M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited THB 7.77, price THB 4.42, upside +75.8%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range 2.03 THB – 4.52 THB · fair‑value band 5.83 THB – 9.71 THB · the 4.42 THB price screens below the 7.77 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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MPJ Logistics Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides inland transportation and delivery services in Thailand. It engages in transportation; container depot; warehouse rental; and freight forwarder service businesses. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Chonburi, Thailand.
Stock analysis
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ) currently trades at 4.42 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.77 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 25.34 THB per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the 4.42 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.47 THB, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 5.83 THB (bear) to 9.71 THB (bull), the price of 4.42 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited reported revenue of 1.1B THB in FY2025 versus 5.7M THB in FY2021, a compound +271.3%/yr. Reported net income was 111M THB in FY2025, compounding +350.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 884M THB (≈ $26.4M) · P/E ratio 7.0 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) 0.6300 THB · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 17.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 76%, MPJ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5.83 THBFair Value 7.77 THBBull 9.71 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2129 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+457.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.1% (2021) → 9.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
Compare M P J Logistics Public Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "M P J Logistics Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPJ
Frequently asked questions
Is M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.77 THB versus a price of 4.42 THB, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MPJ?
Our model-based fair value for M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 7.77 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.42 THB.
What is the quality score of MPJ?
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.77 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.83 THB, optimistic scenario 9.71 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the M P J Logistics Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.77 THB, about +76% upside versus a price of 4.42 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5.83 THB, optimistic scenario 9.71 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does M P J Logistics Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For M P J Logistics Public Company Limited it is 7.77 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4.42 THB. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is M P J Logistics Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MPJ trades below its calculated fair value: price 4.42 THB, fair value 7.77 THB, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPJ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.42 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.77 THB). For M P J Logistics Public Company Limited the two are 3.35 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is M P J Logistics Public Company Limited worth?
The market values M P J Logistics Public Company Limited at about 884M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4.42 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 7.77 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPJ?
Our models span a range for M P J Logistics Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 5.83 THB, base 7.77 THB, optimistic 9.71 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4.42 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MPJ?
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 7.77 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
Balance-sheet figures for M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 17.5%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPJ from its 52-week high?
M P J Logistics Public Company Limited trades at 4.42 THB, about 2% below its 52-week high of 4.52 THB and 42% above the low of 3.11 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.77 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to M P J Logistics Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is M P J Logistics Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4.42 THB, calculated fair value 7.77 THB (+76%), Quality Score 41/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPJ calculated?
We run M P J Logistics Public Company Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.77 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. M P J Logistics Public Company Limited currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 4.42 THB. Our model-based fair value is 7.77 THB, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with M P J Logistics Public Company Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (5.83 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The market capitalisation of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 884M THB (≈ $26.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
Earnings per share at M P J Logistics Public Company Limited are 0.6300 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The dividend yield of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 7.7% (payout 54.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The net margin of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
The operating margin of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
Revenue at M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is growing +20.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +458%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ)?
Earnings per share at M P J Logistics Public Company Limited are growing +69.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ) generate?
The free cash flow of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is −55.4M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does M P J Logistics Public Company Limited (MPJ) carry?
The net debt of M P J Logistics Public Company Limited is 39.1M THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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