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PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 409B IDR (≈ $40.9M)

What is PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb really worth?

PG PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb GTRA · JK
Price274.00 IDR
Fair Value316.48 IDR
Upside+15.5%
Quality44/100

Below-average quality, trading 13% below our fair value of 316.48 IDR.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +39.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 127.21 IDR – 395.60 IDR

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from 766.06 IDR to 316.48 IDR (−58.7%) since Aug 14, 2026. Share price +13.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (127.21 IDR to 395.60 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

424.00 IDR 87.00 IDR Fair Value 316.48 IDR Mar 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range 87.00 IDR – 424.00 IDR · fair‑value band 127.21 IDR – 395.60 IDR · the 274.00 IDR price screens below the 316.48 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) currently trades at 274.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 316.48 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 1,670 IDR per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the 274.00 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 136.63 IDR, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb generated revenue of 718B IDR at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 45.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.2%. Net debt stands at 708B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 127.21 IDR (bear case) to 395.60 IDR (bull case); at 274.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 128% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 16%, GTRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence 509.52 IDR 634.16 IDR 744.95 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 798.47 IDR 1,366 IDR 1,788 IDR 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 679.13 IDR 1,508 IDR 3,138 IDR 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 108.50 IDR 295.44 IDR 906.70 IDR 66
Owner Earnings 271.95 IDR 901.48 IDR 2,282 IDR 65
5Y Revenue Exit 244.00 IDR 627.47 IDR 1,435 IDR 63
5Y EBITDA Exit 679.13 IDR 1,508 IDR 3,138 IDR 67
5Y P/E Exit 326.92 IDR 1,054 IDR 2,058 IDR 63
10Y Revenue Exit 195.89 IDR 812.15 IDR 1,250 IDR 62
10Y EBITDA Exit 541.40 IDR 1,771 IDR 4,020 IDR 59
10Y P/E Exit 278.50 IDR 994.91 IDR 2,206 IDR 55
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 248.06 IDR 1,730 IDR 2,428 IDR 61
Lynch FV 893.74 IDR 1,277 IDR 1,660 IDR 59
PEG = 1.0 893.74 IDR 1,277 IDR 1,660 IDR 55
EPV best evidence 509.52 IDR 634.16 IDR 744.95 IDR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 574.55 IDR 766.06 IDR 957.58 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 465.11 IDR 620.14 IDR 775.18 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 465.11 IDR 620.14 IDR 775.18 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 849.31 IDR 1,198 IDR 1,547 IDR 65
EV/EBITDA 833.69 IDR 1,177 IDR 1,521 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 239.31 IDR 426.19 IDR 613.08 IDR 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 101.96 IDR 136.63 IDR 203.92 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 90.94 IDR 402.87 IDR 926.74 IDR 67
Rev-Margin DCF 293.63 IDR 745.01 IDR 1,685 IDR 64
Economic Profit
Residual Income 253.49 IDR 337.17 IDR 1,376 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 798.47 IDR 1,366 IDR 1,788 IDR 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,169 IDR 1,670 IDR 2,171 IDR 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,670 IDR) versus Asset-Based (136.63 IDR). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.57 TTM
Net margin 10.5% FY2025
Return on equity 19.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 25.7% TTM
Revenue (TTM) 718B IDR TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.3% 3y avg +44.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 32.4B IDR FY2025
Net debt 708B IDR FY2025 · ≈ 21.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tbk provides land transportation and truck rental products and services. It offers truck rental, on call, and customizable transportation solutions. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb reported revenue of 656B IDR in FY2025 versus 147B IDR in FY2021, a compound +45.3%/yr. Reported net income was 69.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding +72.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
656B IDR
Latest YoY
+52.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in IDR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.8% (0.8 + 0.0)
Revenue +45.3%/yr
FY21 147B IDR
FY22 216B IDR
FY23 343B IDR
FY24 429B IDR
FY25 656B IDR
Net income +72.6%/yr
FY21 7.8B IDR
FY22 15.8B IDR
FY23 33.4B IDR
FY24 39.4B IDR
FY25 69.1B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTRA

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 45% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE54 · sector 42
FUTURE100 · sector 8
PAST77 · sector 27
HEALTH49 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $105.33 $103.34 −2%
FedEx Corporation FDX $330.88 $347.68 +5%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €56.14 €53.18 −5%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,358 kr 712.57 −48%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 219.90 CHF 147.92 −33%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $263.64 $133.80 −49%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $150.39 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $190.97 $115.95 −39%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO $21.50 $28.62 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 316.48 IDR versus a price of 274.00 IDR, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTRA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is 316.48 IDR (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 274.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GTRA?
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb (GTRA)?
PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 718B IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GTRA?
The net profit margin of PT Grahaprima Suksesmandiri Tb is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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