Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Ritco Logistics Limited ₹248, price ₹277, upside -10.3%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range ₹117.05 – ₹426.15 · fair‑value band ₹161.14 – ₹331.77 · the ₹276.70 price screens above the ₹248.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Ritco Logistics Limited provides logistics services in India.
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Ritco Logistics Limited provides logistics services in India. The company offers contract logistics services, including warehouse management systems; B2B logistics management; free zone trans-shipment documentation; and storage facilities for dangerous goods, perishable, and temperature-regulated and outsize logistics, as well as value-added services, such as barcode technology, pick and pack, inventory control, labeling, stock, and storage management. It also provides freight transportation solutions, which include bulk, dedicated, full truck, and less than truck loads; warehouse and distribution; fleet management; and end to end activities comprising assembly and kitting services, including sorting, stuffing, tagging, labeling, packaging, bundling, strapping, shrink wrapping, and other services. The company serves the textile, solar energy, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, consumer durable, FMCG, IT, telecom, food grains, supplements, automotive, e-commerce, and other related industries. Ritco Logistics Limited was founded in 1996 and is based in Gurugram, India.
Stock analysis
Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) currently trades at ₹276.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹248.08, 10.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹363.53 per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹276.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹85.76, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹161.14 (bear) to ₹331.77 (bull), the price of ₹276.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ritco Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹15.0B in FY2026 versus ₹5.9B in FY2022, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹360M in FY2026, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹7.9B (≈ $82.1M) · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) ₹12.59 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5% · Operating margin 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −10%, RITCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹161.14Fair Value ₹248.08Bull ₹331.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹6.38 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+28.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.4% vs 23.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Compare Ritco Logistics Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 207 stocks
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Is Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹248.08 versus a price of ₹276.70, about −10% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RITCO?
Our model-based fair value for Ritco Logistics Limited is ₹248.08 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹276.70.
What is the quality score of RITCO?
Ritco Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹248.08 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹161.14, optimistic scenario ₹331.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ritco Logistics Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹248.08, about −10% upside versus a price of ₹276.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹161.14, optimistic scenario ₹331.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Ritco Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹15.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ritco Logistics Limited it is ₹248.08 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹276.70. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ritco Logistics Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, RITCO trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹276.70, fair value ₹248.08, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RITCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹276.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹248.08). For Ritco Logistics Limited the two are ₹28.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ritco Logistics Limited worth?
The market values Ritco Logistics Limited at about ₹7.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹276.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹248.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RITCO?
Our models span a range for Ritco Logistics Limited: cautious scenario ₹161.14, base ₹248.08, optimistic ₹331.77 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹276.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RITCO?
Ritco Logistics Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹248.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ritco Logistics Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RITCO from its 52-week high?
Ritco Logistics Limited trades at ₹276.70, about 14% below its 52-week high of ₹322.70 and 56% above the low of ₹177.41 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹248.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ritco Logistics Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ritco Logistics Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹276.70, calculated fair value ₹248.08 (−10%), Quality Score 32/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RITCO calculated?
We run Ritco Logistics Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹248.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ritco Logistics Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹276.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹248.08, about −10% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ritco Logistics Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (₹161.14 to ₹331.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) come from?
Earnings per share at Ritco Logistics Limited grew +30.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.8 %, EBIT margin +14.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ritco Logistics Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
The market capitalisation of Ritco Logistics Limited is ₹7.9B (≈ $82.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ritco Logistics Limited is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Earnings per share at Ritco Logistics Limited are ₹12.59 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
The net margin of Ritco Logistics Limited is 2.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ritco Logistics Limited is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ritco Logistics Limited is 13.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
The operating margin of Ritco Logistics Limited is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Revenue at Ritco Logistics Limited is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO)?
Earnings per share at Ritco Logistics Limited are growing −55.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Ritco Logistics Limited is −₹1.5B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ritco Logistics Limited (RITCO) carry?
The net debt of Ritco Logistics Limited is ₹4.5B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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