Movado Group Inc (MOV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Movado Group Inc $46.49, price $33.24, upside +39.9%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Movado Group Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.73 – $39.78 · fair‑value band $34.87 – $58.12 · the $33.24 price screens below the $46.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Movado Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Movado Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores.
Show more
Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. The company offers its watches under the Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT brands, as well as licensed brands comprising Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and KATE SPADE NEW YORK. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes jewelry and other accessories; and provides after-sales and shipping services. The company's customers include jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, network of independent distributors, online marketplaces, licensors' retail stores, and third-party e-commerce retailers. It sells directly to consumers through its e-commerce platforms. The company was formerly known as North American Watch Corporation and changed its name to Movado Group, Inc. in 1996. Movado Group, Inc. was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
Movado Group Inc (MOV) currently trades at $33.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.49, implying the stock looks roughly 28.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $33.45 per share, and 7 of the 25 models we run sit above the $33.24 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $14.56, and 18 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $34.87 (bear) to $58.12 (bull), the price of $33.24 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Movado Group Inc reported revenue of $671M in FY2026 versus $732M in FY2022, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $26.6M in FY2026, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $855M · P/E ratio 27.3 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) $1.41 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 40%, MOV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $34.87Fair Value $46.49Bull $58.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0065 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.2% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−12.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 134 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+40% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Movado Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOV
Frequently asked questions
Is Movado Group Inc (MOV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $46.49 versus a price of $33.24, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MOV?
Our model-based fair value for Movado Group Inc is $46.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.24.
What is the quality score of MOV?
Movado Group Inc has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $46.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $34.87, optimistic scenario $58.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Movado Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $46.49, about +40% upside versus a price of $33.24 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $34.87, optimistic scenario $58.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Movado Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $682M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Movado Group Inc pay a dividend?
Movado Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Movado Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MOV use?
Our models discount Movado Group Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.98, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Movado Group Inc that is +0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Movado Group Inc (MOV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Movado Group Inc grew +5.8 % a year. The price currently implies +0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Movado Group Inc (MOV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Movado Group Inc (+0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.11 %: that much free cash flow Movado Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Movado Group Inc it is $46.49 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $33.24. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Movado Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MOV trades below its calculated fair value: price $33.24, fair value $46.49, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($33.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($46.49). For Movado Group Inc the two are $13.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Movado Group Inc worth?
The market values Movado Group Inc at about $855M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $33.24; our models calculate a fair value of $46.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOV?
Our models span a range for Movado Group Inc: cautious scenario $34.87, base $46.49, optimistic $58.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $33.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOV?
Movado Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $46.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.7, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 13.7.
What is the PEG ratio of MOV?
The PEG ratio of Movado Group Inc is 0.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Movado Group Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOV from its 52-week high?
Movado Group Inc trades at $33.24, about 16% below its 52-week high of $39.78 and 101% above the low of $16.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $46.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Movado Group Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Kering SA, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Movado Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $33.24, calculated fair value $46.49 (+40%), Quality Score 74/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOV calculated?
We run Movado Group Inc through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $46.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Movado Group Inc currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $33.24. Our model-based fair value is $46.49, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Movado Group Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($34.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Movado Group Inc (MOV) come from?
Earnings per share at Movado Group Inc grew −3.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin −8.0 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Movado Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The market capitalisation of Movado Group Inc is $855M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Movado Group Inc is 1.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Earnings per share at Movado Group Inc are $1.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The dividend yield of Movado Group Inc is 4.2% (payout 99.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The net margin of Movado Group Inc is 4.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Movado Group Inc is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Movado Group Inc is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
The operating margin of Movado Group Inc is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Revenue at Movado Group Inc is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Movado Group Inc (MOV)?
Earnings per share at Movado Group Inc are growing +400% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Movado Group Inc (MOV) hold?
Movado Group Inc holds more cash than debt, $152M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Movado Group Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Movado Group Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Some data
Sep 23, 2026