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Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹7.3B

RL Ritco Logistics Limited RITCO · NSE
Price₹292.50
Fair Value₹248.08
Upside-15.2%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹161.14 – ₹331.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +6.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹161.14 to ₹331.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

₹426.15 ₹117.05 Fair Value ₹248.08 Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range ₹117.05 – ₹426.15 · fair‑value band ₹161.14 – ₹331.77 · the ₹292.50 price screens above the ₹248.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) currently trades at ₹292.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹248.08, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ritco Logistics Limited generated revenue of ₹15.0B at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at ₹4.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹161.14 (bear case) to ₹331.77 (bull case); at ₹292.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -15%, RITCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹149.31 ₹218.67 ₹280.19 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹254.47 ₹363.53 ₹472.59 68
P/E Multiple ₹199.06 ₹265.41 ₹331.77 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹85.94 ₹599.35 ₹841.11 54
Lynch FV ₹190.04 ₹271.48 ₹352.92 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹190.04 ₹271.48 ₹352.92 46
EPV ₹139.01 ₹165.39 ₹188.16 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹199.06 ₹265.41 ₹331.77 63
P/S Multiple ₹161.14 ₹214.86 ₹268.57 58
P/B Multiple ₹161.14 ₹214.86 ₹268.57 55
EV/EBIT ₹277.72 ₹379.66 ₹481.60 53
EV/EBITDA ₹309.06 ₹421.45 ₹533.83 54
EV/Revenue ₹190.17 ₹283.72 ₹377.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹64.00 ₹85.76 ₹128.00 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹110.39 ₹121.77 ₹179.21 61
ROIC Compounder ₹149.31 ₹218.67 ₹280.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹254.47 ₹363.53 ₹472.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹363.53) versus Asset-Based (₹85.76). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹15.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow −₹1.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 23.2
More key figures
Operating margin 2.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹12.59
EPS growth (YoY) -55.2%
Net debt ₹4.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ritco Logistics Limited provides logistics services in India. The company offers contract logistics services, including warehouse management systems; B2B logistics management; free zone trans-shipment documentation; and storage facilities for dangerous goods, perishable, and temperature-regulated and outsize logistics, as well as value-added services, such …

Full company description

Ritco Logistics Limited provides logistics services in India. The company offers contract logistics services, including warehouse management systems; B2B logistics management; free zone trans-shipment documentation; and storage facilities for dangerous goods, perishable, and temperature-regulated and outsize logistics, as well as value-added services, such as barcode technology, pick and pack, inventory control, labeling, stock, and storage management. It also provides freight transportation solutions, which include bulk, dedicated, full truck, and less than truck loads; warehouse and distribution; fleet management; and end to end activities comprising assembly and kitting services, including sorting, stuffing, tagging, labeling, packaging, bundling, strapping, shrink wrapping, and other services. The company serves the textile, solar energy, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, consumer durable, FMCG, IT, telecom, food grains, supplements, automotive, e-commerce, and other related industries. Ritco Logistics Limited was founded in 1996 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ritco Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹15.0B in FY2026 versus ₹5.9B in FY2022, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹360M in FY2026, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹15.0B
Latest YoY
+26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.9%
Revenue +26.1%/yr
FY22 ₹5.9B
FY23 ₹7.5B
FY24 ₹9.3B
FY25 ₹11.9B
FY26 ₹15.0B
Net income +21.9%/yr
FY22 ₹163M
FY23 ₹244M
FY24 ₹330M
FY25 ₹422M
FY26 ₹360M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +30.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.8 pp

of which total revenue +16.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.2 pp

EBIT margin +14.2 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RITCO screens 15% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ritco Logistics Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RITCO

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.01× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 41
FUTURE 67 · sector 8
PAST 38 · sector 26
HEALTH 86 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 63

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $103.91 $103.34 -1%
FedEx Corporation FDX $326.77 $347.68 +6%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.32 €53.18 -4%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,380 kr 712.57 -48%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $275.96 $133.80 -52%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$178.20 HK$224.41 +26%
Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 199,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +135%
YTO Express Group 600233 ¥18.48 ¥26.51 +43%
JD Logistics, Inc 2618 HK$14.17 HK$21.45 +51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹248.08 versus a price of ₹292.50, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RITCO?
Our model-based fair value for Ritco Logistics Limited is ₹248.08 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹292.50.
What is the quality score of RITCO?
Ritco Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Ritco Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹15.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RITCO?
The net profit margin of Ritco Logistics Limited is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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