B (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Freightways Group Ltd is 1.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Earnings per share at Freightways Group Ltd are A$0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The dividend yield of Freightways Group Ltd is 4.0% (payout 114%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The net margin of Freightways Group Ltd is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Freightways Group Ltd is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Freightways Group Ltd is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
The operating margin of Freightways Group Ltd is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Revenue at Freightways Group Ltd is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Freightways Group Ltd (FRW)?
Earnings per share at Freightways Group Ltd are growing +16.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Freightways Group Ltd (FRW) carry?
The net debt of Freightways Group Ltd is A$215M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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