Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A $0.84, price $1.30, upside -35.3%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $0.6760 – $398.50 · fair‑value band $0.5610 – $1.05 · the $1.30 price screens above the $0.8415 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Jayud Global Logistics Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides a range of cross-border supply chain solution services worldwide.
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The company offers freight forwarding services, such as integrated cross-border logistics, fragmented logistics services, warehouse, and chartered airline freight services.
It also offers supply chain management services, such as international trading and agent services; and other value-added services comprising custom brokerage and intelligent logistic IT systems. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JYD) currently trades at $1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8415, 35.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $0.5610 (bear) to $1.05 (bull), the price of $1.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of 83.6M CNY in FY2025 versus 546M CNY in FY2021, a compound −37.4%/yr. Reported net income was −5.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $7.0M · EPS (TTM) $−2.32 · Net margin −5.9% · Return on equity −43.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.4% · Operating margin −11.7% · Revenue growth (YoY) +8.6% · Free cash flow −39.9M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −35%, JYD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.5610Fair Value $0.8415Bull$1.05
Price $1.30 · Upside -35.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−85.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−49.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.2% (2020) → −5.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 208 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JYD
Frequently asked questions
Is Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8415 versus a price of $1.30, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JYD?
Our model-based fair value for Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $0.8415 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.30.
What is the quality score of JYD?
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8415 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5610, optimistic scenario $1.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8415, about −35% upside versus a price of $1.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5610, optimistic scenario $1.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares it is $0.8415 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $1.30. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, JYD trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.30, fair value $0.8415, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JYD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8415). For Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $0.4585 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares at about $7.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $1.30; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8415 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JYD?
Our models span a range for Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.5610, base $0.8415, optimistic $1.05 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −43.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JYD from its 52-week high?
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $1.30, about 80% below its 52-week high of $6.56 and 92% above the low of $0.6760 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8415 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $1.30, calculated fair value $0.8415 (−35%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JYD calculated?
We run Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8415, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was $1.30. Our model-based fair value is $0.8415, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.5610 to $1.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
The market capitalisation of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $7.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
Earnings per share at Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares are $−2.32. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
The net margin of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is −5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is −43.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is −20.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
The operating margin of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is −11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD)?
Revenue at Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is growing +8.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −49.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD) generate?
The free cash flow of Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is −39.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A (JYD) hold?
Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, 5.5M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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