ID Logistics Group (IDL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €2.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from €203.98 to €198.04 (−2.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€254.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€123.38 to €254.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €228.00 – €465.00 · fair‑value band €123.38 – €254.01 · the €347.50 price screens above the €198.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
ID Logistics Group (IDL) currently trades at €347.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €198.04, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ID Logistics Group generated revenue of €3.7B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at €1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €123.38 (bear case) to €254.01 (bull case); at €347.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -43%, IDL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€679.44) versus Dividend Discount (€61.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ID Logistics Group SA provides contract logistics services in France and internationally. It offers warehousing and value-added, transport and flow organization, and supply chain optimization services. The company provides co-packing and site automation services. In addition, it provides turnkey project delivery and e-commerce solutions.
Full company description
ID Logistics Group SA provides contract logistics services in France and internationally. It offers warehousing and value-added, transport and flow organization, and supply chain optimization services. The company provides co-packing and site automation services. In addition, it provides turnkey project delivery and e-commerce solutions. The company serves customers in the FMCG, e-commerce, high-tech, cosmetics and fragrance, healthcare, fashion, industrial, and retail sectors. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Orgon, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ID Logistics Group reported revenue of €3.7B in FY2025 versus €1.9B in FY2021, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was €63.3M in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.
IDL screens 43% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
Compare ID Logistics Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is ID Logistics Group (IDL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of IDL?
What is the quality score of IDL?
What is the revenue of ID Logistics Group (IDL)?
What is the net profit margin of IDL?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track ID Logistics Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.