Autohellas S.A (OTOEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GR · Market cap €529M
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 164% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€22.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (€22.51 to €40.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.43 – €12.40 · fair‑value band €22.51 – €40.89 · the €11.66 price screens below the €30.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Autohellas S.A (OTOEL) currently trades at €11.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.78, implying the stock looks roughly 164.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Autohellas S.A generated revenue of €1.0B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at €432M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €22.51 (bear case) to €40.89 (bull case); at €11.66, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 164%, OTOEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€102.82) versus Asset-Based (€6.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Autohellas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the car rental and sale activities under the Hertz, Thrifty, Dollar, and Firefly brands. The company operates in three segments: Car Rentals & Sales of Used Cars; Trade of Cars - Spare Parts & Related Services; and International Activity of Car Rentals and Cars Sales.
Full company description
Autohellas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the car rental and sale activities under the Hertz, Thrifty, Dollar, and Firefly brands. The company operates in three segments: Car Rentals & Sales of Used Cars; Trade of Cars - Spare Parts & Related Services; and International Activity of Car Rentals and Cars Sales. It offers occasional and small duration rental services to individuals and companies; and fleet management services. The company also trades in new and used cars of various brands, including SEAT, HYUNDAI, KIA, FORD, OPEL, SEAT, SAAB, ALFA ROME", FIAT, ABARTH, VOLVO, BMW, JEEP, and MINI; and provides after sales support. In addition, it imports and distributes aftermarket car parts; and provides consulting services and administrative support. It operates in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia, Montenegro, Croatia, Ukraine, and Portugal. The company was formerly known as Hertz Hellas and changed its name to Autohellas S.A. in 1974. Autohellas S.A. was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Autohellas S.A reported revenue of €986M in FY2024 versus €492M in FY2020, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was €84.9M in FY2024, compounding +52.1%/yr from FY2020.
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Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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