Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Autohellas S.A. €30.78, price €10.96, upside +180.8%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.43 – €12.40 · fair‑value band €20.84 – €40.72 · the €10.96 price screens below the €30.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Autohellas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the car rental and sale activities under the Hertz, Thrifty, Dollar, and Firefly brands. The company operates in three segments: Car Rentals & Sales of Used Cars; Trade of Cars - Spare Parts & Related Services; and International Activity of Car Rentals and Cars Sales.
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Autohellas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the car rental and sale activities under the Hertz, Thrifty, Dollar, and Firefly brands. The company operates in three segments: Car Rentals & Sales of Used Cars; Trade of Cars - Spare Parts & Related Services; and International Activity of Car Rentals and Cars Sales. It offers occasional and small duration rental services to individuals and companies; and fleet management services. The company also trades in new and used cars of various brands, including SEAT, HYUNDAI, KIA, FORD, OPEL, SEAT, SAAB, ALFA ROME", FIAT, ABARTH, VOLVO, BMW, JEEP, and MINI; and provides after sales support. In addition, it imports and distributes aftermarket car parts; and provides consulting services and administrative support. It operates in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia, Montenegro, Croatia, Ukraine, and Portugal. The company was formerly known as Hertz Hellas and changed its name to Autohellas S.A. in 1974. Autohellas S.A. was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.
Stock analysis
Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL) currently trades at €10.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.78, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €120.86 per share, and 12 of the 17 models we run sit above the €10.96 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €6.61, and 5 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €20.84 (bear) to €40.72 (bull), the price of €10.96 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Autohellas S.A. reported revenue of €986M in FY2024 versus €492M in FY2020, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was €84.9M in FY2024, compounding +52.1%/yr from FY2020. FY2020 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €527M · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) €1.68 · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 181%, OTOEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €20.84Fair Value €30.78Bull €40.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.8300 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 11%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 104 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+181% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.01× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autohellas S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTOEL
Frequently asked questions
Is Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €30.78 versus a price of €10.96, about +181% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OTOEL?
Our model-based fair value for Autohellas S.A. is €30.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €10.96.
What is the quality score of OTOEL?
Autohellas S.A. has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €30.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario €20.84, optimistic scenario €40.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autohellas S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €30.78, about +181% upside versus a price of €10.96 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €20.84, optimistic scenario €40.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Autohellas S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Autohellas S.A. pay a dividend?
Autohellas S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autohellas S.A. it is €30.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €10.96. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autohellas S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, OTOEL trades below its calculated fair value: price €10.96, fair value €30.78, a gap of about +181% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTOEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€10.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€30.78). For Autohellas S.A. the two are €19.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autohellas S.A. worth?
The market values Autohellas S.A. at about €527M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €10.96; our models calculate a fair value of €30.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OTOEL?
Our models span a range for Autohellas S.A.: cautious scenario €20.84, base €30.78, optimistic €40.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €10.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OTOEL?
Autohellas S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €30.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autohellas S.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 1.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTOEL from its 52-week high?
Autohellas S.A. trades at €10.96, about 12% below its 52-week high of €12.40 and 9% above the low of €10.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €30.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autohellas S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autohellas S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €10.96, calculated fair value €30.78 (+181%), Quality Score 38/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTOEL calculated?
We run Autohellas S.A. through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €30.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Autohellas S.A. currently trades 181 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €10.96. Our model-based fair value is €30.78, about +181% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autohellas S.A. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€20.84). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (€20.84 to €40.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Autohellas S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The market capitalisation of Autohellas S.A. is €527M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autohellas S.A. is 0.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Earnings per share at Autohellas S.A. are €1.68 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The dividend yield of Autohellas S.A. is 7.8% (payout 50.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The net margin of Autohellas S.A. is 8.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autohellas S.A. is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autohellas S.A. is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
The operating margin of Autohellas S.A. is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Revenue at Autohellas S.A. is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL)?
Earnings per share at Autohellas S.A. are growing −12.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL) generate?
The free cash flow of Autohellas S.A. is −€72.3M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Autohellas S.A. (OTOEL) carry?
The net debt of Autohellas S.A. is €432M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026