Movado Group (MOV) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $855M

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• Our model range runs from $34.69 (bear) to $57.82 (bull), base $46.26. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.73 – $39.78 · fair‑value band $34.69 – $57.82 · the $37.84 price screens below the $46.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Movado Group (MOV) currently trades at $37.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.26, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Movado Group generated revenue of $682M at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $152M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $34.69 (bear case) to $57.82 (bull case); at $37.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 173% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 22%, MOV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($33.38) versus Dividend Discount ($14.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores.

Full company description

Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. The company offers its watches under the Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT brands, as well as licensed brands comprising Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and KATE SPADE NEW YORK. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes jewelry and other accessories; and provides after-sales and shipping services. The company's customers include jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, network of independent distributors, online marketplaces, licensors' retail stores, and third-party e-commerce retailers. It sells directly to consumers through its e-commerce platforms. The company was formerly known as North American Watch Corporation and changed its name to Movado Group, Inc. in 1996. Movado Group, Inc. was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Movado Group reported revenue of $671M in FY2026 versus $732M in FY2022, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $26.6M in FY2026, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2022.

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Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 132 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.