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Radiant Logistics, Inc (RLGT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $420M

RL Radiant Logistics, Inc logo Radiant Logistics, Inc RLGT · US
Price$8.44
Fair Value$5.71
Upside-32.4%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range $3.77 – $8.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −10.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.77 to $8.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.52 $4.90 Fair Value $5.71 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.90 – $9.52 · fair‑value band $3.77 – $8.27 · the $8.44 price screens above the $5.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Radiant Logistics, Inc (RLGT) currently trades at $8.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.71, implying the stock looks roughly 32.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Radiant Logistics, Inc generated revenue of $894M at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at $60.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.77 (bear case) to $8.27 (bull case); at $8.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -32%, RLGT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.79 $2.68 $3.89 80
Residual Income $3.71 $3.82 $3.92 76
ROIC Compounder $3.02 $3.42 $3.76 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.80 $2.77 $4.15 38
Owner Earnings $6.58 $10.21 $15.41 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.15 $5.59 $8.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.27 $9.75 $15.26 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.94 $7.15 $10.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.47 $4.46 $7.39 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.84 $7.17 $12.06 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.05 $5.47 $8.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.51 $9.81 $13.31 54
Lynch FV $2.41 $3.45 $4.48 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.41 $3.45 $4.48 46
EPV $3.02 $3.42 $3.76 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0600 $0.1000 $0.1400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0600 $0.0900 $0.1100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.82 $7.75 $9.69 63
P/S Multiple $4.71 $6.28 $7.85 58
P/B Multiple $4.71 $6.28 $7.85 55
EV/EBIT $5.80 $7.71 $9.62 53
EV/EBITDA $8.27 $11.01 $13.75 54
EV/Revenue $4.15 $5.91 $7.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.41 $3.23 $4.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.79 $2.68 $3.89 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.71 $3.82 $3.92 76
ROIC Compounder $3.02 $3.42 $3.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.31 $6.16 $8.01 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.28) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $894M
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.1%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow $8.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.3300
EPS growth (YoY) +99.5%
Net debt $60.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Radiant Logistics, Inc., operates as a third-party logistics company, provides technology-enabled global transportation and value-added logistics services in the United States, Canada, Hong Kong, and China.

Full company description

Radiant Logistics, Inc., operates as a third-party logistics company, provides technology-enabled global transportation and value-added logistics services in the United States, Canada, Hong Kong, and China. The company offers domestic and international freight forwarding, and freight brokerage services, including air, ocean, truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal. It also provides logistics and supply chain services, such as materials management and distribution, customs house brokerage, and global trade management, as well as arranging shipments, and heavyweight and small package air services. The company serves the consumer goods, food and beverage, electronics, high-tech, aviation, automotive, military, government, manufacturing, and retail industries. The company was formerly known as Golf Two Inc. and changed its name to Radiant Logistics, Inc. in October 2005. Radiant Logistics, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Renton, Washington.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Radiant Logistics, Inc reported revenue of $903M in FY2025 versus $900M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $17.3M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$903M
Latest YoY
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.4%
Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY21 $900M
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $802M
FY25 $903M
Net income −7.0%/yr
FY21 $23.1M
FY22 $44.5M
FY23 $20.6M
FY24 $7.7M
FY25 $17.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.3 pp

of which total revenue +8.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp

EBIT margin −1.7 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RLGT screens 32% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Radiant Logistics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RLGT

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.86× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 51.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 4.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 46
FUTURE 1 · sector 8
PAST 28 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Radiant Logistics, Inc (RLGT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.71 versus a price of $8.44, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RLGT?
Our model-based fair value for Radiant Logistics, Inc is $5.71 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.44.
What is the quality score of RLGT?
Radiant Logistics, Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Radiant Logistics, Inc (RLGT)?
Radiant Logistics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $894M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RLGT?
The net profit margin of Radiant Logistics, Inc is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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