PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb stock IDR 316, price IDR 268, upside +18.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range 87.00 IDR – 424.00 IDR · fair‑value band 140.83 IDR – 457.20 IDR · the 268.00 IDR price screens below the 316.41 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tbk provides land transportation and truck rental products and services. It offers truck rental, on call, and customizable transportation solutions. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) currently trades at 268.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 316.41 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,670 IDR per share, and 20 of the 23 models we run sit above the 268.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 136.63 IDR, and 3 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 140.83 IDR (bear) to 457.20 IDR (bull), the price of 268.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb reported revenue of 656B IDR in FY2025 versus 147B IDR in FY2021, a compound +45.3%/yr. Reported net income was 69.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding +72.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 508B IDR (≈ $28.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.62 · Net margin 11.8% · Return on equity 23.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin 29.4% · Revenue (TTM) 797B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +56.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 18%, GTRA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear140.83 IDRFair Value 316.41 IDRBull457.20 IDR
Price 268.00 IDR · Upside +18.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+52.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.3%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+57.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+57.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 24%
2025 sits 97% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
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Is PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 316.41 IDR versus a price of 268.00 IDR, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTRA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 316.41 IDR (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 268.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GTRA?
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 316.41 IDR (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 140.83 IDR, optimistic scenario 457.20 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 316.41 IDR, about +18% upside versus a price of 268.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 140.83 IDR, optimistic scenario 457.20 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 797B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb would have to grow free cash flow by +24.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +39.0 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GTRA use?
Our models discount PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.53, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb that is +24.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb grew +39.0 % a year. The price currently implies +24.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (+24.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.38 %: that much free cash flow PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb it is 316.41 IDR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 268.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, GTRA trades below its calculated fair value: price 268.00 IDR, fair value 316.41 IDR, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GTRA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (268.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (316.41 IDR). For PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb the two are 48.41 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb worth?
The market values PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb at about 508B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 268.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 316.41 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GTRA?
Our models span a range for PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb: cautious scenario 140.83 IDR, base 316.41 IDR, optimistic 457.20 IDR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 268.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 23.9%, debt of 1.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GTRA from its 52-week high?
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb trades at 268.00 IDR, about 37% below its 52-week high of 424.00 IDR and 66% above the low of 161.00 IDR (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 316.41 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 268.00 IDR, calculated fair value 316.41 IDR (+18%), Quality Score 45/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GTRA calculated?
We run PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 316.41 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was 268.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 316.41 IDR, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb right now?
The model range is unusually wide (140.83 IDR to 457.20 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The market capitalisation of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 508B IDR (≈ $28.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The net margin of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 11.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 23.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
The operating margin of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 29.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
Revenue at PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is growing +56.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
Earnings per share at PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb are growing +202% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) carry?
The net debt of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 708B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 4, 2026