Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JYD) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.6M · ISIN KYG5084H1039
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
JYD · US
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.6034 to $0.6026 (−0.1%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −8.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 51% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7531). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3977 to $0.7531) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range $0.6760 – $398.50 · fair‑value band $0.3977 – $0.7531 · the $0.9120 price screens above the $0.6026 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JYD) currently trades at $0.9120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6026, implying the stock looks roughly 33.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -43.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3977 (bear case) to $0.7531 (bull case); at $0.9120, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -34%, JYD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Jayud Global Logistics Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides a range of cross-border supply chain solution services worldwide. The company offers freight forwarding services, such as integrated cross-border logistics, fragmented logistics services, warehouse, and chartered airline freight services.
Full company description
Jayud Global Logistics Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides a range of cross-border supply chain solution services worldwide. The company offers freight forwarding services, such as integrated cross-border logistics, fragmented logistics services, warehouse, and chartered airline freight services. It also offers supply chain management services, such as international trading and agent services; and other value-added services comprising custom brokerage and intelligent logistic IT systems. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $83.6M in FY2025 versus $546M in FY2021, a compound −37.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.0M in FY2025.
JYD screens 51% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $105.33 | $103.34 | -2% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $330.88 | $347.68 | +5% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €56.42 | €53.18 | -6% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,352 | kr 712.57 | -47% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 219.90 | CHF 147.92 | -33% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $263.64 | $133.80 | -49% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $150.39 | $86.56 | -42% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $190.97 | $115.95 | -39% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $21.50 | $28.62 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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