Orian Sh.M. Ltd (ORIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · Il · Market cap 425M ILA
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 10.18 ILA to 16.50 ILA (+62.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (6.70 ILA to 34.78 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.25 ILA – 45.03 ILA · fair‑value band 6.70 ILA – 34.78 ILA · the 23.65 ILA price screens above the 16.50 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Orian Sh.M. Ltd (ORIN) currently trades at 23.65 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.50 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Orian Sh.M. Ltd generated revenue of 996M ILA at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. Net debt stands at 319M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.70 ILA (bear case) to 34.78 ILA (bull case); at 23.65 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -30%, ORIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (17.56 ILA) versus Growth DCF (0.3300 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Orian Sh.M. Ltd. engages in the provision of logistics services in Israel and internationally. The company offers international shipping, customs brokerage, ocean and air freight, and distribution and transportation services.
Full company description
Orian Sh.M. Ltd. engages in the provision of logistics services in Israel and internationally. The company offers international shipping, customs brokerage, ocean and air freight, and distribution and transportation services. It also provides ocean and air cargo insurance, third party shipment, special express, project cargo, and blood samples delivery services, as well as healthcare supply chain solutions. Orian Sh.M. Ltd. was founded in 1953 and is based in Modi'in-Maccabim-Re'ut, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Orian Sh.M. Ltd reported revenue of 338M ILA in FY2025 versus 308M ILA in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −4.1M ILA in FY2025.
of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ORIN screens 30% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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